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Virginia Governor’s Race Is Now a Toss Up

September 24, 2021 at 8:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cook Political Report: “We can no longer say this is a contest where the Democrat has the advantage. While many of the fundamentals favor McAuliffe — and we expect he still has a slight edge — it’s Youngkin who seems to have the enthusiasm on his side. That could change before November 2, much as it did in California in the closing weeks of the race.”

“But Youngkin is far more difficult to make into a boogeyman than replacement frontrunner Larry Elder was, whose gaffes and comments were golden gifts for Gov. Gavin Newsom. He’s far more Bob McDonnell than Ken Cuccinelli, but Democrats hope he’ll be more of an Ed Gillespie ultimately — a more establishment-type Republican who was forced into more conservative positions and tied to Trump as his undoing.”

“This is why while we may put a pinkie on the scale for McAuliffe — and it’s far easier for Democrats in a state like Virginia to get the final few points they need than Republicans — the race is nonetheless close enough in our range to shift its rating. For now, Virginia Governor moves from Lean Democrat to Toss Up.”

Quote of the Day

September 24, 2021 at 8:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This is Washington in 2021 — your hopes will be dashed.”

— Bush Treasury official Tony Fratto, quoted by the New York Times.

Voters Want to Curb Influence of Big Tech

September 24, 2021 at 8:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new poll conducted for the Future of Tech Commission found that 80% of registered voters—83% of Democrats and 78% of Republicans—agreed the federal government “needs to do everything it can to curb the influence of big tech companies that have grown too powerful and now use our data to reach too far into our lives.”

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Germany’s Election Is Up for Grabs

September 24, 2021 at 8:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With just two days until Election Day, Germany’s election is wide open, the Financial Times reports.

“Never before have Germans faced such a broad spectrum of possible electoral outcomes. Angela Merkel is quitting the political battlefield and the army of voters the chancellor once commanded is now up for grabs. Her departure, after 16 years in power, has disrupted a system that once seemed the model of stability.”

Reuters: “A potential lurch to the left in Germany’s election on Sunday is scaring millionaires into moving assets into Switzerland.”

Senate Will Vote on Funding Bill on Monday

September 24, 2021 at 7:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer filed cloture late Thursday night to break a GOP filibuster of a House-passed government funding bill to keep federal agencies open until Dec. 3,” Punchbowl News reports.

“The Senate vote on the motion to proceed to this bill — which also includes language to suspend the debt limit until Dec. 2022 — will take place on Monday at 5:30 p.m. In case you were wondering, that’s just 72 hours before the government shuts down.”

“Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Senate Republicans will filibuster this bill, preventing any action on it, and they have more than enough votes to prevent cloture. Democrats will then have to decide on a next step for government funding and the debt limit. This includes moving a debt-limit increase on their own, possibly as part of a separate reconciliation package.”

Biden Sinks In the Swing Districts

September 24, 2021 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Doubts about President Biden’s competence — on the Afghanistan exit, the border crisis and the pandemic — are driving double-digit drops in his approval in private polling in swing House seats, according to the Cook Political Report.

Pelosi to Bring Reconciliation Bill to Floor

September 24, 2021 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Nancy Pelosi has been privately telling House committee chairmen and members that she wants to bring the reconciliation bill to the floor next week, Politico reports.

Playbook: “Pelosi has repeatedly declared herself a ‘master legislator,’ and the cascade of deadlines she’s up against — to avoid a government shutdown, to raise the debt ceiling, to keep her promise of a Monday vote on the BIF, to notch a win for Biden — may be the most difficult legislative gauntlet she’s ever faced. Still, at this point, it makes a certain amount of sense to try and package everything together and ram it through as quickly as possible.”

Manchin Questions Medicare Expansion

September 24, 2021 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) said “he doesn’t support expanding Medicare benefits without first addressing the program’s long-term solvency, again putting him at odds with Sen. Bernie Sanders and other key liberals as they negotiate President Joe Biden’s economic agenda,” Bloomberg reports.

Grassley to Run for Re-Election

September 24, 2021 at 6:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) announced that he is running for re-election next year.

The Constitutional Crisis Is Here

September 24, 2021 at 6:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Robert Kagan: “The United States is heading into its greatest political and constitutional crisis since the Civil War, with a reasonable chance over the next three to four years of incidents of mass violence, a breakdown of federal authority, and the division of the country into warring red and blue enclaves. The warning signs may be obscured by the distractions of politics, the pandemic, the economy and global crises, and by wishful thinking and denial.”

“But about these things there should be no doubt: First, Donald Trump will be the Republican candidate for president in 2024. The hope and expectation that he would fade in visibility and influence have been delusional. He enjoys mammoth leads in the polls; he is building a massive campaign war chest; and at this moment the Democratic ticket looks vulnerable. Barring health problems, he is running.”

“Second, Trump and his Republican allies are actively preparing to ensure his victory by whatever means necessary.”

Arizona Election ‘Audit’ Confirms Biden Victory

September 24, 2021 at 5:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A Republican-commissioned review of nearly 2.1 million ballots cast last year in Arizona confirmed the accuracy of the official results and President Biden’s win in Maricopa County,” the Washington Post reports.

“After nearly six months and almost $6 million — most of it given by groups that cast doubt on the election results — the draft report shows that the review concluded that 45,469 more ballots were cast for Biden in Maricopa County than for Trump, widening Biden’s margin by 360 more votes than certified results.”

Arizona Republic: “The draft reports reviewed by The Republic minimize the ballot counts and election results and instead focus on issues that raise questions about the election process and voter integrity.”

CNN: Sham Arizona 2020 review blows open Trump’s election lies.

CDC Chief Overrules Agency Panel on Boosters

September 24, 2021 at 5:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Friday overruled a recommendation by an agency advisory panel that had refused to endorse booster shots of the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid vaccine for frontline workers,” the New York Times reports

“It was a highly unusual move for the director, Dr. Rochelle Walensky, but aligned C.D.C. policy with the Food and Drug Administration’s endorsements over her own agency’s advisers.”

Election Challenges Distracted from Covid Response

September 24, 2021 at 5:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“White House officials prioritized President Donald Trump’s attempt to challenge the election over the pandemic response last winter, according to emails obtained by the House select subcommittee probing the government’s coronavirus response,” the Washington Post reports.

“Steven Hatfill, a virologist who advised White House trade director Peter Navarro and said he was intimately involved in the pandemic response, repeatedly described in the emails how ‘election stuff’ took precedence over coronavirus, even as the outbreak surged to more than 250,000 new coronavirus cases per day in January.”

Alaska Hospitals Struggle to Handle Outbreak

September 24, 2021 at 4:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Alaska, once a leader in vaccinating its citizens, is now in the throes of its worst coronavirus surge of the pandemic, as the Delta variant rips through the state, swamping hospitals with patients,” the New York Times reports.

Anchorage Daily News: “Alaska’s unprecedented COVID-19 crisis escalated Thursday with the state reporting seven new deaths, a record 1,330 new cases and a near-record 209 hospitalizations.”

“It’s the third time in two weeks that the daily record has been broken.”

Yellen Faces Her Biggest Test Yet

September 24, 2021 at 4:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Janet Yellen was Federal Reserve chair in 2014, she faced a grilling from Republicans about whether the federal government had a plan if the nation’s borrowing limit was breached and measures to keep paying the country’s bills were exhausted,” the New York Times reports.

“Ms. Yellen, appearing at a congressional hearing, outlined a dire scenario in which financial institutions might try to make payments that they could not cover, because the Treasury Department was out of money, leading to a cascade of bounced checks. She pushed back against the notion held by some Republicans that an economic meltdown could be averted, warning that there was no secret contingency plan.”

“Fending off such a calamity is now squarely the responsibility of Ms. Yellen, who is confronting the biggest test she has faced in her eight months as President Biden’s Treasury secretary.”

Democrats Looking Anew at a Carbon Tax

September 24, 2021 at 4:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Opposition from a single moderate Democrat to corporate and income tax rate increases has revived efforts in the Senate to draft a tax on carbon dioxide pollution as a way to pay for the Democrats’ proposed $3.5 billion budget bill,” the New York Times reports.

“Senator Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona has not advocated a carbon tax, which President Biden and other key Democrats have shied away from as a huge political risk. But her resistance to tax rate increases to pay for the Democrats’ ambitious social policy and climate legislation has set off a scramble for alternatives — at the very least to show her how difficult it would be assemble a package without those rate hikes.”

Texas Launches Election ‘Audit’ After Trump Pressure

September 23, 2021 at 11:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Eight and a half hours after former President Donald Trump made a public demand for Gov. Greg Abbott of Texas to back legislation to create a ‘forensic audit of the 2020 election,’ the Texas secretary of state’s office announced a ‘comprehensive forensic audit’ of the results from four of the state’s largest counties,” the New York Times reports.

“The quick response by state officials in Texas, which Mr. Trump carried last year by more than five percentage points, was the latest example of the former president’s enduring influence over the Republican Party, particularly when it comes to his efforts to undermine public confidence in the legitimacy of his loss last year to President Biden.”

The GOP Attacks Its Own

September 23, 2021 at 8:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican super PACs are beating up on the party’s own candidates in key Senate primaries while Democratic groups largely hold their intra-party fire,” Axios reports.

“The negative ads some Republican groups are directing at GOP candidates threaten to elevate damaging stories about them ahead of competitive fights that could determine control of the 50-50 Senate.”

“The risk isn’t just the quantity or volume of Republican-on-Republican attacks; it’s their brutal tone.”

So much for Ronald Reagan’s Eleventh Commandment.
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Mark-Up: The mark-up is the committee meeting held to review the text of a bill before reporting it to the floor.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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