“Overseas visitors to the U.S. are on track to drop by almost two million year-on-year, with even the FIFA Men’s World Cup failing to arrest the decline in tourism,” Semafor reports.
Ad Spending in Midterm Races Crosses $1.5 Billion
“$1.5 billion has been spent on advertising for Senate and House races overall, an increase of $317 million from last week,” the Washington Post reports.
“Ohio’s U.S. Senate race continues to lead midterm advertising, with total ad spending increasing 22 percent over the past week, from $197 million to $240 million.”
CNN: The Texas money pit: Republicans are spending big trying to save Ken Paxton’s Senate bid.
Trump’s Arch Not Expected to Feature Drones and Snipers
“Trump administration officials said Tuesday that they were unaware of specific plans to convert President Donald Trump’s planned triumphal arch into a military complex, more than a week after Trump announced plans to put snipers, drones and ammunition at the site,” the Washington Post reports.
Fox News Agrees to Host Texas Senate Debate
“Fox News agreed Tuesday to host a debate between Senate candidates Ken Paxton (R) and James Talarico (D) of Texas following the Democrat’s challenge to face his opponent on what he characterized as friendly turf,” the Washington Post reports.
“Paxton has not yet agreed to the debate, and his campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment.”
Jack Smith Hearing Flops for Republicans
Politico: “Armed with subpoena power in Congress and a friendly Justice Department on their side, Republican lawmakers have spent two years promising to expose former special counsel Jack Smith as the leader of an anti-Trump witch hunt that morphed into a full-blown attempt to take down the Republican establishment.”
“Smith’s appearance Tuesday before the Senate Judiciary Committee — his third time testifying under oath on Capitol Hill, the second time in public — was supposed to be a watershed moment for the GOP intent on extracting a smoking gun ahead of the midterm elections. Instead, the hearing was most memorable for the fusillade of insults hurled by the panel’s Republicans.”
Trump Ends Court Fight Against $5 Million Verdict
“Donald Trump has agreed to stop fighting in court the disbursement of E Jean Carroll’s $5m verdict in her 2023 sexual abuse and defamation civil trial against him, a procedural development as these funds were already distributed to her,” The Guardian reports.
“While the decision does not change anything about Carroll’s receipt of the payout, its revelation effectively means that Trump will no longer oppose the monetary outcome he had long fought.”
Trump’s Campaign Schedule Is a Bad Sign for Republicans
Ed Kilgore: “This very week, Trump is campaigning in Alabama, Oklahoma, and Ohio — states he carried by 30 percent, 34 percent and 11 percent just two years ago. Yes, there are vulnerable House seats in Alabama and Oklahoma, but that’s a sign of how deep a hole the GOP has dug for itself.”
“A trip to Ohio is arguably more justifiable; there are highly endangered but still winnable Senate and House races along with a close gubernatorial contest (featuring his occasional sidekick Vivek Ramaswamy). But time spent in any red state (including Iowa and Texas, where there are an extraordinary number of ‘fires’ scorching Republican candidates) is time denied in purple states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.”
“The 2026 midterms are to a very dangerous extent being fought on the home turf of the president’s party, leaving too much highly contested ground uncovered.”
Trump Hits Campaign Trail to Sell Economy
“President Donald Trump hits the campaign later this week on defense, with the tall task of convincing voters that their economic plight is better than they feel and pleading with them to extend the current congressional majority through the next two years as his White House tenure sunsets,” Bloomberg reports.
“His salesmanship received the latest challenge today. Consumer confidence in September fell to the lowest level since 2014 as views about the economy and the labor market deteriorated.”
Watchdog Says Trump’s ‘Pocket Rescissions’ Are Illegal
“Congress’s watchdog arm says the Trump administration’s $800 million ‘pocket rescission’ violates Congress’ constitutional control over government spending, once again raising the stakes for any anticipated litigation,” the Washington Sun reports.
“The Government Accountability Office said Tuesday that the Trump administration’s plan to unilaterally rescind money that Congress appropriated for the 2026 fiscal year violates the Impoundment Control Act, a law passed in the aftermath of Watergate to codify Congress’ sole power of the purse.”
U.S. Tightens Cuba Travel Rules
“The U.S. is further restricting travel to Cuba and barring banks from working with the island’s nascent private sector, as Donald Trump’s administration presses to end nearly seven decades of one-party rule in the country,” Bloomberg reports.
“Loopholes that allowed people from the U.S. to travel to Cuba for professional meetings and educational activities are being closed.”
I’m glad I was able to go last year.
Extra Bonus Quote of the Day
“My party is being infiltrated by people like Bo French. Nick Fuentes goes to Dallas and meets with a bunch of Republican leaders. This guy is a Nazi. We’ve got all these people getting on their little podcasts and so forth, saying: ‘We’re just asking questions about the Jews.’ We didn’t labor in the wilderness to build a conservative party that was inclusive and welcoming to see it taken over by a bunch of bigots.”
— Karl Rove, quoted by the San Antonio Current.
11 More House Ratings Shift Towards Democrats
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “A lousy month of polling for Republicans as well as individual developments in certain races prompts us to continue to move House races into better categories for Democrats.”
A Republican Midterm Defeat Will Not Be an Earthquake
Ed Luce: “It is only a slight exaggeration to say that since Republican lawmakers do not have control of Congress, they cannot really lose it. Though Trump treats Congress like a Duma, sufficient handfuls of Republicans have joined Democrats to block some of his wishes. Foremost of these is a bill to impose draconian ID requirements on voters.”
“For the most part, however, Congress has been irrelevant in the last 20 months.”
Democrats Force Uncomfortable Vote On Health Care
“Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic effort on Tuesday to overturn a Trump administration rule they say will make it harder for people to enroll in Affordable Care Act health insurance plans and raise costs for existing participants,” the Washington Sun reports.
“Democrats forced a vote to undo the regulation under the Congressional Review Act, which failed 48-50, with Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) joining with Democrats to support the measure.”
Supreme Court Allows Rapid Third-Country Deportations
“The Trump administration can resume rapidly deporting immigrants to countries other than their own, the Supreme Court agreed on Tuesday,” the New York Times reports.
“The one-page emergency ruling was unsigned and gave no vote count, as is typical in such cases. Although the justices cleared the way, for now, for the swift removals to continue, the court also announced that it would fast-track the case and hear oral arguments about it in December, setting up a final ruling on the issue next year.”
Erika Kirk Doesn’t Really Want to Talk Politics
Vanity Fair: “One year after Charlie Kirk’s murder, the MAGA movement is fracturing and the future of Turning Point USA—the influential and lucrative conservative youth organization he founded at 18—is uncertain. His politically reluctant widow now finds herself both its leader and a victim of the conspiracy mentality Kirk fomented.”
Trump’s Taxpayer-Funded Ads About to Ramp Up
“President Trump is personally selecting which government-funded ads his administration is airing ahead of the midterms — with more to come,” Axios reports.
Said one administration official: “This is just the beginning.”
Five GOP Senate Candidates Won’t Commit to Trump
New York Times: “Among the nine Republicans whose races are expected to be crucial in determining Senate control, four would like Mr. Trump to join them on the trail ahead of the election, or are open to the possibility, according to their campaigns. Three campaigns left their positions unclear, and two said they would not join the president on the trail.”
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