Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “The tipping point state in a presidential election is the state that gets the winning candidate over the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.”
“In the last two presidential elections, the tipping point state was Wisconsin.”
“In the postwar era, the tipping point state has frequently tracked closely with the national popular vote, although in 1948 and 2020, the tipping point state was clearly right of the nation.”

