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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 187

Bad Instincts

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 187: Bad Instincts

Why Biden’s Pivot to the Economy Could Backfire

May 31, 2022 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The White House plans a month-long focus on the economy — essentially an attempt to convince Americans that it’s not as bad as they think.

President Biden kicked this off himself with a Wall Street Journal op-ed this morning:

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American Confidence In Economy Hits New Low

May 31, 2022 at 8:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup poll finds Americans’ confidence in the economy has plummeted to a new low, hitting likely the lowest confidence since the end of the Great Recession in early 2009.

Asa Hutchinson Open to Raising Age for AR-15 Purchases

May 31, 2022 at 8:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R) told CNN he was willing for a “conversation” on raising the minimum age to purchase a semiautomatic rifle from 18 to 21 and “AR-15-style weapons” amid fresh talks on gun reform following a deadly mass shooting in Texas last week.

Tina Kotek Hopes to Be First Lesbian Governor

May 31, 2022 at 7:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Tina Kotek is hoping to make political history again. She became the country’s first out lesbian speaker of a state House of Representatives in 2013. She broke barriers once again by becoming Oregon’s longest-serving speaker, before stepping down in January to run for governor,” NBC News reports.

“Now, after winning the state’s Democratic nomination for governor last week, Kotek hopes to add another notch to her political belt by becoming the first lesbian governor in the United States.”

Gas Prices Surge to New Record

May 31, 2022 at 7:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“U.S. gasoline prices surged to another fresh record, the latest blow to motorists heading into the summer driving season,” Bloomberg reports.

“Average retail prices in the U.S. reached $4.619 per gallon as of Monday, according to the latest data from the American Automobile Association. That’s up from $4.178 a gallon a month ago and is about 52% higher than a year earlier.”

Biden Pivots to the Economy

May 31, 2022 at 7:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook says the purpose of the June pivot appears threefold:

  1. To convince skeptical voters that, despite their current misgivings, the economy is actually doing quite well.
  2. To calm fears about inflation and reassure both everyday Americans and major economic players that Biden has a plan to address it.
  3. To thwart GOP efforts to try to hang inflation like an albatross around Democrats ahead of the midterms — and maybe even go on offense by accusing the GOP of pushing policies that will make the economy worse.

Inside a White House Adrift

May 31, 2022 at 7:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Faced with a worsening political predicament, President Joe Biden is pressing aides for a more compelling message and a sharper strategy while bristling at how they’ve tried to stifle the plain-speaking persona that has long been one of his most potent assets,” NBC News reports.

“Biden is rattled by his sinking approval ratings and is looking to regain voters’ confidence that he can provide the sure-handed leadership he promised during the campaign, people close to the president say.”

“Crises have piled up in ways that have at times made the Biden White House look flat-footed: record inflation, high gas prices, a rise in Covid case numbers — and now a Texas school massacre that is one more horrific reminder that he has been unable to get Congress to pass legislation to curb gun violence. Democratic leaders are at a loss about how he can revive his prospects by November, when midterm elections may cost his party control of Congress.”

Europe Agrees to Phase Out Russian Oil

May 31, 2022 at 6:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“European Union countries finally reached a deal to wean themselves off Russian oil, their most significant effort yet to hit the Russian economy over the war in Ukraine, although the impact will be softened by an exemption for pipeline oil, a concession to landlocked holdouts, notably Hungary,” the Washington Post reports.

Peter Navarro Gets Grand Jury Subpoena

May 31, 2022 at 6:52 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Peter Navarro, who as a White House adviser to President Donald Trump worked to keep Mr. Trump in office after his defeat in the 2020 election, disclosed on Monday that he has been summoned to testify on Thursday to a federal grand jury and to provide prosecutors with any records he has related to the attack on the Capitol last year, including ‘any communications’ with Mr. Trump,” the New York Times reports.

“The subpoena to Mr. Navarro — which he said the F.B.I. served at his house last week — seeks his testimony about materials related to the buildup to the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, and signals that the Justice Department investigation may be progressing to include activities of people in the White House.”

Supreme Court Leak Investigation Heats Up

May 31, 2022 at 6:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Supreme Court officials are escalating their search for the source of the leaked draft opinion that would overturn Roe v. Wade, taking steps to require law clerks to provide cell phone records and sign affidavits,” CNN reports.

“Some clerks are apparently so alarmed over the moves, particularly the sudden requests for private cell data, that they have begun exploring whether to hire outside counsel.”

Biden’s Brother Pushes Back

May 31, 2022 at 6:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In a rare phone interview, James Biden said he tries to keep a low profile, and he used more than a few expletives to describe unwelcome attention from Republicans and the media,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Biden: “I’m the guy who assists in everything. When it comes to my family I try to be as supportive as I can. But this notion of ‘the fixer,’ or any reference that has a negative connotation, is offensive.”

He added: “The notion I am some underworld figure and I am a fixer or the cleaner or I’m this or that — I’m a very concerned family member who tries to protect my family in every way I can, in what is a very ethical way.”

Canceling Plans at the Last Minute Is New Normal

May 31, 2022 at 6:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Calling off plans at the last minute used to be seen as rude. Now it can feel like a fixture of social life,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“As Covid-19 cases rise in some parts of the country, cancellations keep coming. Among friends, families and colleagues, reasons for canceling plans range widely, as does the timing. This is partly due to the uneven nature by which Covid-19 spreads, and partly due to a willingness to beg off plans with little more than sniffles. The availability of rapid tests—and events that require them—has also meant that people find out their health status at the last minute.”

Worker Shortage Means Things Will Be Closed Again

May 31, 2022 at 6:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Many Americans hoped this would be the first normal summer after two years of Covid-19 disruptions. A chronic labor shortage means it probably won’t be,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“In Phoenix, less than half of the public pools are opening because the city can’t hire enough lifeguards, despite offering a $2,500 incentive payment. Trolley lines in coastal Maine that service beaches are shutting down for the summer due to a dearth of drivers. Across the country, restaurants in tourist destinations are operating on limited hours because they don’t have enough staff to stay open longer.”

Capitol Rioter Turned in by Fraternity Brother

May 31, 2022 at 6:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The eighth Oklahoman charged over the U.S. Capitol attack was turned in by a college fraternity brother who saw his 10 Facebook videos of the riot,” the Oklahoman reports.

Oil Prices Top $120 a Barrel

May 31, 2022 at 6:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oil prices rose to their highest level in more than two months Monday, driven by China’s tentative emergence from Covid-19 shutdowns,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The twin prospect of rising oil demand in Asia and curbed supplies out of Russia pushed benchmark Brent-crude prices for July delivery up 1.9% to $121.67 a barrel. That is their highest level since early March. Since then, falling fuel consumption in China has tamed global demand and pulled crude prices down from their 2022 highs of about $139 a barrel.”

Biden Backs Fed Effort on Inflation

May 31, 2022 at 6:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “President Biden said he would support the Federal Reserve in its effort to combat high inflation by reducing economic demand, as the central bank lifts interest rates at its fastest pace in more than three decades.”

“Mr. Biden outlined a broad three-part plan for addressing inflation, which is running at 40-year highs, in an opinion piece published Monday evening in The Wall Street Journal. He is set to meet with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday at the White House, the first such meeting since Mr. Powell was tapped by Mr. Biden and confirmed to a second four-year term by the Senate on May 12.”

“Mr. Biden said it was likely that the pace of job growth could slow from a monthly pace of 500,000 jobs to around 150,000 as a necessary result of the Fed’s efforts to combat high inflation.”

Chasing an Ever Elusive Deal on Guns

May 31, 2022 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The bipartisan group of 10 senators working on the issue was to have a Zoom call on Tuesday to work out a framework for negotiations during the holiday recess, Senator John Cornyn, Republican of Texas, told reporters on Monday. Congress will be back in session June 6.”

“Failure on this — which many Democrats, including Mr. Schumer, concede is likely after a decade of similar efforts have collapsed — would be lumped onto a growing pile of disappointments that have depressed Democratic voter enthusiasm since the party took control of Washington.”

Trudeau Introduces Strict Control of Handguns

May 30, 2022 at 10:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau wants to freeze the sale, importation and transfer of handguns in Canada, the CBC reports.

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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