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‘It’s Gonna Be Fine’

December 5, 2025 at 6:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

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Democrats Already Thinking About 2032

December 5, 2025 at 5:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NOTUS: “If you think it’s too soon for 2028 talk, Democratic operatives are already talking about 2032: Americans keep moving around the country, and that’s changing how Democrats are thinking about post-census elections. They are making a bigger deal out of the midterms to preempt those population changes, which are expected to result in House seat losses for reliably blue states, while Southern states are projected to gain nine.”

Said Democratic strategist Morgan Jackson: “We can’t rely just on the blue wall states that are losing population anymore. The math doesn’t work anymore.”

New Fundraising Platform Shakes Up GOP

December 5, 2025 at 5:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A new Trump-aligned online fundraising platform has emerged, and is poised to upend the Republican Party’s massive cash ecosystem,” Axios reports.

“The new platform — called Impact — will clash with the party’s dominant small-dollar fundraising partner, WinRed, for supremacy over the GOP gold mine.”


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John Thune Gets Heat From All Sides

December 5, 2025 at 5:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Majority Leader John Thune is in unfamiliar territory — taking heat from all sides of his conference with no clear path out of the mess. It’s a precarious position for Thune, one that’s testing the limits of the leadership philosophy that helped him win the job,” Punchbowl News reports.

“Less than a year into his tenure as Senate Republican leader, Thune has been able to successfully steer Republicans through some of the most challenging moments of his career. From the One Big Beautiful Bill Act to Cabinet nominations to a record-breaking government shutdown and a high-profile rules change, Thune has allowed the GOP conference to reach a consensus on its own rather than dictating an outcome from above.”

“And Thune has done all of this without getting on the wrong side of President Donald Trump, a huge feat on its own.”

“But amid the year-end frenzy, the strategy that helped Thune score big wins earlier this year is failing to produce results on multiple fronts, angering several GOP factions simultaneously and reviving longstanding tensions within the conference.”

Trump’s Approval Rating Dips

December 5, 2025 at 5:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“After months of holding steady, President Trump’s approval rating has taken a dip over the past several weeks,” according to a New York Times analysis of public polling.

“As Americans voice broad concerns about the economy, Mr. Trump is facing discontent from across the political spectrum, with even some of his longest-serving allies raising complaints and urging the administration to refocus on economic issues.”

MAGA’s Affordability Crisis Will Soon Get Worse

December 5, 2025 at 5:50 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “As current polls show, swing voters are increasingly blaming Trump, rather than Biden, for the cost of living. And the public’s ire is likely to get worse for the Republicans as time goes on.”

“In the summer of 2024, as Trump was lagging in the polls behind Kamala Harris, he began to repeatedly and explicitly promise not simply to reduce inflation but to deliver large declines in consumer prices: ‘Starting the day I take the oath of office, I will rapidly drive prices down.’ Although economists warned that there was no way he could deliver on those promises, enough voters believed him to swing the election.”

“Now that Trump has in fact utterly failed to deliver, those voters — especially those Black and Latino voters who believed him — have swung back to the Democrats with a vengeance:”

Zelensky’s Government Sabotaged Oversight

December 5, 2025 at 5:01 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Russian troops invaded Ukraine, Kyiv’s Western allies faced a dilemma: how to spend billions supporting a government fighting Russia without watching the money vanish into the pockets of corrupt managers and government officials,” the New York Times reports.

“The stakes were high because Ukraine’s vital wartime industries — power distribution, weapons purchases and nuclear energy — were controlled by state-owned companies that have long served as piggy banks for the country’s elite.”

“To protect their money, the United States and European nations insisted on oversight. They required Ukraine to allow groups of outside experts, known as supervisory boards, to monitor spending, appoint executives and prevent corruption.”

“Over the past four years, a New York Times investigation found, the Ukrainian government systematically sabotaged that oversight, allowing graft to flourish.”

Mike Johnson Scrambles to Pass Pentagon Bill

December 4, 2025 at 10:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Republicans spent this week venting about Mike Johnson, questioning the speaker’s hold on his tenuous House majority. Next week, he has to prove he’s capable of governing,” Politico reports.

“The annual Pentagon policy bill is due on the floor just in time to test Johnson’s ability to command and cajole his conference with must-pass legislation at stake. Already GOP leaders have had to delay release of bill text as they deal with a host of 11th-hour intraparty flare-ups that show just how hard it will be for the speaker to lead ahead of next year’s midterm elections.”

Hegseth Keeps Trump’s Favor for Now

December 4, 2025 at 10:37 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In the high-frequency churn of President Donald Trump’s first term, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s repeated missteps would have fueled guessing games about his imminent firing,” Bloomberg reports.

“In the second, he has maintained White House support — at least for now.”

Jamie Raskin Boosts His Security

December 4, 2025 at 10:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) had his security increased this week after pardoned Jan. 6 defendant Taylor Taranto allegedly showed up near the Maryland congressman’s house, Axios reports.

RFK Jr. Puts Doctor-Turned-Senator in a Political Bind

December 4, 2025 at 10:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Having cast the deciding vote to secure Kennedy’s confirmation, Cassidy is in the difficult spot of having supported someone who is working against his interests… The secretary this week stands to oversee the undoing of a vaccine norm that Cassidy has credited with preventing around 20,000 hepatitis B infections every year.”

Supreme Court Allows Texas to Use New Map

December 4, 2025 at 6:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Thursday allowed Texas to use a congressional map that will boost President Donald Trump’s effort to keep Republicans in control of Congress, blocking a lower court decision that found the new boundaries were likely unconstitutional because they were drawn based on race,” CNN reports.

“The decision could have significant consequences for next year’s midterm elections, which will determine control of the House for the final two years of Trump’s presidency. Had Texas been blocked from using its new map, it would have upended Trump’s nationwide push to avoid a Democratic House majority.”

A Sickening Moral Slum of an Administration

December 4, 2025 at 6:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

George Will: “Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth seems to be a war criminal. Without a war. An interesting achievement.”

Macron Warns U.S. Could ‘Betray’ Ukraine

December 4, 2025 at 5:55 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“French President Emmanuel Macron warned the U.S. could be about to ‘betray’ Ukraine, according to a leaked transcript of a call between European leaders strategizing about how to protect Kyiv,” Politico reports.

Said Macron: “There is a possibility that the U.S. will betray Ukraine on the issue of territory without clarity on security guarantees.”

Grand Jury Declines to Indict Letitia James

December 4, 2025 at 5:50 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Justice Department on Thursday failed to secure an indictment against New York Attorney General Letitia James, NBC News reports.

The presentation to the grand jury came less than two weeks after the original criminal case against her was dismissed.

Trump Delegates Pardon Power to Subordinates

December 4, 2025 at 5:38 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Donald Trump issued a sweeping pardon for allies in his bid to subvert the 2020 election, he stretched the boundaries of the pardon power in unprecedented ways,” Politico reports.

“The pardon’s language is so vague and limitless that it could apply to thousands of people. And now Trump’s Justice Department says it’s up to Attorney General Pam Bondi and Pardon Attorney Ed Martin to decide who, and which possible crimes, Trump actually meant to cover.”

“There’s no modern precedent — and maybe no historical precedent, either — for a president to delegate his pardon power to subordinates on a pardon this vaguely worded.”

Exchange of the Day

December 4, 2025 at 5:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett was interviewed on Fox News:

FOX ANCHOR: 76% of people say the economy is “only fair” or “poor” and 62% of people say Trump is responsible for economic conditions. What would you say?

HASSETT: When there’s a govt shutdown, the survey data tends to really really tank because everybody’s in a terrible mood.

Pentagon May Release Double-Strike Video

December 4, 2025 at 5:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Defense Department is considering publicly releasing video footage of the second strike on an alleged drug boat on Sept. 2, Axios reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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