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The Economy No Longer Predicts Presidential Approval

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The following post for members is by G. Elliot Morris of The Crosstab.

Trump is unique in many ways. One of the more important ones for people trying to analyze the electorate is that economic performance has become less predictive of voters’ evaluations of the president than they were in the past. Take for example this figure from Sides, Tesler, and Vavreck’s book Identity Crisis: The 2016 Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America:

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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