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Third Party Candidates Typically Fade

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Walter Shapiro: “Never underestimate the potency of the wasted-vote syndrome. No matter what voters tell pollsters, they often rethink their political choices when they realize that their favored candidate cannot win.”

“What this means is that it is hard to assess the impact of candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. What will be particularly tricky is predicting in advance whom he will take votes from. After all, political analysts are still arguing over whether Ross Perot’s third-party candidacy in 1992 gave Bill Clinton the White House.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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