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The Next Tea Party Is Lurking

December 18, 2020 at 1:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rosie Gray: “It’s difficult to tell how many people will remain in the hard core of the election-denying camp, though surveys have shown that large numbers of Republicans don’t believe the results — which can range from believing there were some irregularities to believing a coup is taking place. And it’s hard to know how much the most intense believers could influence the more ambivalent Republican, particularly as time goes on.”

“But if this were not an important segment of the party, Republican leaders wouldn’t behave the way they have. Nor would a channel like Newsmax have been able to attract a significant audience. The incentives to keep this going are obvious; supply is meeting demand.”

“What would the goals of such a tea party 2.0 be? Republicans in Washington by and large played along with Trump… Unlike during the 2010 tea party movement, when the midterms provided the focus of ejecting ‘RINOs‘ from Congress, there is no obvious goal this uprising could pursue after Jan. 20. What we may see is a kind of ersatz tea party, rooted not in a future objective but in settling scores from the past, an expression of anger for anger’s sake, locked in a vicious cycle of extreme rhetoric. Whatever it becomes, history shows there would likely be ample funding for it.”

Pelosi Receives Vaccine

December 18, 2020 at 1:24 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi received her first dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech coronavirus vaccine from the attending physician of Congress on Friday, Axios reports.

Trump Will Exit White House with Huge Slush Fund

December 18, 2020 at 12:55 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump will exit the White House as a private citizen next month perched atop a pile of campaign cash unheard-of for an outgoing president, and with few legal limits on how he can spend it,” the New York Times reports.

“Deflated by a loss he has yet to acknowledge, Mr. Trump has cushioned the blow by coaxing huge sums of money from his loyal supporters — often under dubious pretenses — raising roughly $250 million since Election Day along with the national party.”

“More than $60 million of that sum has gone to a new political action committee, which Mr. Trump will control after he leaves office. Those funds, which far exceed what previous outgoing presidents had at their disposal, provide him with tremendous flexibility for his post-presidential ambitions: He could use the money to quell rebel factions within the party, reward loyalists, fund his travels and rallies, hire staff, pay legal bills and even lay the groundwork for a far-from-certain 2024 run.”

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Kushner Set Up Shell Company to Pay Trump Family

December 18, 2020 at 12:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Jared Kushner approved the creation of a campaign shell company that secretly paid the president’s family members and spent almost half of the campaign’s $1.26 billion war chest,” Business Insider reports.

“The operation acted almost like a campaign within a campaign. It paid some of Trump’s top advisors and family members while shielding financial and operational details from public scrutiny.”

Democrats Try to Sneak Waiver Into Funding Bill

December 18, 2020 at 12:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats are trying to tuck a waiver allowing retired Gen. Lloyd Austin to serve as President-elect Joe Biden’s defense secretary into a year-end government funding bill that must pass by tonight to avoid a shutdown,” Axios reports.

“Attaching the waiver to the omnibus would give political cover to some Democrats, including at least four on the Senate Armed Services Committee who have already gone on record opposing it.”

Relief Package Hits New Snag

December 18, 2020 at 12:23 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “Negotiators already dropped two contentious provisions that were holding up an agreement — liability protections for employers and funding for state and local governments.”

“But leaders had hit a new roadblock as Democrats on Friday accused Republicans, led by Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa., of seeking to hamstring the incoming Biden administration by cutting off Federal Reserve emergency lending facilities created by the CARES Act to protect the fragile economy.”

“Democrats want to extend that authority into the new year, describing it as an important tool to respond to an economic crisis.”

GOP Attacks on ‘Defund the Police’ and ‘Socialism’ Worked

December 18, 2020 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cook Political Report: “Throughout the cycle, Democrats rolled their eyes at Republicans’ incessant ads on these themes. After all, a minuscule number of House Democrats actually identify as ‘democratic socialists’ or have advocated reducing police funding.”

“But relatively few Democratic challengers aired ads inoculating themselves against these attacks. Most chose to stay on ‘offense’ on healthcare and COVID in their messaging. And, many paid the price. Says one GOP consultant, ‘In 2018, Dems were seen as normal. But after the rise of AOC, the primaries and ‘defund the police,’ it was easier to paint them as radical.'”

“Democrats’ genuinely progressive challengers fared the worst.”

Why Would Biden Put a Republican in His Cabinet?

December 18, 2020 at 11:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “It’s not unusual to put someone from the other party in the Cabinet; indeed, Democrats have repeatedly nominated Republicans for Defense secretary, and not only after close elections. Commerce, however, might be the least important Cabinet position, at least in a Democratic administration.”

“That said, Biden would be fooling himself if he thought that adding a Republican to his administration would buy him goodwill from Republicans in Congress. And any Republican who would be willing to do it would be attacked as a RINO who doesn’t belong in the party in the first place. Nor is it remotely plausible that Republican voters would be more inclined to support Biden because of such a gesture. Even for people who pay close attention to politics, the selection of a Cabinet secretary is a barely noticeable one-day story.”

“The idea of seeking to build good relations with interest groups is more worthwhile.”

McConnell’s Stunning Admission

December 18, 2020 at 11:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “On a recent conference call, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell made the case for making a deal on COVID relief to his caucus of conspiracy mongering, COVID truthing plutocrats. McConnell didn’t argue that 5 million more Americans would slip into poverty if unemployment insurance expired. He didn’t persuade them with stories of local restaurants and small businesses in dire need of loans as bridges to our post-vaccine future. Instead, McConnell — as politicians often do — personalized the pain and suffering of the pandemic and recession through the stories of two individuals.”

“Kelly and David are getting hammered.”

“It’s definitely gross that McConnell cares more about keeping power than keeping millions of Americans out of poverty. However, we shouldn’t gloss over the fact that McConnell, a shrewd political operator, has decided that the only way Republicans can win in Georgia is for the GOP to sign off on the government sending money to people in need. This stunning admission has implications for how Democrats can make progress in the Biden era as well as for our 2022 political strategy.”

Pentagon Halts Briefings with Biden Transition

December 18, 2020 at 11:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Acting Defense Secretary Chris Miller ordered a Pentagon-wide halt to cooperation with the transition of President-elect Biden, shocking officials across the Defense Department,” Axios reports.

“Miller’s move, which stunned officials throughout the Pentagon, was the biggest eruption yet of animus and mistrust toward the Biden team from the top level of the Trump administration. … A senior Defense Department official sought to downplay the move, calling it ‘a simple delay of the last few scheduled meetings until after the new year.’”

How the GOP Keeps Moving the Goalposts

December 18, 2020 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Republicans’ unwillingness to acknowledge President-elect Joe Biden’s victory is exposed in a brutal new Daily Show montage.

Ex-Trump Official Says Biden Pick Will Be Tough on China

December 18, 2020 at 10:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President-elect Joe Biden’s pick for his incoming administration’s top trade official will likely carry on a tough line against China, according to former Trump trade negotiator Clete Willems,” CNBC reports.

“Biden last week named Katherine Tai, a trade lawyer, as his choice for the U.S. trade representative — a critical Cabinet-level position tasked with enforcing U.S. import rules as well as negotiate trading terms with China and other countries.”

Said Willems: “Katherine Tai is an excellent choice for USTR and the right person for the moment.”

Justices Dismiss Challenge to Trump’s Census Plan

December 18, 2020 at 10:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 on Friday to dismiss a challenge to the Trump administration’s exclusion of undocumented immigrants from the U.S. census, the once-per-decade population count used to allocate House seats among the states,” The Hill reports.

“The decision broke along ideological lines, with the court’s six conservative justices finding that the lawsuit brought by nearly two dozen states was premature. The court’s three more liberal members dissented.”

Rick Hasen has more analysis of the decision.

Personal Income Dropped Everywhere

December 18, 2020 at 10:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Every U.S. state saw personal income drop in the third quarter as stimulus wound down, according to Commerce Department data.

Progressives Line Up Their Own National Security Recruits

December 18, 2020 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In a forceful effort to shape a more progressive foreign policy, a coalition of left-leaning and other groups on Friday will deliver a detailed roster of 100 candidates they recommend for senior posts in the Biden administration,” Politico reports.

“The effort marks a new phase for progressive groups, which have criticized the ties to arms-makers of some Cabinet picks and have also lobbied the Biden-Harris team to enlist a more diverse set of views in building out its national security staff.”

Microsoft Found Malicious Software In Its Systems

December 18, 2020 at 9:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Microsoft Corp said on Thursday it found malicious software in its systems related to a massive hacking campaign disclosed by U.S. officials this week, adding a top technology target to a growing list of attacked government agencies,” Reuters reports.

“Microsoft also had its own products leveraged to attack victims, said people familiar with the matter. The U.S. National Security Agency issued a rare ‘cybersecurity advisory’ Thursday detailing how certain Microsoft Azure cloud services may have been compromised by hackers and directing users to lock down their systems.”

Trump Backers Urge Invocation of Insurrection Act

December 18, 2020 at 9:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An 1807 law invoked only in the most violent circumstances is now a rallying cry for the MAGA-ites most committed to the fantasy that Donald Trump will never leave office,” Politico reports.

“The law, the Insurrection Act, allows the president to deploy troops to suppress domestic uprisings — not to overturn elections.”

“But that hasn’t stopped the act from becoming a buzzword and cure-all for prominent MAGA figures.”

Biden Inherits Battered U.S. Image Abroad

December 18, 2020 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup: “As poor as global ratings of U.S. leadership were during President Donald Trump’s first year in office, they are potentially shaping up to be worse during his last. In 20 of the 29 countries and areas that Gallup has results for so far in 2020, approval ratings of U.S. leadership are at new lows or they tie the previous lows.”

“Median approval across the 29 countries and areas stood at 18% in 2020, down from 22% for this same group in 2017. On its face, this decline is not good news for the next U.S. administration, but even worse news is the number of allies on the list of countries where approval dropped to historic lows: Ireland (20%), the United Kingdom (15%), Denmark (14%), Switzerland (10%), Germany (6%) and Iceland (5%).”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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