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Trump Had No Plan B for Iran

March 20, 2026 at 9:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tom Nichols: “Trump did seem to have an overarching goal at the start of the war: regime change. In a video he released during the first night of the attack, he told the Iranian authorities to surrender and called on the Iranian people to rise up against their government.”

“Unfortunately, the regime in Tehran seems to be recovering and, even worse, consolidating power. The American intelligence community has reportedly issued an assessment that the regime ‘will remain intact and possibly even emboldened, believing it stood up to Trump and survived.'”

“Trump now appears lost, unable to comprehend how a blockbuster movie that he scripted out, one in which he cast himself as the Liberator of Iran, has turned into a poorly received miniseries that might yet be renewed for another dreary season.”

U.S. Military Ramps Up to Clear Strait of Hormuz

March 20, 2026 at 9:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “U.S. warplanes and attack helicopters are ramping up assaults against Iranian drones and naval vessels in an escalating military effort to clear the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic waterway that Iran has effectively closed to most Western shipping.”

American Farmers Are Feeling the Squeeze

March 20, 2026 at 9:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “America’s rural heartland is unusually loyal to Mr Trump. In counties where farming generates at least a quarter of earnings, he won 78% of the vote in 2024, improving on his margins in the previous two presidential elections. But a war that makes farmers’ jobs harder may test that allegiance.”


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Finland Is the Happiest Country

March 20, 2026 at 9:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup: “Finland once again leads the world as the happiest country, according to the latest World Happiness Report, marking its ninth consecutive year at No. 1.”

“The Nordic nations continue to dominate the top of the rankings, with Iceland, Denmark, Sweden and Norway joining Finland in filling five of the top six spots this year.”

Cuba Is Near Collapse

March 20, 2026 at 9:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “Signs of hardship are everywhere in Cuba. The fuel crunch is exacerbating problems with an already decrepit grid. The country suffered two major blackouts — one of them island-wide — in March alone. Gasoline is being rationed, tourist resorts are being shuttered, and the government has told airlines they won’t be able to refuel.”

“The United Nations said that the US fuel blockade is keeping the government from delivering food to its most vulnerable citizens, and is pushing it to the edge of a humanitarian crisis.”

“China, Brazil, Mexico and others are providing — or have pledged to provide — food and humanitarian aid. But without major fuel shipments, it’s unclear how long Cuba’s government can remain afloat.”

The Economist: Cuba’s broken economy leaves it at Donald Trump’s mercy.

AOC Not Likely to Endorse Primary Challengers

March 20, 2026 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) told Axios she is keeping the door open to endorsing challengers to her House Democratic colleagues “if someone crosses some huge line.”

But she added that “it would have to be kind of an egregious thing.”

Trump Mulls Risky Kharg Island Takeover

March 20, 2026 at 9:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “The Trump administration is considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran’s Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.”

“President Trump can’t end the war, at least on his terms, until he breaks Iran’s chokehold on shipping through the strait. In the meantime, global energy prices are surging.”

Israel Will Avoid Attacks on Iran’s Energy Infrastructure

March 20, 2026 at 9:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday said Israel would avoid future attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure, after a pair of strikes on key Middle East gas operations sent energy prices soaring.”

Trump Turns U.S. Census on Its Head

March 20, 2026 at 7:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The 2030 U.S. census is poised to look very different than the one released in 2020. It’s not necessarily because the country’s demographics are radically changing — but because the Trump administration is radically changing who it wants to count and how it’s counting them,” NOTUS reports.

“President Donald Trump has renewed his calls for the U.S. Census Bureau to not count undocumented residents — a demand that remains legally tenuous. And last month, the administration announced changes to field testing, reducing the locations it will run test surveys and only offering those surveys in English.”

Travel Chaos Will Only Worsen

March 20, 2026 at 7:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Airline and transportation officials are warning that the nation is on the verge of a widespread meltdown unless Congress comes to an agreement to end the partial government shutdown impacting the Department of Homeland Security by this time next week,” NewsNation reports.

Trade with Cuba Collapses

March 20, 2026 at 6:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “The stranglehold is disrupting the lives of Cuba’s 11 million residents, who are enduring massive blackouts and a breakdown in medical care due to a lack of fuel.”

Who Will Lead House Republicans If They Lose?

March 20, 2026 at 6:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “We’re now 228 days until Election Day. Everyone in the House Republican Conference is publicly confident that the GOP will keep the majority despite the many problems they face, including the Iran war. But privately, the candid assessment is much more grim — Republicans are likely to lose their razor-thin majority.”

“And throughout the GOP conference, the leadership parlor games are well underway.”

“The big question: Can — and will — Speaker Mike Johnson remain as the GOP leader if Republicans lose the House? If not, who succeeds him as minority leader?”

MAGA Swoons Over AI Generated Dream Girl

March 20, 2026 at 6:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The beautiful Army blonde Jessica Foster has posed with an F-22 Raptor fighter jet, donned camouflage in the desert and walked a tarmac with President Donald Trump on the first day of the strikes on Iran,” the Washington Post reports.

“The slew of photos and videos depicting the patriotic life of the MAGA dream girl have led her Instagram account to explode, gaining more than a million followers since she began posting four months ago.”

“But Foster is an illusion — a fake woman who experts say was probably created by an artificial intelligence image generator.”

Oil Prices Could Stay High Through Next Year

March 20, 2026 at 6:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oil prices edged lower on Friday after a tumultuous day that saw the international benchmark surge above $119 a barrel as the Middle East conflict deepened energy supply fears,” CNN reports.

“But analysts warned prices would stay elevated, with energy infrastructure damaged, and vital oil and gas shipping lane the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut.”

“Goldman Sachs even suggested that higher prices could last all the way through 2027.”

New York Times: “Gas prices rose again on Friday, with the national average at $3.91 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club. The increase has raised the cost for drivers almost 31 percent since the war began.”

Off to the Races

March 20, 2026 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

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Trump Thinks Mass Deportations Went Too Far

March 19, 2026 at 10:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “President Trump is seeking to lower the profile of his mass deportation effort, and has directed his top advisers to adopt a new approach on one of his central campaign promises.”

“In conversations with top advisers and his wife Melania, Trump has become convinced that some of his administration’s deportation policies have gone too far, and voters don’t like the term ‘mass deportation.’ The president has told them he wants to see more attention on arresting ‘bad guys’ and less chaos in American cities, according to people familiar with the matter.”

Trump Narrates the War on Truth Social

March 19, 2026 at 10:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Twenty days into the war, the commander in chief has used his favorite platform—Truth Social—to cajole allies, berate adversaries, reassure embattled Gulf states and conduct his own unique form of online diplomacy.”

“Never before has a U.S. president, the world’s most powerful figure, telegraphed his thoughts about war planning so publicly, broadcasting his decision-making and communicating his views in real time.”

Saudi Arabia Sees a Spike to $180 Oil

March 19, 2026 at 9:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Saudi Arabia’s oil officials are working frantically to project how high oil prices might go if the Iran war and its disruption of energy supplies doesn’t end soon—and they don’t like what they are seeing.”

“The base case, several oil officials in the Gulf’s biggest producer said, is that prices could soar past $180 a barrel if the disruptions persist until late April.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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