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The Democrats’ Failure Is Complete

July 15, 2022 at 4:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “Joe Biden once dreamed of an FDR-size domestic-reform agenda. But the collapse of negotiations in Congress on the compromise of the compromise of that agenda will ensure he achieves nothing of the sort — not Roosevelt-size, not Obama-size, nor even Clinton-size. (Bill Clinton managed to increase taxes on the rich, expand the Earned Income Tax Credit, and create a health-care benefit for poor children.)”

“In addition to losing its chance to address any domestic social need in an enduring way, the administration is also having imperiled its global leadership on climate change and a global corporate minimum tax, two measures that hinged on Biden getting his own country’s house in order.”

Kamala Harris’ Chief Speechwriter Leaving

July 15, 2022 at 3:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Vice President Kamala Harris’ director of speechwriting, Meghan Groob, is leaving the office less than four months into the job, Politico reports.

Eric Greitens to Testify on Abuse Allegations

July 15, 2022 at 3:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens (R) is scheduled to testify Wednesday in his ongoing child custody dispute with his ex-wife Sheena Greitens, the Kansas City Star reports.

Greitens will likely will likely face questions about allegations that he abused his ex-wife and their young children in 2018. It could expose damaging information about the U.S. Senate candidate just weeks before the Republican primary on Aug. 2.

Biden Pulls the Plug on Broader Spending Bill

July 15, 2022 at 3:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) killing — or at best delaying — climate provisions of a budget reconciliation bill, President Biden issued a statement saying he is moving on.

Said Biden: “If the Senate will not move to tackle the climate crisis and strengthen our domestic clean energy industry, I will take strong executive action to meet this moment.”

Instead, Biden said he wants the Senate to pass legislation to lower prescription drug prices and extend funding for the Affordable Care Act — even if it lacks climate provisions or tax increases — before the August recess.

Biden knows a reconciliation bill with a vote-a-rama will never pass after the August recess with elections coming up.
Taegan

J.D. Vance’s Campaign Is Broke

July 15, 2022 at 2:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “That’s the key takeaway from Federal Election Commission filings this week, which show that between mid-April and the end of June, the Vance team raised a million dollars, spent more than that, and is a quarter of a million dollars in the hole with just four months until election day.”

“It’s not the full picture for Vance, whose fundraising operation includes a leadership PAC and joint fundraising committees. But even that isn’t much better.”

An Early House Projection

July 15, 2022 at 2:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

This edition includes an early House projection — Republicans are likely to gain between 12-30 seats in the midterm elections — along with updated gubernatorial ratings in four states, and the latest Senate race polling. 

Join now to continue reading.

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Manchin Denies Killing Climate Provisions of Spending Bill

July 15, 2022 at 1:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In a radio interview, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) denied last night’s reports that he killed the climate and tax portions of the Democratic spending package.

Said Manchin: “I said, ‘Chuck, can we just wait until the inflation figures come out in July? Until basically the Fed rate — the Reserve, are they going to raise interest? How much more, and how much damage is that going to be? And then make a decision what we can do and how much we can do?’ He took that as a ‘no,’ I guess, and came out with this big thing last night.”

He added: “And I don’t know why they did that. I guess to try to put pressure on me, but they’ve been doing that for over a year now. It doesn’t make any sense at all. As far as I’m concerned, I want climate, I want an energy policy.”

New York Times: “Privately, Senate Democratic staff members seethed and sobbed on Thursday night, after more than a year of working nights and weekends to scale back, water down, trim and tailor the climate legislation to Mr. Manchin’s exact specifications, only to have it rejected inches from the finish line.”

Playbook: “Now, the question becomes: Is the damage already done — and have Democrats run out of patience and grace for Manchin?”

Putin Reshuffles Top Officials

July 15, 2022 at 1:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday reshuffled his top officials, naming a new head of the state space corporation and giving new broad powers to one of his top ministers,” the AP reports.

House Votes to Codify Abortion Rights

July 15, 2022 at 1:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The House on Friday passed legislation that would protect access to reproductive health care, including the ability to travel across state lines for an abortion, as part of Democrats’ efforts to minimize the consequences of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade last month,” the Washington Post reports.

“Despite passage in the Democratic-led House, the bills are almost certain to fail in the Senate, where they would require 60 votes or the suspension of filibuster rules and a simple majority.”

Every single Republican voted against the measure to codify Roe v. Wade.
Taegan

January 6 Committee Meets with Secret Service Watchdog

July 15, 2022 at 1:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Department of Homeland Security inspector general on Friday briefed all nine members of the House select committee investigating the US Capitol attack on January 6, 2021, about the Secret Service erasing text messages from the day of the riot and the day before,” CNN reports.

The Secret Service pushed back on the allegations late Thursday night: “The insinuation that the Secret Service maliciously deleted text messages following a request is false.”

The Case for Indicting Donald Trump

July 15, 2022 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “Trump didn’t commit ordinary crimes (well, he probably did, and that weighs on all of this too, but it’s not the main thing). He attempted to overturn an election that he had lost, and used the presidency to do so. That’s become clearer and clearer as the House committee investigating the assault on the US Capitol of Jan. 6, 2021 has presented its case.” 

“Experts seem to believe that the evidence is there and that conviction is likely for Trump’s efforts to pressure election officials to falsify results, to gin up slates of fake electors and to provoke the Capitol mob. And it’s highly relevant that Trump to this day, long after the election, continues to try to overturn the legitimate result. Prosecutors should take it into account if a person constantly takes to the biggest stages and in effect brags about his crimes and promises to commit them again if he has the chance…”

“If all of this sounds as if the ultimate decision by the Justice Department will be political in nature… well, that’s correct. Prosecutors have to balance the threat to the nation from indicting a former president against the threat to the nation of not doing so. Given the facts we’ve seen, it’s just not that hard a choice. Trump’s crimes are too important, and too dangerous, to ignore.”

Trump Allies Line Up Shadow Government

July 15, 2022 at 12:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A group of Donald Trump’s former aides are preparing a turnkey administration for his return to the White House, as the embattled former president hints that he’s preparing to make a third run for the nation’s highest office,” Bloomberg reports.

“America First Policy Institute, a nonprofit led by former Trump cabinet member and World Wrestling Entertainment executive Linda McMahon, has essentially assembled a shadow government for Trump — or, potentially, any other Republican who takes the White House from Democrats in 2024.”

Biden Fist Bumps Saudi Crown Prince

July 15, 2022 at 12:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Biden greeted Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman with a fist bump Friday as he arrived here for a controversial meeting with the Saudi leader, capping his first trip to the Middle East with a high-stakes diplomatic engagement where he is expected to address a range of issues from oil production to human rights to the war in Yemen,” the Washington Post reports.
 
“Biden descended Air Force One on a light purple carpet and was greeted by a small coterie of Saudi officials. Unlike the elaborate and effusive welcome ceremony that greeted him Wednesday when he arrived in Israel, Biden was only on the tarmac at King Abdulaziz International Airport for one minute before entering the presidential limousine and departing.”

Peter Navarro Rejects Plea Deal

July 15, 2022 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Former Trump White House trade adviser Peter Navarro rejected a plea offer from the Justice Department,” CNN reports.

“The deal would have allowed Navarro to plead guilty to one of two contempt of Congress charges for not cooperating with the House’s ongoing January 6 investigation. Navarro would also be required comply with the House select committee’s subpoena ‘to the satisfaction of the Justice Department,’ and would cap Navarro’s potential jail sentence at 30 days.”

GOP Increasingly Fears Senate Debacle

July 15, 2022 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Josh Kraushaar: “Top Republicans, once confident about winning control of the Senate in the midterms, fear they’ll blow it after nominating several deeply flawed candidates in winnable states, according to conversations with GOP strategists, pollsters and other officials.”

“Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has been sounding this alarm for months: electing fringe candidates with checkered pasts could squander a golden chance to reclaim power. Now, McConnell is left hoping for a red wave so wide and powerful that candidate quality is irrelevant.”

Biden’s Low Approval Is a Return to Normalcy

July 15, 2022 at 11:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Monkey Cage: “Obama’s approval rating barely budged even as consumer sentiment rebounded from its low point during the Great Recession of 2008 to 2009. Trump’s approval rating was chronically low despite high levels of consumer sentiment, and it did not drop any lower even when consumer sentiment decreased during the recession induced by the covid-19 pandemic.”

“This curious feature of the Obama and Trump presidencies has been documented in political science research. One explanation is that in an era of strong partisanship, it’s harder for presidents to win over many opposite-party voters in periods of economic growth, or lose the support of their own party’s voters in a recession.”

“But Biden’s presidency looks different, at least so far. As consumer sentiment has dropped, Biden’s approval rating has dropped with it.”

It’s Not Just Joe Manchin

July 15, 2022 at 11:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Although Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) is responsible for sinking the latest Democratic efforts to deal with climate change, Sara Goddard notes the problem goes far beyond one senator.

Trump’s Deposition Delayed

July 15, 2022 at 11:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Former President Donald Trump and two of his children got their questioning postponed Friday in a New York civil investigation into their business dealings, a delay that follows the death of Trump’s ex-wife Ivana,” the AP reports.

“The ex-president, son Donald Jr. and daughter Ivanka had been scheduled for depositions — a term for out-of-court questioning under oath — starting as soon as Friday. But New York Attorney General Letitia James’ office said it had agreed to postpone them because of Ivana Trump’s death.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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