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The Latest on Wonk Wire

December 8, 2015 at 10:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here’s what’s trending on Wonk Wire:

  • Which Party is More Excited to Vote?
  • Trump’s Bigoted Comments Appeal to a GOP Majority
  • Carbon Emissions Growth Expected to Stall in 2015
  • The U.S. Economy Doesn’t Look So Bad
  • Gun Deaths and Gun Ownership: Is there a Connection?

Filed Under: Wonk Wire

How Polls Enable Donald Trump

December 8, 2015 at 10:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

Nate Silver says “the media’s obsession over the daily fluctuations in the polls — even when the polls don’t predict very much about voter behavior and don’t necessarily reflect people who are actually likely to vote — may help enable Trump. Republicans are afraid to criticize Trump in part because it rarely produces instant gratification in a ‘win-the-morning’ political culture that keeps score based on polls. Without seeing any repercussions, Trump goes farther out on a limb, shifting the window of acceptable discourse along with him and making it harder to rebuke him the next time around.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Voldemort ’16

December 8, 2015 at 10:02 am EST By Taegan Goddard 34 Comments

J.K. Rowling tweeted that her fictional Harry Potter villain, Lord Voldemort, “was nowhere near as bad” as Donald Trump.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump, J.K. Rowling

It’s Donald Trump’s Party

December 8, 2015 at 9:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard 68 Comments

Jonathan Chait: “Parliamentary systems channel far-right nationalistic movements of the sort Trump is leading into splinter parties. The American winner-take-all system creates two blocs that absorb far-right movements into the mainstream. Rubio, like all the Republican contenders, has promised to endorse Trump if he wins the nomination, a constraint that limits their ability to denounce him. You can’t call a man a fascist while promising to support him if he collects the requisite delegates. Unless Republican elites are willing to actually cleave the GOP in two — and they have displayed no such inclination — they are going to live with the reality that they are part of an entity that is substantially, if not entirely, a party of Trump.”

First Read: “If Republicans — including the RNC — condemn Trump too hard, does that drive him and his supporters away from the GOP?”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Trump Comments Unlikely to Derail Bid

December 8, 2015 at 9:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

GOP strategists tell Bloomberg that Donald Trump’s proposal to bar Muslims from entering the U.S. “won’t destroy his candidacy—but would severely threaten the party’s chance at the White House in 2016 if he’s the nominee.”

“His plan ignited a firestorm among rival Republicans, Democrats, and party chairpeople in the three states that will hold the first nomination votes next year. But GOP voters’ antipathy toward Islam and frustration with President Barack Obama, plus competitors’ inability to outmuscle Trump so far, suggest this won’t be the uproar that finally ends his bid and clears the way for stronger nominee to face Hillary Clinton, the likely Democratic standard-bearer.”

Wonk Wire: Trump’s comments appeal to majority of Republican voters

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Clinton Backers See 3 Possible Opponents

December 8, 2015 at 9:02 am EST By Taegan Goddard 32 Comments

Politico reports that Hillary Clinton’s super PAC is preparing for three possible general election opponents — Donald Trump, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz.

“Though they say they’ll be ready for any outcome of the GOP primaries, they are looking most closely at three scenarios that could unfold in the new year — that Trump is, indeed, as strong as his poll numbers would indicate; that Rubio manages to break through as the reasonable establishment choice; and, lately and with greater focus, that Cruz consolidates the conservative Christian vote, and combines it with the angry-outsider voters who eventually dismiss Trump, to become his party’s nominee.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Hillary Clinton

Mayor Bans Trump from St. Petersburg

December 8, 2015 at 8:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard 4 Comments

St. Petersburg, FL Mayor Rick Kriseman said that he was banning Donald Trump from his city “until we fully understand the dangerous threat posed by all Trumps,” the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Explained Kriseman: “You make a ridiculous statement, so you answer with a ridiculous statement. There are some people who thought I was seriously going to ban Donald Trump from St. Petersburg, and that’s obviously not something I would try to do. But his statement was kind of ridiculous, so I thought that it deserved an equal response.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

‘The Enemy of My Enemy Is My Friend’

December 8, 2015 at 8:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

Harry Enten notes that the GOP establishment may need religious voters to stop Donald Trump from marching to the Republican presidential nomination.

“To beat Trump, the establishment may have to defeat him in Iowa, but recently, the Iowa caucuses have been unwelcoming to establishment-approved candidates. Still, there’s a way to square that circle. The GOP establishment doesn’t need to win Iowa — it just needs Trump to lose. And the establishment may have to rely on an old frenemy to make that happen: born-again and evangelical Christians.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Trump Quote of the Day

December 8, 2015 at 8:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

“We’re at war – get it through your head.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by The Hill, noting that he’s not concerned about increasing comparisons to Hitler.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Adolf Hitler, Donald Trump

Trump Warns of More Terrorist Attacks

December 8, 2015 at 8:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard 20 Comments

A defiant Donald Trump warned that there “will be additional attacks on the U.S. if his temporary ban on Muslim immigration is not put on place,” CNN reports.

Said Trump: “You’re going to have many more World Trade Centers if you don’t solve it – many, many more and probably beyond the World Trade Center.”

He added: “They want our buildings to come down. They want our cities to be crushed. They are living in our country and many are outside of our country.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump

Early State GOP Chairs Condemn Trump

December 8, 2015 at 8:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

“The Republican leaders of the three most important states in the primary contest are all condemning Donald Trump’s plans to forbid Muslims from coming to the United States,” CNN reports.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Cruz Sees Payoff in the Polls

December 8, 2015 at 7:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

“Hours after Ted Cruz announced his presidential candidacy last March at an evangelical university, his team openly cheered his meager position in the polls, where his support registered at around 5 percent,” the New York Times reports.

“Less than nine months later — many of them spent drafting behind his rivals, lying in wait — Mr. Cruz’s base of support has swelled, forcing his foes to grapple with the central premise of Mr. Cruz’s bid, a bet many had long dismissed: that he could emerge as the first far-right conservative in recent political history with the strength to withstand a bruising primary.”

Vox: Ted Cruz is even less electable than Donald Trump

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Ted Cruz

Trump Might Have Backed Japanese Internment

December 8, 2015 at 7:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard 26 Comments

Donald Trump told Time that he does not know whether he would have supported or opposed the internment of Japanese Americans during World War II.

Said Trump: “I would have had to be there at the time to tell you, to give you a proper answer. I certainly hate the concept of it. But I would have had to be there at the time to give you a proper answer.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, National Security

Carson Wants to Monitor Every Visitor in Country

December 8, 2015 at 6:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard 26 Comments

Ben Carson “thinks everyone visiting the United States should register and be monitored while in the country,” Reuters reports.

Said a spokesman: “Everyone visiting our country should register and be monitored during their stay as is done in many countries. We do not and would not advocate being selective on one’s religion.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Ben Carson

Bonus Quote of the Day

December 7, 2015 at 9:41 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 60 Comments

“I think this whole notion that somehow we can just say no more Muslims, just ban a whole religion goes against everything we stand for and believe in.”

— Dick Cheney, quoted by the Washington Examiner, on Donald Trump’s call for banning Muslims from entering the United States.

Filed Under: National Security, Religion Tagged With: Dick Cheney

Trump Calls for Ban on Muslims Entering Country

December 7, 2015 at 4:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 142 Comments

Donald Trump called for a “total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country’s representatives can figure out what is going on,” Bloomberg reports.

More: “Until we are able to determine and understand this problem and the dangerous threat it poses, our country cannot be the victims of horrendous attacks by people that believe only in Jihad, and have no sense of reason or respect for human life.”

New York Times: “A ban on Muslims – an unprecedented proposal by a leading American presidential candidate, and an idea more typically associated with hate groups – reflects a progression of mistrust that is rooted in ideology as much as politics.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

‘Our Enemies Hate Freedom’

December 7, 2015 at 4:27 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 147 Comments

Sen. Ben Sasse (R-NE) released a very powerful video on the San Bernadino terrorist attacks.

Filed Under: National Security Tagged With: Ben Sasse

Trump and Cruz Gain Ground in Iowa

December 7, 2015 at 4:13 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 44 Comments

A new CNN/ORC poll in Iowa shows Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 33%, followed by Ted Cruz at 20%, Ben Carson at 16%, Marco Rubio at 11% and Jeb Bush at 4%.

While an earlier Monmouth poll found Cruz surging into the lead, this poll shows Trump up 8 points since the last poll, Cruz up 9, while Carson has faded by 7 points.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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