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Trump Is Betting On the Wrong Europe

September 20, 2026 at 2:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Thomas Wright: “The Trump administration has consistently embraced Europe’s nationalist-populist parties as ideological partners, and even launched a State Department fund to support MAGA-aligned European groups. It surely sees the AfD’s ascendance as a sign that politics are moving in its direction.”

“But that is true only if Trump’s real goal is a fragmented Europe that accommodates Russian and Chinese power and is unable to punch its weight. Such an outcome would be catastrophic for U.S. interests.”

The Pinball President

September 20, 2026 at 1:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Dickerson: “No commander in chief has been better at seizing public attention than Donald Trump. But there is a difference between getting attention and doing something with it.”

Andy Burnham Hopes to Build Bridges with Trump

September 20, 2026 at 1:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Andy Burnham’s once-fervent criticisms of U.S. President Donald Trump have been dismissed by a UK cabinet member as just ‘politics’ as the two leaders prepare to meet for the first time in New York this week,” the Financial Times reports.

“As mayor of Greater Manchester, Burnham said in 2021 in the wake of the Capitol riots that ‘any UK politician who gave Trump the time of day should be ashamed right now,’ and has also previously described U.S. politics as ‘poisonous.'”

“The UK prime minister is expected to meet Trump and other world leaders on the margins of the UN General Assembly on Tuesday amid hopes that common transatlantic interests and personal chemistry will overcome past differences.”

Houthis Push to Expand Territory

September 20, 2026 at 1:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Iran-backed Houthi militia in Yemen was engaged in fierce battles against fighters backed by Saudi Arabia on Sunday, as the group steps up its push to expand its territory,” the New York Times reports.

“The ground fighting is the latest sign of how the war between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis that resumed in July is escalating. On Saturday, the armed group said it had launched missiles and drones at Riyadh, the Saudi capital, and at oil facilities, in retaliation for hundreds of Saudi airstrikes and other attacks inside Yemen.”

Gas Is High, but Diesel Is Higher

September 20, 2026 at 12:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Rising diesel prices are proving to be a particular problem for Republicans as surging energy costs sour the economic mood just 45 days out from the midterms,” NewsNation reports.

“The national average for diesel jumped 42 cents over the last week, largely as a result of the ongoing U.S. war in Iran, though President Trump has sought to cast blame on energy facilities hit as part of the Russia-Ukraine war.”

“The $6.27 average price for a gallon of diesel on Tuesday was the highest ever, with no sign of relief as the winter heating season nears.”

Quote of the Day

September 20, 2026 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I wouldn’t necessarily put a timeline on it.”

— UN Ambassador Mike Waltz, in an interview with CNN, on whether the Iran War could extend into 2029.

More Democrats Plan to Vote in Person in Midterms

September 20, 2026 at 12:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats are increasingly planning to vote in person in November’s midterm elections amid President Trump’s attacks on mail-in voting, according to a new NBC News poll,” Axios reports.

“Democrats have relied heavily on mail voting in recent elections, but the poll points to a shift toward casting ballots early in person.”

Denmark Says Greenland Sovereignty Safe Under Deal

September 20, 2026 at 11:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Denmark said on Saturday that ​its sovereignty over Greenland would not be compromised by a deal taking shape with the Trump administration that would ‌allow a significant expansion of the U.S. military presence on the Arctic island,” Reuters reports.

“The United States, Denmark and Greenland said on Friday they had reached an agreement for the U.S. to expand its military footprint in the self-governed Danish territory, while preventing U.S. adversaries from establishing bases there.”

The Rejected Judges

September 20, 2026 at 11:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

If you haven’t played Yea or Nay yet, today’s edition is a good one.

Trump Reveals Three Iran Options

September 20, 2026 at 11:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Post: “In a call with Fox News on Sunday, Trump laid out three possible paths for Iran: they make a deal with the U.S. or Trump will choose between ‘letting them rot economically,’ or wiping Iran out entirely.”

Said Trump: “My question is, if and when do I blow the entire nation up? They better behave.”

U.S. Urges Citizens to Rethink Middle East Travel

September 20, 2026 at 11:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. State Department warned Americans to reconsider traveling to the Middle East, adding that the Iran war could quickly worsen, as Tehran maintained a defiant stance over the Strait of Hormuz,” CNBC reports.

Rise in High Housing Costs to Sway Voters

September 20, 2026 at 11:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Barely six weeks out from the midterm elections, housing costs that many Americans have long said are too high are looking even more out of reach,” Bloomberg reports.

“The latest blow for consumers came Thursday, when Freddie Mac reported that rates for 30-year mortgages climbed to 6.95%, the highest since January 2025, when President Donald Trump returned to office. That report emerged after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years, crushing any hopes that borrowing costs will come down soon.”

Trump’s Approval at 41%

September 20, 2026 at 10:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC News poll finds President Donald Trump’s approval at 41%, while 55% disapprove.

Trump Approval
Approve 41%
 
Disapprove 55%
 
NBC News poll · registered voters

The same poll finds Democrats leading Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, 50% to 45%.

Generic Congressional Ballot
Democrats 50%
 
Republicans 45%
 
NBC News poll · registered voters

A Blue Wave Keeps Building

September 20, 2026 at 8:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver: “The streak of excellent polls for Democrats continues. The latest New York Times/Siena poll shows the generic ballot at D +8, and this week’s YouGov/Economist wave has it at D +12 among likely voters.”

“As a result, Democrats’ chances of retaking the Senate are up to 65 percent in our Deluxe forecast. That’s the highest they’ve been this cycle.”

Trump’s Proposed Arch to Become Sniper, Drone Facility

September 20, 2026 at 8:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump said Sunday morning his proposed ‘triumphal arch’ in Washington will become a dual-use facility housing snipers, drones and ammunition storage,” Axios reports.

“The president is now framing construction of the arch as a national security issue — much like he did with the East Wing ballroom/military complex at the White House.”

Ukraine Launches Biggest Moscow Drone Attack

September 20, 2026 at 7:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Ukraine launched what Moscow’s mayor called the biggest drone attack yet on the Russian capital on Sunday, as Russians voted ​on the final day of a parliamentary election that President Vladimir Putin has cast as a test of support for the war in Ukraine,” Reuters reports.

Trump Is Welcoming Xi to the White House This Week

September 20, 2026 at 7:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When President Donald Trump first ran for office, he called out China as a menace to the U.S. economy, saying it had gutted America’s factories and eroded the middle class,” the Associated Press reports.

“That tough talk helped Trump get to the White House a decade ago, but since then, he increasingly speaks in glowing terms about Chinese President Xi Jinping, the geopolitical rival Trump will fete on Thursday with a state dinner.”

Said Trump: “He’s a great gentleman; we get along great. We have a very good trading relationship and, you know, they’re a competitor and all of that, but we have a very good relationship with President Xi.”

“On issue after issue, the Republican president has given Xi a pass.”

Trump’s Tariffs Flop with Working-Class Voters

September 20, 2026 at 7:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Brownstein: “It’s become an article of faith for trade hardliners in both parties that a protectionist agenda is a guaranteed pathway to building support among working-class voters. But now that President Donald Trump is testing that theory in practice, it is largely flopping on the campaign trail.”

“Trump has pursued the most confrontational trade agenda of any president since at least William McKinley at the end of the 19th century, and by the estimation of some historians, even Thomas Jefferson around its beginning.”

“But even in heavily blue-collar states and House districts that were long believed to be the most receptive to a protectionist agenda, Democrats almost uniformly have been comfortable this year running against the Trump tariffs, while Republicans have struggled to defend them. Even Democrats who are deeply skeptical of free trade agreements — like Ohio Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and Brian Poindexter, the ironworker running against Rep. Max Miller for an Ohio House seat — have been unreserved in condemning the Trump tariffs. Polls by CNN and other media organizations consistently show that far more Americans believe the tariffs have hurt rather than helped their financial bottom line — and that consensus extends even to working-class white voters without a four-year college degree.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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