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GOP Tax Bill Bets Big on Trump’s Immigration Agenda

July 4, 2025 at 5:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The sprawling legislation stands to deliver a $170 billion windfall to turbocharge immigrant detentions and deportations. But public approval of Trump’s approach has soured.”

Supreme Court and Congress Cede Power to Trump

July 4, 2025 at 5:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “In a striking dynamic of the Trump era, analysts say, the judicial and legislative branches have been steadily transferring many of their powers to the executive — or at least acquiescing in the transfers. That has shaken up a system that depends on the three branches jostling sharply as each jealously guards its own prerogatives, many critics contend.”

Trump Claims CBS Settlement includes Free Ads

July 4, 2025 at 5:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Deadline: “Someone’s playing fast and loose with the real numbers, and, for once, it may not be Donald Trump — at least when it comes to POTUS’ recent multi-million dollar lawsuit settlement with CBS.”

“Never one to let anyone else have the last word or reluctant to craft reality to his own connivence, Trump tonight literally doubled down that his arm twisting and threats with the outlet garnered a much bigger reward than the $16 million parent company Paramount Global wants to admit to.”

Said Trump: “We did a deal for about $16 million plus $16 million, or maybe more than that in advertising. So, it’s a combination of 16 plus 16 plus.”


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Can Republicans Shape Public Perception of Their Bill?

July 4, 2025 at 5:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“History and dismal public polling suggest President Donald Trump’s $3.3 trillion tax bill, approved by Congress on Thursday, could help Democrats win back the House in the 2026 midterm elections,” the Washington Post reports.

“The bill is deeply unpopular — with nearly 2-to-1 opposition, according to a Washington Post-Ipsos poll conducted in June. But Republicans still have an opportunity to shape public perception of the bill because more than a third of Americans had no opinion of it and two-thirds said they had heard either little or nothing about it.”

“So both parties are racing to define it. Republicans are touting new tax breaks for seniors and service workers. Democrats are attacking the bill as a giveaway to the rich that will lead to millions of low-income Americans losing their health care.”

Trump Claims Sweeping Power to Nullify Laws

July 3, 2025 at 11:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Attorney General Pam Bondi told tech companies that they could lawfully violate a statute barring American companies from supporting TikTok based on a sweeping claim that President Trump has the constitutional power to set aside laws, newly disclosed documents show,” the New York Times reports.

“In letters to companies like Apple and Google, Ms. Bondi wrote that Mr. Trump had decided that shutting down TikTok would interfere with his ‘constitutional duties,’ so the law banning the social media app must give way to his ‘core presidential national security and foreign affairs powers.’”

No President Has Had Something Like Trump’s Megabill

July 3, 2025 at 6:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ed Kilgore: “Thanks to this bill, Trump could resign tomorrow and still point to an enduring legacy. Quite a few of his executive orders may ultimately be reversed or curtailed by the courts; his key appointees may fall by the wayside out of incompetence and corruption; and some of his policies, like his protectionist tariff regime, may collapse from sheer incoherence. But the 940-page bill he will sign on July 4th will change the country in ways that will be difficult to reverse, even if his party loses Congress and the White House.”

“It is, in fact, the single most sweeping piece of legislation in American history. Other presidents have used the mega-packaging device, known as budget reconciliation, to get around Senate filibusters obstructing their initiatives. But none before Trump have packed a year’s worth of legislation, much of it designed to make major changes in federal policies and personnel, into a single bill, a One-and-Done agenda with no Plan B if it failed.”

Politico: The megabill will soon be megalaw.

A Few Thoughts on the Republican Budget Bill

July 3, 2025 at 5:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Despite abysmal public polling and private doubts from within their own ranks, Republicans pushed through a sweeping budget reconciliation package that cements their policy vision for the country.

The vote leaves little doubt: this is the Republican agenda and they were ready to pass it under virtually any circumstances.

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Google Might Be Next to Settle With Trump

July 3, 2025 at 5:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Atlantic: “Trump sued Zuckerberg, Pichai, and the former CEO of Twitter (which Musk later purchased and renamed X) in 2021 for restricting his accounts after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol. The president alleged that the companies and executives had illegally censored him at the urging of U.S. political leaders, violating his First Amendment rights. It was an ironic argument from a politician who likes to settle political grudges with governmental threats. But it was an effective one: During their postelection courtships of Trump, Zuckerberg settled his case with a payment of $25 million, mostly to Trump’s presidential-library fund, and Musk followed with $10 million more.”

“Now it may be Pichai’s turn. Lawyers for President Trump and Pichai have begun “productive discussions” about the next steps of the case against YouTube, ‘with additional discussions anticipated in the near future,’ according to briefs filed in a San Francisco federal court shortly after Memorial Day that appear to have escaped public notice. The parties have asked the judge to give them until September 2 to come to an agreement on a path forward.”

Did the Republicans Just Blow Up the Trump Coalition?

July 3, 2025 at 3:44 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “This is the least popular piece of major legislation passed since the advent of polling nearly a century ago. But how does this vote impact Republican chances in the midterms? It certainly doesn’t help! It’s impossible to imagine that passing a total piece of shit bill that no one wants (and even most Republicans are ambivalent about) won’t hurt them. Earlier this week, I speculated that it could cost them the Senate despite a very pro-Republican map.”

“However, this bill could be a much bigger deal than just one election. It has the potential to break Trump’s coalition and reshape the electorate to benefit Democrats for several elections to come.”

“The Big Ugly Bill could be a vote that Republicans come to regret for a generation.”

House Passes Trump’s ‘Big, Beautiful Bill’

July 3, 2025 at 2:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans on Thursday notched the first major legislative victory of President Donald Trump’s second term, a mammoth tax and immigration agenda the GOP hopes will reshape the U.S. economy and unwind many of the Biden administration’s accomplishments,” the Washington Post reports.

“The House, in a 218 to 214 vote, passed Trump’s so-called ‘One Big Beautiful Bill,’ a $3.4 trillion measure to extend tax cuts from Trump’s first term and implement new campaign promises — such as eliminating income taxes on tips and overtime wages — while spending hundreds of billions of dollars on immigration enforcement and defense.”

“It raises the country’s borrowing cap by $5 trillion, staving off a debt default that the Treasury was weeks away from breaching.”

Inside Hakeem Jeffries’ Decision to Stall Trump’s Bill

July 3, 2025 at 1:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The overwhelming consensus on Capitol Hill was that House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) would only delay President Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’ by about an hour. As noon approached on Thursday, that expectation was shattered,” Axios reports.

“For months, the Democratic base has been demanding their party’s leaders ‘fight harder’ and use every tool at their disposal to stymie the GOP agenda. In the eyes of many lawmakers, this is Jeffries delivering.”

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told the DC Examiner that Jeffries “looks like a bumbling fool.”

Jeffries broke the record for the longest floor speech in the chamber’s history. He spoke for 8 hours and 44 minutes.

One More Bonus Quote of the Day

July 3, 2025 at 12:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Tax breaks for billionaires — permanent. Tax breaks for everybody else expire.”

— Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY), quoted by Punchbowl News, on the Republican budget reconciliation bill.

Let’s Get Specific

July 3, 2025 at 12:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Derek Thompson: “Zohran Mamdani isn’t just charismatic; he’s charismatically specific. In his campaign videos, he’ll walk through city bodegas to tell voters how he might tweak the details of urban retail policy. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, a rising star in the Democratic Party, went viral after the election with a straight-to-camera campaign to fix an esoteric regulation that barred daycare workers from peeling bananas to feed infants. She painstakingly explained that peeling fruit technically violated food-processing standards, and so young kids risked going hungry because their teachers were afraid of anti-peeling lawsuits. On the right-of-center podcast Flagrant, Pete Buttigieg also went viral, not by offering a familiar criticism of Donald Trump, but rather by giving a detailed day-in-the-life description of what America would look like if sensible liberal ideas won out.”

“Mamdani, MGP, and Buttigieg represent distinct corners of the Democratic tent. But their communicative successes all borrow from the same lesson. In politics today, specificity is a superpower. Specificity tells voters: I care so much about your frustration that I’ve sought to deeply understand the details of what’s behind it. Specificity doesn’t just offer a story to grab people’s momentary attention. It promises agency. If we can name our problems, we can fix them.”

This Is Who Trump Wants to Protect Whistleblowers

July 3, 2025 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The man President Donald Trump wants to put in charge of protecting whistleblowers – and rooting out government corruption – is a 30-year-old lawyer with barely a year of government experience and a history of racist invective, conspiratorial rants, and affinity for a well-known White nationalist and Holocaust denier,” CNN reports.

“Paul Ingrassia, whom Trump nominated in late May to lead the Office of Special Counsel, brands himself as ‘President Trump’s favorite writer’ after Trump shared his comments close to 100 times last year on social media.”

And then there’s this: “Last year, on the anniversary of the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, Ingrassia shared a video of conspiracy theorist Alex Jones claiming the US government planned the attacks or let them happen.”

A New Front in Trump’s War on Democracy

July 3, 2025 at 11:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here’s a story that shouldn’t be buried in a pre-holiday news dump…

The New York Times reports the Justice Department is weighing whether to bring criminal charges against state and local election officials it believes failed to adequately secure their voting systems.

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Another Bonus Quote of the Day

July 3, 2025 at 10:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We met with President Trump, and, you know, he did a masterful job of laying out how we could improve it, how he could use his chief executive office, use things to make the bill better. We accepted the bill as is. What’s different is President Trump is going to use his powers.”

— Rep. Ralph Norman (R-SC), in an interview with CNBC, on why he now supports President Trump’s “big, beautiful bill.”

Supreme Court to Take Up Case on Transgender Athletes

July 3, 2025 at 10:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court is diving back into the culture war issue of transgender rights, adding a potentially blockbuster case on transgender athletes to its next term,” USA Today reports.

“The court’s July 3 announcement that it will review Idaho’s and West Virginia’s bans on transgender athletes joining female sports teams came just weeks after the court’s conservative majority upheld Tennessee’s ban on puberty blockers and hormone therapy for minors.”

New York Times: “The justices agreed to hear the cases during the court’s next term, which begins in early October. They have not yet set a date for oral argument.”

Jeffries Has His Moment in Hourslong Speech

July 3, 2025 at 10:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Representative Hakeem Jeffries of New York, the Democratic leader, passed the four-hour mark on Thursday morning in a marathon speech in the House opposing Republicans’ signature legislation carrying out President Trump’s domestic agenda,” the New York Times reports.

“Beginning his remarks before dawn, Mr. Jeffries said that he was ‘planning to take my sweet time’ with his speech.”

“It was not a filibuster, the Senate tactic that allows a member to speechify for unlimited time, delaying action indefinitely. But Mr. Jeffries was making use of his prerogative as a leader to stretch his allotted 60 seconds of speaking time for far longer, in a House tradition known as a ‘magic minute.’ In doing so, he was attempting to seize a pivotal moment for Democrats — who have toiled to find a cohesive strategy, message and messenger for countering Mr. Trump — to make a forceful case against the president and his agenda.”

Punchbowl News: “If Hakeem Jeffries speaks until 1:26 p.m., he will break the record for the longest floor speech. That record is held by Kevin McCarthy. McCarthy spoke for eight hours and 32 minutes.”

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Word of the Day

Play in Peoria: To “play in Peoria” is a phrase meaning how well something will appeal to the heartland or mainstream America.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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