Cook Political Report: “With or without Issa on the ballot, the new version of California’s 48th District was already quite difficult for Republicans to hold — it’s one of the few Republican-held districts in the House that Kamala Harris carried in 2024. We’re shifting this district from Toss Up to Lean Democrat.”
“We’re also moving Texas’ 23rd District from Solid Republican to Likely Republican. Last week, GOP Rep. Tony Gonzales abandoned his reelection campaign after a series of headlines exposed his affair with a staffer who later died by self-immolation. Republicans’ new nominee, YouTuber and firearm manufacturer Brandon Herrera, has a long history.”

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