Why Biden Is Likely to Win Back Latinos

Ronald Brownstein: “Since 1980, almost every incumbent president won a higher share of the vote among Latinos in their reelection campaign than they did in their first race. (The sole exception was George H. W. Bush, whose vote share fell when he sought reelection in a three-way race during the economic downturn of 1992.) Compared to the other incumbent presidents, Trump’s gains from 2016 to 2020 were about average or a little better than average, depending on which data source you use.”

Said Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ): “Latinos will always vote for an incumbent at a higher rate than they did last time. It’s driven by respect for authority, a certain level of patriotism, too, and a belief that we don’t want to change ships in the middle of a crisis.”