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This Is Blue MAGA

October 7, 2024 at 8:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Bulwark: “The Trump campaign is making a concerted effort to reach swing and disaffected voters not by espousing more centrist policies, but with messaging that sounds like it has been ripped from a progressive playbook circa 2004, 2008, or 2012.”

“It’s a different formula for trying to build bipartisan coalitions—less a play for the middle and more an attempt to connect the ends of an ideological horseshoe. And, in this universe, Blue MAGA’s messengers double as the message itself: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard is the first pair of former Democratic presidential candidates to tour multiple swing states with each other on behalf of the Republican nominee they both endorsed.”

Trump’s Plans Could Raise Costs for Most Americans

October 7, 2024 at 8:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump’s economic proposals could inflame the nation’s debt burden while ultimately raising costs for a vast majority of Americans, according to a pair of new economic analyses that are among the most in-depth studies to date of the Republican nominee’s plans,” the New York Times reports.

“The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a nonpartisan group that seeks lower deficits, found that Mr. Trump’s various plans could add as much as $15 trillion to the nation’s debt over a decade. That is nearly twice as much as the economic plans being proposed by Vice President Kamala Harris.”

“And an analysis from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, a liberal think tank, found that Mr. Trump’s tax and tariff plans would, on average, amount to a tax increase for every income group except the top 5 percent of highest-earning Americans.”

Another Top Eric Adams Aide Resigns

October 7, 2024 at 8:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Philip Banks, New York City’s deputy mayor for public safety, has resigned, Mayor Eric Adams said on Monday morning, making him the sixth senior administration official to leave City Hall in the past month,” the New York Times reports.

“His departure comes amid an exceptional level of turmoil at the highest levels of city government, as four federal investigations envelop Mr. Adams and his inner circle, and after prosecutors unsealed a five-count corruption indictment against the mayor.”

House Democrats Blitz Republicans Over Project 2025

October 7, 2024 at 8:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Democrats’ campaign arm is leaning hard into Project 2025 in the final stages of the election, launching billboards in more than two dozen districts blasting the conservative blueprint for a second Trump presidency,” Axios reports.

“Democrats have increasingly tried to tether Republicans to the plan as their polling shows it to be one of the most potent attacks on the GOP.”

Majority of Capitol Hill Staffers Think Harris Will Win

October 7, 2024 at 8:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Punchbowl News survey finds 72% of senior Capitol Hill staffers predicted that Kamala Harris will win the November presidential election.

Most — 77% — of the respondents say the Democratic Party has more momentum than the GOP as Election Day draws nearer. Interestingly, 55% of Republican senior staffers who responded to the survey agreed.

High Alert on the Anniversary of the Hamas Attacks

October 7, 2024 at 8:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Federal authorities are on alert for potential threats today, the anniversary of the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel that spurred the Gaza war and inflamed tensions in the broader Middle East.

Axios: How October 7 changed everything.

Trump Allies Threaten Deloitte Contracts

October 7, 2024 at 7:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans backing Donald Trump are threatening Deloitte, a consulting firm that is one of the federal government’s largest business partners, with the loss of billions of dollars in contracts because an employee shared messages from 2020 in which GOP vice-presidential nominee JD Vance criticized the former president’s record,” the Washington Post reports.

Trump’s Wall Street Tower Appears To Be Underwater

October 7, 2024 at 7:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Forbes: “One of Donald Trump’s prized properties, the landmark building 40 Wall Street, is 63 stories high but now appears to be underwater. The remaining 35 years on Trump’s leasehold in the Financial District tower is worth about $116 million. That’s $2 million less than the estimated $118 million Trump owes on his mortgage, according to an analysis of loan documents, real-estate records, financial disclosures and appraisals.”

“The building is simply not earning enough money to cover the loan: 40 Wall Street’s annual net operating income has dropped from about $20.7 million in 2018 to $12.8 million last year, as the building’s occupancy rate plummeted from 94.3% in early 2018 to 73.9% in June, thanks in part to the distressed post-pandemic commercial real estate market.”

Bigger Problems Than Politics

October 7, 2024 at 7:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “In the election’s final weeks, people in North Carolina and Georgia, influential swing states, are dealing with more immediate concerns: widespread storm damage…”

“Residents wonder where are missing friends and relatives, is there enough food and water to last until new supplies arrive and how will they rebuild.”

“The focus is on survival, not politics — and may remain that way for weeks.”

Washington Post: Hurricane Milton aims at Florida as Helene recovery continues.

Polling Decision Leads to Two Distinct Stories of Election

October 7, 2024 at 7:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “Over the last month, one methodological decision seems to have produced two parallel universes of political polling.”

“In one universe, Kamala Harris leads only narrowly in the national popular vote against Donald Trump, even as she holds a discernible edge in the Northern battlegrounds. The numbers look surprisingly similar to the 2022 midterm election.”

“In the other, Ms. Harris has a clear lead in the national vote, but the battlegrounds are very tight. It’s essentially a repeat of the 2020 election.”

“This divide is almost entirely explained by whether a pollster uses ‘weighting on recalled vote,’ which means trying to account for how voters say they voted in the last election.”

Pennsylvania Is Ground Zero for Election Litigation

October 7, 2024 at 7:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Pennsylvania is a must-win state for both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. It is also ground zero for litigation over election rules and skeptics who still question the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election results,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“That mix has state officials, campaigns and voters bracing for a charged and potentially lengthy battle over who is crowned the winner in the Keystone State.”

Georgia Prepares for Election Under Cloud of Threats

October 7, 2024 at 6:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In the aftermath of the 2020 presidential election, arguably no state became as central to former President Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn his election loss as Georgia — the state Joe Biden stunningly won by just over 11,000 votes, flipping it blue for the first time in nearly three decades,” ABC News reports.

“Now, four years later, election officials in the state are preparing for another high-stakes election — this time under the cloud of threats, conspiracy theories, and distrust in the system.”

GOP Candidate Nearly Falls Over at Debate

October 6, 2024 at 11:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Jersey U.S. Senate candidate Curtis Bashaw (R) appeared to have medical episode during a debate with Andy Kim (D).

Kim was the first to check to see if Bashaw was alright — even before his own aides.

A Trump Loss Threatens Destruction of the Modern GOP

October 6, 2024 at 11:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If Donald Trump is defeated in next month’s election, the Republican Party will face a reckoning unprecedented in modern political history,” Axios reports.

“Never before has a party’s identity been so deeply entwined with the fate, fortunes and flaws of one man. Four consecutive poor election cycles would unleash a wave of sustained scrutiny that the GOP — as it currently exists — may not survive.”

Bolsonaro-Backed Candidates Pull Ahead in Brazil

October 6, 2024 at 11:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Candidates backed by Jair Bolsonaro are pulling ahead in municipal elections that are considered a barometer of political sentiment in Brazil, two years before a presidential vote in which Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will likely seek another term,” Bloomberg reports.

When an October Surprise Doesn’t Surprise

October 6, 2024 at 11:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Heilemann: “One result of this utterly unimaginable, genuinely bonkers chain of events is that both the Harris and Trump campaigns, the press, and voters are already hyper-attuned to the outlandish craziness of this election year and have been conditioned, in a way, to consider stunning, unprecedented turns of events par for the course in 2024. Against the backdrop of what’s already happened in the presidential race, an October without an October surprise—or several October surprises—would be the only real surprise.”

“Thus both campaigns are buckled down, carefully planning rallies, media interviews, grinding it out with their ground games, each seemingly of the belief that they’re in the lead, not wanting to rock the boat. But, at the same time, everyone is on high alert, eyes peeled for the appearance of black swans, flash hurricanes, or other signs of ominous glitches in the matrix.”

Tim Walz to Appear on SmartLess Podcast

October 6, 2024 at 10:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gov. Tim Walz will be virtually sitting down with the SmartLess podcast Monday, Deadline reports.

“Walz, who is also appearing on Jimmy Kimmel Live tomorrow, will hold a Zoom conversation with the popular podcast hosts, actors Jason Bateman, Sean Hayes and Will Arnett. The interview is set to air sometime in the next week or so, according to sources.”

Harris to Mark October 7 with Tree Planting

October 6, 2024 at 10:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Vice President Kamala Harris will mark Monday’s one-year anniversary of the October 7 attacks in Israel at her Naval Observatory residence, where, along with second gentleman Doug Emhoff, she’ll plant a memorial tree,“ CNN reports.

“Second families have traditionally planted trees on the grounds of the vice president’s residence. Monday’s planting of a pomegranate tree — which, among other things, represents hope and righteousness in Judaism — will mark the first for Harris and Emhoff while they’ve been at the residence.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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