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The Rapid Transformation of Elise Stefanik

March 28, 2022 at 11:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “That Ms. Stefanik would be hosting this particular party seemed fitting. A once-moderate Republican who worked in President George W. Bush’s White House and was a protégé of former Speaker Paul Ryan, she is the embodiment of the rapid shift in the Republican Party. In just a few short years, she has morphed from the conservative mainstream into an unlikely star of the MAGA universe and a die-hard Trump loyalist.”

“In an interview on the sidelines of the party retreat, her reinvention was on vivid display. Ms. Stefanik repeated Mr. Trump’s lies about the 2020 election being stolen and refused to acknowledge Mr. Biden as the legitimately elected president.

Prosecutors Advance Tax Probe of Hunter Biden

March 28, 2022 at 11:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal tax investigation into Hunter Biden is gaining momentum as prosecutors gather information from several of his associates about the sources of his foreign income, including from Ukraine, and examine President Biden’s son’s relationship with a company that handled some of his finances,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“In recent weeks, prosecutors from the U.S. attorney’s office in Delaware have sought information and grand-jury testimony about the money Mr. Biden received several years ago from Ukrainian natural-gas company Burisma Holdings Ltd., and how he used that money to pay some obligations.”

“Last month, prosecutors also extensively questioned at least one other associate of Hunter Biden about Mr. Biden’s drug and alcohol use, spending habits and state of mind in 2018, suggesting prosecutors are exploring whether such activity would present a defense against a potential criminal tax case.”

Why Democrats Must Break Pandemic Relief Stalemate

March 28, 2022 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “Some policy decisions are difficult. Economists disagreed on the best size of last spring’s relief bill. I don’t think anyone has a good idea of what President Joe Biden could have done to prevent the Russian invasion of Ukraine. In some cases, it’s hard to know what electoral effects a policy might have; there are often tradeoffs that are difficult to calculate. Sometimes, elected officials have to balance what they think are popular ideas with their impact on the nation. And then there are times when elected officials are stuck between intense demands of party actors who are lined up against public opinion among the bulk of voters.”

“Pandemic funding presents none of these problems. The need for vaccines, testing, treatment and more, all detailed by the White House some time ago, is obvious. This kind of spending is surely popular among most voters and among Democratic party actors. There’s no long-term drawback; to the contrary, some of the spending the White House is requesting can be even more important in the long run than it is right now. And it is critical to Democratic hopes in 2022 and 2024.”

Walking Back Biden’s ‘Gaffe’ Was Much Worse

March 28, 2022 at 10:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

As we covered in great detail over the weekend, nine words at the end of President Biden’s speech in Poland sent the foreign policy establishment into a tizzy.

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Inside the Plan to Create an Abortion Refuge

March 28, 2022 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The emerging red-blue abortion map has prompted a new level of tactical maneuvering — with abortion providers envisioning a proliferation of clinics a stone’s throw from red-state territory and conservative lawmakers exploring measures to prevent abortion patients from crossing state lines for care.”

Most Want Biden to Be Tougher on Russia

March 28, 2022 at 10:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new AP-NORC poll finds 56% of Americans believe President Biden’s response to the invasion has not been tough enough, while 55% said they believed the U.S. should sanction Russia “as effectively as possible,” even if it hurts the U.S. economy.

Kathy Hochul Holds Big Primary Lead

March 28, 2022 at 10:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Siena poll in New York finds Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) with a commanding 40-point lead over both New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams (D) and Rep. Tom Suozzi (D) in the Democratic gubernatorial primary.

If former Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) runs in the primary, Hochul has the support of 38% of Democrats, followed by Cuomo at 30%, Suozzi at 10% and Williams at 7%.

Why Trump Says He ‘Just Might Have to’ Run Again

March 28, 2022 at 9:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Bulwark: “Two motivations appear to lead the pack of emotional wolves that maraud Trump’s brain. First, as his niece Mary Trump has said, he owns ‘the most colossal and fragile ego on the planet.’ His frail self-image fears external confirmation that he’s a loser. Restoration would represent redemption.”

“Second, and likely more important, is his fear of federal prosecution. The presidency brings immunity from it under Justice Department memos… Although Attorney General Merrick Garland has appeared reluctant to prosecute Trump, he remains exposed to federal prosecution on a variety of charges—including charges related to Jan. 6th—absent a return to the White House.”

Timken Invokes Transgender Swimmer In New Ad

March 28, 2022 at 9:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ohio Senate candidate Jane Timken (R) invoked swimmer Lia Thomas in a new campaign ad criticizing rules allowing transgender women being allowed to compete in women’s sports, The Hill reports.

Said Timken: “As a mom and former college athlete, I know how important women’s sports are. They teach our girls to be winners. But the Biden Democrats want to force our daughters to compete against men in the pool and on the court.”

Biden’s Budget Targets Moderates

March 28, 2022 at 9:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Joe Biden’s budget release on Monday is shaping up as a direct appeal to moderate Democrats, emphasizing deficit reduction and flexibility on social spending as the White House hopes to win support for new legislation before November’s midterm elections,” Bloomberg reports.

“The request will show a $1 trillion reduction in deficit spending over the coming decade, generated in part by a new tax targeting the income and unrealized capital gains of billionaires. Federal spending will decline $1.3 trillion from last year alone, as pandemic assistance programs and emergency financing offered to state and local governments are eliminated.”

The 10 Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip

March 28, 2022 at 9:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN ranks the 10 Senate seats most likely to flip:

  1. Pennsylvania
  2. Georgia
  3. Wisconsin
  4. Arizona
  5. Nevada
  6. New Hampshire
  7. North Carolina
  8. Florida
  9. Ohio
  10. Missouri

Biden to Ask Congress for More Police Funding

March 28, 2022 at 7:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Biden will propose more than $32 billion in new spending to fight crime, putting a price tag on his State of the Union call to fund — not defund — the police, Axios reports.

Trump Keeps Wooing Evangelicals

March 28, 2022 at 7:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “As Trump teases a 2024 run, his continued contact with white evangelical Christian leaders in phone calls and regular meetings at Mar-a-Lago is evidence that he is committed to keeping the coalition that first delivered him to the White House intact.”

“It’s a group that Trump recognized early on would be critical for his political trajectory — not just because a cosmopolitan, thrice married, former Playboy cover star who curses and throws out cruel insults to his political enemies lacked a certain appeal to that crowd, but because that crowd is the bedrock of modern Republican politics. Since leaving office, that relationship hasn’t changed.”

Quote of the Day

March 28, 2022 at 7:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The invaders do not even mourn their own casualties. This is something I do not understand. Some 15,000 have been killed in one month… Vladimir Putin is throwing Russian soldiers like logs into a train’s furnace. And, they are not even burying them…Their corpses are left in the streets. In several cities, small cities, our soldiers say it’s impossible to breathe because of the…stench of rotting flesh.”

— Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky, in an interview with The Economist.

Most Americans Worried Russia Might Use Nukes

March 28, 2022 at 7:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new AP-NORC poll finds “close to half of Americans say they are very concerned that Russia would directly target the U.S. with nuclear weapons, and an additional 3 in 10 are somewhat concerned about that.”

“Roughly 9 in 10 Americans are at least somewhat concerned that Putin might use a nuclear weapon against Ukraine, including about 6 in 10 who are very concerned.”

Russian Forces Have Left Chernobyl

March 28, 2022 at 7:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Russian forces have left the Ukrainian town of Slavutych, home to workers at the defunct nuclear plant of Chernobyl, after completing their task of surveying it,” Reuters reports.

Inside Ted Cruz’s Battle to Keep Trump In Power

March 28, 2022 at 7:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “An examination by The Washington Post of Cruz’s actions between Election Day and Jan. 6, 2021, shows just how deeply he was involved, working directly with Trump to concoct a plan that came closer than widely realized to keeping him in power. As Cruz went to extraordinary lengths to court Trump’s base and lay the groundwork for his own potential 2024 presidential bid, he also alienated close allies and longtime friends who accused him of abandoning his principles.”

“Now, Cruz’s efforts are of interest to the House committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, in particular whether Cruz was in contact with Trump lawyer John Eastman, a conservative attorney who has been his friend for decades and who wrote key legal memos aimed at denying Biden’s victory.”

Redistricting Stalls In Last Four States

March 28, 2022 at 7:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico reports that “spats between governors and state legislators have brought map-making to a standstill in the final four states still without new congressional lines for the 2022 elections.”

“With filing deadlines looming, 44 House seats are still outstanding in Louisiana, New Hampshire, Missouri and, most importantly, Florida, which has 28 districts all by itself.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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