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New Hampshire Is Latest Sign of Trump’s Shrinking Map

September 5, 2024 at 6:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump hasn’t set foot in New Hampshire since he won the state’s GOP primary in January. His campaign hasn’t sent a high-profile surrogate here since the spring,” Politico reports.

“And now, even as they insist he can win here, some of Trump’s most ardent supporters in this blue-leaning swing state are openly saying that his campaign should focus its efforts elsewhere.”

“It’s a marked shift from when New Hampshire was among the bluish battlefields where Trump’s campaign boasted it could expand its electoral map as President Joe Biden faltered.”

What Anti-Abortion Leaders Want from Trump

September 5, 2024 at 6:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The anti-abortion activists celebrating Donald Trump’s vow to vote no on Florida’s upcoming abortion-rights amendment have their sights on a bigger target: extracting a promise from the former president to staff his administration with staunch abortion opponents if he wins in November,” Politico reports.

“Trump’s rejection of Amendment 4 on Friday — 24 hours after criticizing the state’s six-week abortion ban — followed a public and private lobbying blitz from anti-abortion leaders.”

Playbook: “Among the wishlist for activists would be a list of judges he’d nominate or anti-abortion-rights advocates for top jobs. But the Trump campaign so far has not released any such commitments or responses to the entreaties.”

GOP Candidate Uses Foreign Stock Footage in Ads

September 5, 2024 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Paul Junge, who is the Republican seeking Michigan’s 8th Congressional District seat, has used several foreign stock images and clips in political ads that advocate for preserving American jobs and domestic manufacturing,” WCPT reports.

Capitol Rioter’s Sentence Reduced

September 5, 2024 at 6:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal judge on Wednesday shaved 15 months off of a Jan. 6 defendant’s sentence, a direct result of the Supreme Court’s recent ruling limiting the scope of an obstruction charge used to prosecute hundreds of rioters,” Politico reports.

Hostage Families Press Biden to Make Deal

September 5, 2024 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The families of American hostages being held by Hamas have pressed the White House to seriously consider cutting a unilateral deal with the terrorist organization to secure their loved ones’ release, and the option is currently under discussion within the Biden administration,” NBC News reports.

Trump Questions Fairness of Next Week’s Debate

September 4, 2024 at 10:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hours after the Trump and Harris campaigns agreed to rules for their first presidential debate, former President Donald Trump sought to instill doubt that the debate would be fair, downplayed his need to prepare and suggested he was more worried about the network hosting the debate than his opponent,” the New York Times reports.

Microphones Will Be Muted at Debate

September 4, 2024 at 10:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The great debate microphone muting drama of 2024 has come to a quiet end,” the New York Times reports.

“Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign has begrudgingly agreed to have her and former President Donald Trump’s microphones muted when they are not speaking, a position top Harris officials tried to change last week to give themselves an advantage when the candidates meet onstage next Tuesday.”

Bloomberg: “Trump said he plans to allow his opponent, Kamala Harris, to speak without interruption during their presidential debate next week, a shift for the reality-television-star-turned-politician who built a career on combative exchanges.”

Liz Cheney Endorses Kamala Harris

September 4, 2024 at 8:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Rep. Liz Cheney, the once high-ranking Republican from Wyoming who torpedoed her political career by breaking forcefully with former President Donald Trump, said on Wednesday she would be voting for Vice President Kamala Harris in November, the New York Times reports.

Said Cheney: “I don’t believe we have the luxury of writing in candidates’ names, particularly in swing states. As a conservative, as someone who believes in and cares about the Constitution, I have thought deeply about this and because of the danger that Donald Trump poses, not only am I not voting for Donald Trump, but I will be voting for Kamala Harris.”

The Race Is Back to What We Expected

September 4, 2024 at 7:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “Just take a look at our polling averages, which have been updated since Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s departure from the race (a return to normal in its own right). There’s no sign of the political chaos of the last few months. Instead, the results look typical: Nationwide, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by three percentage points, 49 percent to 46 percent. Across the battleground states, the race is a dead heat. In every state and nationwide, the polling average is within 1.5 points of the result of the 2020 presidential election.”

“In short, the polls finally show the close election that analysts expected a year ago, before President Biden’s candidacy went off the rails.”

Election May Come Down to Georgia and Pennsylvania

September 4, 2024 at 6:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “Both Georgia and Pennsylvania remain thoroughly up for grabs, according to the polls, with tight margins overall and double-digit shares of likely voters — 12% in Georgia and 16% in Pennsylvania — saying they haven’t yet decided on a candidate, or that they might change their minds.”

What Trump’s Allies Think of Trump

September 4, 2024 at 5:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Conservative lawyer George Conway’s PAC released a blistering new attack ad that reminds voters of the contempt with which even Donald Trump’s closest allies have held the former president.

Infighting Plagues Trump’s Bid

September 4, 2024 at 5:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump’s presidential campaign in chaos as infighting among “grifters,” “hucksters” and “profiteers” on his team threatens his presidential bid, the Daily Mail reports.

Brace Yourself for an Ugly, Ugly Campaign

September 4, 2024 at 5:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stephen Collinson: “Trump’s invective amounts to some of the most hardline political rhetoric in years, even by his own standards, and means the next two months are likely to be brutal.”

“The question is whether this barrage of negative attacks is merely successful in stoking feelings of existential anger Trump uses to drive his base the polls, or whether it begins to tarnish Harris at the margins in battleground states.”

Charlie Sykes: “The history of American politics is, of course full of negative —even vicious — attacks. But, once again, it’s a mistake to see what’s happening as normal.”

“Think of it this way: The 1988 Bush campaign’s ‘Willie Horton’ ad was the subject of controversy for years for exploiting racially-charged imagery.”

“But this year: Trump’s campaign is firing off Willie Horton-style attacks every single day on television, social media, and in hundreds of thousands of mailers. And the media basically shrugs it off as Trump being Trump.”

Trump Spent $32 Million More Than He Raised in August

September 4, 2024 at 4:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump dug into his war chest in a bid to stem the momentum of Democratic rival Kamala Harris, drawing from his cash reserves as the presidential race shifts into its most frenzied — and expensive — stage yet,” Bloomberg reports.

“The Republican presidential nominee ended August with $295 million in the bank, about $32 million less than he had at the start of that month. Trump raised $130 million last month — a total that falls short of the $138.7 million he raised in July for his campaign, the Republican National Committee and state parties.”

“While he has been running a lean operation, the drop in cash on hand portends a troubling development for a campaign that has been forced to pivot to a new general election rival after Harris replaced President Joe Biden atop the Democratic ticket.”

Barron Trump Is Going to NYU

September 4, 2024 at 4:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Barron Trump, Donald Trump’s son, is attending New York University this fall,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The 18-year-old is departing from the Trump family tradition of going to the University of Pennsylvania. The former president and three other Trump children—Ivanka, Tiffany and Donald Trump Jr.—went to the Ivy League school. Eric Trump, the only other outlier, attended Georgetown University.”

Bonus Exchange of the Day

September 4, 2024 at 4:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

James Carville and Mary Matalin were interviewed by Peter Hamby of Puck:

HAMBY: Like every Democrat watching the Biden debate in Atlanta, you knew it was over in the first few minutes. What was the first thing you did that night? Who did you call? 

CARVILLE: Three minutes into the debate, I said, I’m taking two gummies and listening to country music. Fuck it. And my phone was just lighting up with texts. I didn’t even have to look. 

MATALIN: Anybody who’s ever done this knew in five minutes that there was no coming back. Nothing. That’s the difference between guts and numbers. Guts told you what you needed to know. And that was a five-minute gut check.

Man Serving 20-Year Prison Sentence Makes Alaska Ballot

September 4, 2024 at 3:44 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A man serving time on a 20-year prison sentence for threatening officials in New Jersey has made it onto Alaska’s general election ballot for the state’s lone U.S. House seat this November,” the AP reports.

“Eric Hafner was convicted in 2022 of threatening to kill judges, police officers and others and sentenced to serve 20 years in federal prison. He originally came in sixth in Alaska’s ranked choice primary, which allows only the top four vote-getters to advance to the general election.”

“But Matthew Salisbury (R) withdrew from the race just ahead of Monday’s deadline, and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (R) withdrew last month. That means Hafner will appear on the November general election ballot along with Alaskan Independence Party chairman John Wayne Howe and frontrunners Rep. Mary Peltola (D) and Nick Begich (R).”

Nikki Haley Joins Public Relations Firm

September 4, 2024 at 3:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “It’s a surprising move for a once-rumored vice presidential contender and someone who Trump has said will be on his team ‘in some form’ should he win the election.”

“Even though Haley endorsed Trump after the assassination attempt on him at a rally in July, this move signals Haley is pursuing other options.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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