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New Pollster Ratings

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Nate Silver has released new pollster ratings which differ from the methodology used by his old home, FiveThirtyEight.

“The top-rated pollsters — Selzer & Co. and The New York Times/Siena College — will be familiar to longtime readers.”

“For the record, though, eligible polls in the 2024 presidential primaries missed the final margin between the top two candidates by an average of 9.7 percentage points. That isn’t very accurate, obviously — but it’s consistent with the long-term average error in presidential primary polls since 2000, which is 9.3 percentage points.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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