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Democratic Turnout Plummeted Only in Safe States

November 15, 2024 at 4:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The vast majority of votes from this election have been counted, with just a few million ballots outstanding in western states. Total turnout is on track to fall just short of 2020, well ahead of some observers’ expectations on Election Night, when conspiracy theories about more than 10 million ‘missing Biden voters’ flourished among Democrats,” Semafor reports.

“Harris will win fewer votes than President Joe Biden did four years ago — but the decline was significantly steeper in safely red or blue states than in swing states. Where there was no national campaign spending on turnout, and where voters knew that they were unlikely to change the outcome, Harris ran further behind Biden.”

Democrats Annoyed as Pelosi Does Media Tour

November 15, 2024 at 4:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) is ticking off some House Democrats for publicly opining on what her party did wrong in 2024, Axios reports.

Said one senior Democrat: “She needs to take a seat. Making scattershot comments is not just unhelpful, it’s damaging.”

Said another: “Hakeem has been tremendously graceful and respectful of her, but I don’t think she is being respectful of him.”

Steven Cheung to Be Trump’s Communications Director

November 15, 2024 at 4:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President-elect Donald Trump announced on Friday that he had chosen Steven Cheung, his chief campaign spokesman, to be his White House communications director,” the New York Times reports.

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Doug Burgum Gets Expanded Role

November 15, 2024 at 4:21 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump just announced that, in addition to formally naming Gov. Doug Burgum of North Dakota as his choice for interior secretary, he would appoint him as the chairman of a new National Energy Council overseeing American energy policy,” the New York Times reports.

“Trump has made repeated promises to slash energy costs in half as a bid to fight inflation.”

McCaul Exits Foreign Affairs Leadership

November 15, 2024 at 4:16 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Foreign Affairs Chairman Michael McCaul (R-TX) won’t seek a waiver to retain his committee gavel, ending his six-year tenure as the panel’s top Republican,” Axios reports.

“McCaul’s decision opens the door for new leadership on one of the House’s most influential committees during a critical time in global affairs, with ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East and rising tensions with China.”

John Thune Has the Hardest Job in Congress

November 15, 2024 at 4:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“John Thune didn’t have much time to celebrate his victory as the next Senate Republican leader,” Semafor reports.

“Soon after he won the race to lead the chamber next year, Donald Trump delivered a pile of challenges with a trio of nominees whose polarizing backgrounds and unorthodox qualifications present a serious test for the incoming Senate chief.”

The Parts of Biden’s Legacy That Are Most in Danger

November 15, 2024 at 3:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When President Joe Biden relinquishes power in January, some parts of his legacy will be secure, while others may be undone by President-elect Donald Trump and a new Republican-controlled Congress,” NBC News reports.

“The pieces of Biden’s legacy go into four buckets. Trump can easily undo executive actions on matters like immigration and transgender rights, while a Republican Congress can unravel spending programs passed by Democrats on a partisan basis. But it will be difficult for Trump to undo bipartisan legislation, such as measures about infrastructure and preventing gun violence, and the judges Biden appointed can’t be unseated.”

Either Way, Matt Gaetz Wins

November 15, 2024 at 2:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Elaine Godfrey: “Gaetz has always sought political relevance and power. Dismissed by many, including GOP colleagues, as a self-promoter, Gaetz’s superpower has been understanding far more clearly than they do how power works in the Trumposphere. And that insight has enabled him to become consigliere to the former and soon-to-be president.”

Said Democratic consultant Steve Schale: “For all the things people say about Gaetz that are true, the one thing about Matt that people don’t fully respect is that the guy is not an idiot.”

“Now is when Gaetz’s hard work starts to pay off—even if the Senate declines to confirm him.”

Trump Broke the Democrats’ Thermostat

November 15, 2024 at 1:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Burn-Murdoch: “In April 2022, Elon Musk tweeted a cartoon made by evolutionary biologist Colin Wright. The image shows a stick figure representing Wright, a self-described ‘center-left liberal’, becoming politically stranded as the American left shifts ever further leftward during the 2010s, leaving him closer to the right despite his ideology not changing. The graphic was mocked at the time. But recent events suggest it may have a grain of truth to it.”

“To be clear: the main reason the Democrats lost the US election is that inflation kills political incumbents. But that doesn’t mean there are not other lessons in the results.”

“Data suggests the Democrats lost ground with moderates, while holding steady among progressives. Charges that racism propelled voters to Donald Trump are at odds with the rightward swing among Black and Hispanic voters, and with a raft of data showing that racial prejudice is in steady decline among Americans of all political stripes.”

“Instead, the data shows Democrats taking a sharp turn leftward on social issues over the past decade.”

Matt Gaetz Is Already Destroying the Government

November 15, 2024 at 1:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Franklin Foer: “The U.S. government is more than an array of marble buildings. It’s an aggregation of expertise, a collection of individuals who have inherited an ethos and a set of practices handed down through the decades. Ever since Trump’s second victory last week, these long-standing denizens of the bureaucracy, a tier of career employees who occupy their job regardless of the partisan affiliation of the president, have mulled leaving the government.”

“How could they not? Some of them are on purge lists drawn up by right-wing think tanks, named as enemies marked for retribution. They all know of Trump’s plans to strip them of the tenured status that traditionally protects the civil service from the whims of political bosses. And they have read Project 2025, in which the theorists behind the incoming administration write plainly about the necessity of destroying agencies.”

“The outgoing Biden administration knew this assault might eventually come, and it spent four years preparing for it. At the Justice Department, to take one example, Merrick Garland had his own theory for how to build a bureaucracy capable of withstanding such a crisis. He spent his days bucking up the career lawyers who worked for him, and earnestly sought to model his own commitment to the rule of law by studiously resisting for more than two years the political pressure to indict Trump, hoping his example would instill the permanent employees of his department with the fortitude to stay true to their constitutional commitments.”

“In the end, Garland not only failed to bring Trump to justice, but he also erected a rather flimsy bulwark against his return, because he probably never imagined that Matt Gaetz would be his successor.”

Mike Johnson Looks to Block Gaetz Ethics Report

November 15, 2024 at 12:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Mike Johnson said on Friday that he does not think the House Ethics Committee report on allegations related to Matt Gaetz should be released and is “going to strongly request that the Ethics Committee not issue the report,” CNN reports.

Tulsi Gabbard Pick Sounds Alarm in Intelligence Circles

November 15, 2024 at 12:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President-elect Donald Trump’s pick to lead powerful U.S. spy agencies has often seemed to embrace Washington’s adversaries and questioned key American intelligence judgments, raising alarm among veteran intelligence officials and the wider national-security establishment,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“If confirmed as director of national intelligence, former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii would hold a post whose extensive powers include briefing the president on the most sensitive U.S. secrets, exercising authority over the $100 billion annual U.S. spy budget, and holding sway over which secrets to declassify.”

Trump Considers Larry Kudlow for Top Economic Jobs

November 15, 2024 at 11:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump is considering tapping Fox Business Network host Larry Kudlow for a senior economic policy role in his administration, amid the president-elect’s mounting frustration with jockeying for top jobs,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Kudlow met with Trump at Mar-a-Lago, the president-elect’s private Florida club, late this week, the people said. Trump’s advisers see Kudlow as a contender to lead the National Economic Council and possibly the Treasury Department.”

“Kudlow has made regular appearances on Fox Business since leaving the White House. On his weekday show, Kudlow regularly touts Trump’s economic policy proposals. His allies have made appeals directly to Trump to bring him back into the administration.”

Trump Considers Mike Rogers for FBI Chief

November 15, 2024 at 11:57 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Rep. Mike Rogers, the 2024 Republican Senate nominee in Michigan who lost his election last week by a razor-thin margin, met with President-elect Donald Trump’s transition team regarding potentially serving as FBI director, Fox News reports.

Full Control of Government Is Fleeting

November 15, 2024 at 11:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“After Republicans did better than expected in winning the White House, the House and the Senate in 2004, President George W. Bush famously claimed a mandate,” the New York Times reports.

Said Bush: “I earned capital in the campaign, political capital, and I intend to spend it.”

“Two years later, after Mr. Bush’s bid to privatize Social Security imploded without ever even coming up in Congress and exhaustion with the Iraq war set in, it was instead the president who was spent. Democrats took back Congress, and the governing trifecta Mr. Bush had trumpeted was gone.”

“The same thing then happened to Barack Obama, Donald J. Trump and Joseph R. Biden Jr. as they gained supremacy in Washington only to see it slip away after two years of aggressively pressing their agenda, with mixed results.”

German Leader Spoke with Putin

November 15, 2024 at 11:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and President Vladimir Putin of Russia spoke by phone for an hour on Friday, in a discussion that German authorities said centered on prospects for bringing an end to the war in Ukraine,” the New York Times reports.

“It appears to have been the first call between Mr. Putin and a sitting leader of a large Western country since late 2022. The Kremlin confirmed the conversation and said Mr. Scholz initiated the call.”

Trump Reached Far More Podcast Listeners

November 15, 2024 at 11:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Pod News: “Combining the average reach of each show they appeared on and then de-duplicating the results to account for listeners to more than one, the podcasts Trump appeared on reach approximately 23.5 million Americans 18+ in an average week, while the podcasts Harris appeared on reach only 6.4 million Americans 18+ in an average week.”

“Mr. Trump’s total is of course supercharged by his appearance on what is by far the largest podcast in America, The Joe Rogan Experience. But it’s worth noting that even if one removes Rogan from Trump’s calculation, Mr. Trump’s other appearances still would have far outstripped Ms. Harris’.”

“The weekly reach of many of America’s biggest podcasts outstrips that of many cable tv networks and individual television shows.”

The GOP False-Flag Effort to Turn Off Democratic Voters

November 15, 2024 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Muslims in Michigan began seeing pro-Israel ads this fall praising Vice President Kamala Harris for marrying a Jewish man and backing the Jewish state. Jews in Pennsylvania, meanwhile, saw ads from the same group with the opposite message: Harris wanted to stop U.S. arms shipments to Israel,” the Washington Post reports.

“Another group promoted ‘Kamala’s bold progressive agenda’ to conservative-leaning Donald Trump voters, while a third filled the phones of young liberals with videos about how Harris had abandoned the progressive dream. Black voters in North Carolina were told Democrats wanted to take away their menthol cigarettes, while working-class White men in the Midwest were warned that Harris would support quotas for minorities and deny them Zyn nicotine pouches.”

“What voters had no way of knowing at the time was that all of the ads were part of a single $45 million effort created by political advisers to Tesla founder Elon Musk who had previously worked on the presidential campaign of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R).”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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