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Trump Closes Out Campaign Based on Fear

November 6, 2018 at 6:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump on Monday closed out an us-against-them midterm election campaign that was built on dark themes of fear, nationalism and racial animosity in an effort to salvage Republican control of Congress for the remaining two years of his term,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Trump’s fiery, invective-filled campaigning produced what may be the most polarized midterm contest in modern times as he played to tribal rifts in American society in a way that no president has done since before the civil rights era. The divisions exposed and expanded over the past few weeks seem certain to last well beyond Election Day.”

Trump and Sessions Warn of Voter Fraud

November 6, 2018 at 6:19 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump and Attorney General Jeff Sessions “issued strong warnings about the threat of voter fraud in Tuesday’s elections, echoing the president’s baseless claims that massive voter fraud marred his 2016 election and prompting accusations that his administration is trying to intimidate voters,” the Washington Post reports.

”Voting rights advocates denounced Trump’s remarks as a blatant attempt to intimidate voters on the eve of Election Day — and part of a pattern among Republicans, they said, to curtail voting access with strict rules that disproportionately affect voters of color who tend to vote Democratic.”

Bad Weather Could Depress Turnout

November 6, 2018 at 6:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Storms are expected to hit much of the Eastern United States on Tuesday, which could depress Election Day turnout in some places,” the New York Times reports.

“A strong cold front could cause rain and wind anywhere along the Eastern Seaboard, from the Florida Panhandle all the way up to Maine… There will most likely be severe thunderstorms from North Carolina up to South Jersey. And in the Northeast, especially New York and Pennsylvania, winds could reach 50 miles per hour.”

“The same broad storm system is expected to cause a mixture of rain and snow in the Great Lakes region and Northern Plains, including parts of Michigan, Minnesota and North Dakota.”


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Bonus Quote of the Day

November 5, 2018 at 10:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I would like to have a much softer tone. I feel to a certain extent I have no choice, but maybe I do and maybe I could have been softer from that standpoint.”

— President Trump, quoted by Reuters, when asked if he regretted anything about his first two years in office.

36 Million Have Voted Early

November 5, 2018 at 10:19 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A staggering 36 million voters cast their ballots ahead of Election Day this year, setting the stage for much-higher-than-usual turnout for a midterm — and, potentially, big surprises on Tuesday night,” Politico reports.

“Republican enthusiasm for President Donald Trump and Democrats’ itch to repudiate him at the ballot box have driven people to the polls far faster than in 2014, when 27.2 million people voted early.”

For members: If There’s a Surprise Tomorrow Night…

‘I’m Very Worried About Don Jr.’

November 5, 2018 at 10:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Vanity Fair: “The bigger threat for Trump than losing control of Congress is Robert Mueller’s looming report. Sources say Trump advisers are girding themselves for Mueller to deliver the results of his investigation to the Justice Department as early as Wednesday, although it’s more likely he’ll wait till later this month. Sources say besides the president, the ones with the most exposure are Roger Stone and Donald Trump Jr.”

Said one former White House official: “I’m very worried about Don Jr.”

“The possible exposure would be that Mueller would demonstrate that Don Jr. perjured himself to investigators when he said he didn’t tell his father beforehand about the June 2016 Trump Tower meeting to gather ‘dirt’ on Hillary Clinton.”

“One potential sign of how seriously Trumpworld is treating the Mueller threat has been the near total silence of Rudy Giuliani. A constant presence on cable news over the summer, Giuliani hasn’t been on television in weeks.”

Even Fox News Stopped Running Trump’s Caravan Ad

November 5, 2018 at 10:08 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Major television networks and Facebook have taken the unusual step of rejecting an inflammatory ad by President Trump’s political team that effectively closes a fiercely fought midterm campaign with a message portraying immigrants as a violent threat,” the New York Times reports.

“The 30-second political spot, which mirrors the president’s apocalyptic warnings about a caravan of asylum seekers in Mexico, was widely denounced as racist and misleading after Mr. Trump shared a longer version of it last week.”

“NBC and Facebook, both of which had run the ad over the weekend, reversed course after a backlash on Monday and announced that the commercial would be removed, saying it fell short of their in-house advertising standards. CNN had refused to air the ad from the start, calling it ‘racist.’ Even Fox News, which has made warnings about the migrant caravan a staple of its prime time coverage of the midterms, felt compelled to distance itself from the ad.”

Trump Lays the Groundwork for Ducking Midterm Blame

November 5, 2018 at 10:07 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump pre-emptively spread around blame for the results of Tuesday’s midterms elections, accusing CNN of peddling “fake suppression polls” and floating the prospect of widespread fraudulent voting, Politico reports.

King Hopes Supreme Court Justices ‘Will Elope’

November 5, 2018 at 7:47 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Steve King (R-IA) said that he hopes Republicans will “have a 7-2 court” after the midterm elections, adding that if the party is lucky Justices Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor “will elope to Cuba,” the Washington Post reports.

Trump Says ‘Everything’ Is at Stake In Midterms

November 5, 2018 at 6:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hitting the campaign trail on the eve of the nation’s pivotal midterm elections, President Trump told supporters that Democrats would gut his agenda if they win control of the House and Senate,” USA Today reports.

Said Trump: “Everything we have created and achieved is at stake on Election Day.”

Trump ‘Doesn’t Care’ If Democrats Get His Tax Returns

November 5, 2018 at 6:11 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump claimed he is not concerned about House Democrats obtaining and releasing his tax returns if they win the House majority in Tuesday’s midterm elections, Roll Call reports.

Said Trump: “I don’t care. They can do whatever they want, and I can do whatever I want.”

Senate Toss Ups Usually Break One Way

November 5, 2018 at 5:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jennifer Duffy: “One interesting phenomenon in Senate elections is that the races in the Toss Up column never break down the middle; one party wins a majority of them.”

“Going back 10 cycles to 1998, the lowest percentage of Toss Up seats one party won was in 2002 when Republicans won 67 percent (6 of 9 races). In 2004, 2006 and 2014, one party took 89 percent of the contests in Toss Up. In 2004, Republicans won 8 of 9 races, but in 2006, Democrats took 8 of 9 races. In 2014, Republicans won 8 of 9 contests. That there were nine races in Toss Up in all three years and there are nine this year is purely a coincidence.”

Quote of the Day

November 5, 2018 at 5:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’ve been telling my neighbors for two years that this is not who we are. The overtly fascist rhetoric. The demonizing, vilifying, verminizing—if that’s a verb—of the other. I keep telling people that’s not who we are. But if in these midterms, with this first opportunity to correct our mistake, people vote for ‘this,’ then maybe that’s who we’ve become.”

— Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley (D), paraphrasing another candidate to Esquire.

Georgia Officials Patched Security Holes That ‘Didn’t Exist’

November 5, 2018 at 4:51 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

ProPublica found that Georgia officials were busily fixing problems with its voter registration just hours after the office of Secretary of State Brian Kemp, the Republican candidate for governor, had insisted the system was secure.

“Security experts frown on making such seemingly ad hoc changes close to major events, such as an election, because they can create unforeseen problems when made so quickly.”

Zinke Broke His Own Ethics Pledge

November 5, 2018 at 4:17 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke “continued to engage in discussions involving his family foundation’s property in summer 2017 despite the fact that he had pledged to recuse himself from such matters for a year,” according to documents obtained by the Washington Post.

If There’s a Surprise Tomorrow Night…

November 5, 2018 at 3:43 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

If Donald Trump’s election in 2016 caught you by surprise, it’s probably because you ignored or downplayed one of the most important fundamental factors in the race: It’s extremely hard for a political party to capture the White House for three consecutive terms. The mere fact that Barack Obama was a two-term president made it harder for any Democrat to win. For all of Trump’s weaknesses as a candidate, history gave him an advantage from the start.

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Congress No Longer Works as Intended

November 5, 2018 at 3:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “For more than 200 years, Congress operated largely as the country’s founders envisioned — forging compromises on the biggest issues of the day while asserting its authority to declare war, spend taxpayer money and keep the presidency in check.”

“Today, on the eve of a closely fought election that will determine who runs Capitol Hill, that model is effectively dead.”

“It has been replaced by a weakened legislative branch in which debate is strictly curtailed, party leaders dictate the agenda, most elected representatives rarely get a say, and government shutdowns are a regular threat because of chronic failures to agree on budgets.”

Retirees Break for Democrats on Campaign Contributions

November 5, 2018 at 3:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Donors who identify their occupation as ‘retired’ gave 52% of the $326 million they contributed through Oct. 17 to Democrats, compared with 48% to Republicans… That is a reversal of their split four years ago—and it’s a record amount of midterm money from retirees.”

“This is the first midterms since the group began keeping donor industry data in 1990 in which retirees favor Democrats over Republicans.”

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Word of the Day

Blue Dog Democrats: The Blue Dog Democrats are a coalition of moderate House Democrats.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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