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You are here: Home / 2026 Campaign / The Senate Is a Toss-Up

The Senate Is a Toss-Up

May 28, 2026 at 8:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “Overall, it does seem to me that the Senate majority next year is as close to a toss-up as possible. Democrats need to gain four seats to reach 51. That’s not just a realistic possibility; it’s as likely as not.”

“And at this point, there are far more known unknowns that could break the Democrats’ way than those that could favor the GOP, which makes up for a playing field (based on which states are holding elections this year) that still slants away from Democrats.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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