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China Says It’s Looking Into Reports of Spy Balloon

February 3, 2023 at 6:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

China said Friday it is looking into reports that a Chinese spy balloon has been flying in U.S. airspace and urged calm, adding that it has “no intention of violating the territory and airspace of any sovereign country,” the AP reports.

Democrats See an Opening in Mississippi

February 3, 2023 at 6:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans have had a lock on the Mississippi governorship for decades. But Democrats hope that a candidate with one of the most famous last names in America can change that,” Politico reports.

“Democrats are coalescing around Brandon Presley, a public service commissioner and a distant cousin of Elvis Presley to challenge Republican Gov. Tate Reeves. Reeves has middling poll numbers and clashed with some other state Republicans, but he secured his party’s nomination since several potential primary challengers bowed out, after sniffing around Reeves’ campaign for weakness.”

“Presley’s appeal for Democrats goes well beyond his connection to The King. Democrats believe that his record as a public official — combined with what would need to be a strong campaign and a weakened incumbent — gives them a chance to break the GOP’s streak of dominance over state government. It would follow a similar path to other recent Democratic governors elected in red states like Louisiana, Kentucky and Kansas.”

Republicans Rally Around Candidates That Lost

February 3, 2023 at 6:32 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Unlike in previous decades, where losing candidates largely slunk away, many Republicans have increasingly been celebrating political losers, with certain sections of the GOP base lionizing them as wronged warriors and avatars of legitimate grievances.”

“Trump is the most obvious embodiment of the phenomenon — a man who lost both the electoral and popular vote to President Biden in 2020 and refused to accept the results of the election, yet has maintained a powerful, if waning, hold over his party.”

“Now, however, he has company in the likes of defeated far-right politicians Bolsonaro and Lake.”

Ambitious Democrats Circle Ben Cardin’s Seat

February 3, 2023 at 6:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Ben Cardin is still assessing whether to run for another six-year term in 2024. In the meantime, ambitious fellow Democrats are preparing campaigns that can strike ASAP if the genial Marylander retires,” Politico reports.

The Powerful Lobbyist Behind Kevin McCarthy

February 3, 2023 at 6:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Rarely has a lobbyist enjoyed the access to a House speaker that Jeff Miller has with Mr. McCarthy, a California Republican. As Mr. McCarthy has gained power, Mr. Miller’s prominent place in his orbit has drawn increased scrutiny from watchdog groups that track political influence as well as from conservatives who see him as an unaccountable power behind the throne whose presence is starkly at odds with their increasingly populist, anti-corporate message.”

New Book Details Possible Trump Indictment

February 2, 2023 at 10:25 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Manhattan District Attorney’s super-secret criminal case against former President Donald Trump is largely a mirror image of the bank fraud lawsuit against him already filed publicly by the New York Attorney General, according to a tell-all book written by a frustrated prosecutor who quit the DA’s team,” the Daily Beast reports.

“That explanation casts doubt on the DA’s recent claims that the book, which is due to hit bookshelves on Tuesday, can severely damage the revived investigation. But it also explains what has boggled some Americans for months: why AG Letitia James’ lawsuit reads like a criminal indictment.”

People vs. Donald Trump: An Inside Account
People vs. Donald Trump: An Inside Account
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Audio Shows Trump Team Pushing the ‘Big Lie’

February 2, 2023 at 10:19 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A newly released audio recording offers a behind-the-scenes look at how former President Donald Trump’s campaign team in a pivotal battleground state knew they had been outflanked by Democrats in the 2020 presidential election,” the AP reports.

“But even as they acknowledged defeat, they pivoted to allegations of widespread fraud that were ultimately debunked — repeatedly — by elections officials and the courts.”

“The Wisconsin political operatives in the strategy session even praised Democratic turnout efforts in the state’s largest counties and appeared to joke about their efforts to engage Black voters.”

Big Majority Wants to Help Ukraine

February 2, 2023 at 7:18 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just over half of American voters think Ukraine is winning the war against Russia and nearly two-thirds want to keep helping them in their fight, according to a new Fox News survey.

Ex-Trump Executive Could Face More Fraud Charges

February 2, 2023 at 7:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Manhattan prosecutors this week warned that they might file new fraud charges against Allen Weisselberg, a longtime top executive at Donald Trump’s real estate business — increasing pressure on Mr. Weisselberg to cooperate in a broader investigation into the former president,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Weisselberg, the Trump Organization’s former chief financial officer, is already serving a five-month sentence in the Rikers Island jail complex after pleading guilty to unrelated tax fraud charges. While he testified against the company at its trial on the same charges last year, he has for years refused to turn on Mr. Trump directly.”

“But as the Manhattan district attorney, Alvin Bragg, jump-starts his office’s effort to indict Mr. Trump, his prosecutors are using the prospect of additional charges to exert leverage over Mr. Weisselberg.”

Kari Lake Meets with Senate GOP Campaign Officials

February 2, 2023 at 6:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Defeated Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake met with officials at the National Republican Senatorial Committee on Thursday,” Politico reports.

“The meeting comes as Lake is considering a run for the Senate in Arizona. Caroline Wren, a senior adviser to Lake, confirmed the meeting, saying it lasted about an hour and that the topics of discussion included the differences between running a Senate and a gubernatorial campaign.”

Suspected Chinese Spy Balloon Found Over U.S.

February 2, 2023 at 6:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The government has been monitoring a suspected Chinese surveillance balloon that has been hovering over the northern U.S. for the past few days, and they have discussed shooting it out of the sky,” NBC News reports.

George Santos Was Secretly Recorded by Staffer

February 2, 2023 at 4:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. George Santos (R-NY) told Semafor he expects recordings by a prospective staffer they interviewed this week to be published this evening by progressive news site Talking Points Memo.

Said Santos: “He’s violated the trust that we had in him.”

It is legal under federal and local District of Columbia law to record your own conversation without the other participants’ consent.

McCarthy Defends Police Officer Who Shot Ashli Babbit

February 2, 2023 at 4:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Kevin McCarthy defended a U.S. Capitol Police officer who this week has been falsely accused by several Republicans of murdering Jan. 6 Capitol riot participant Ashli Babbitt, Politico reports.

Said McCarthy: “I think the police officer did his job.”

House GOP Sets Its Sights on John Kerry

February 2, 2023 at 4:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

House Oversight Chair James Comer (R-Ky.) sent a letter to John Kerry saying that GOP lawmakers have an “insufficient understanding of your office’s activities, spending, and staffing,” Politico reports.

Trump Says DeSantis Cried Begging for Endorsement

February 2, 2023 at 4:23 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump claimed Ron DeSantis begged him for his endorsement when he first ran for governor in 2018.

Said Trump: “He had nothing! He was dead, he was leaving the race, he came over and he begged me, begged me, for an endorsement. He was getting ready to drop out.”

He elaborated: “There were tears coming down from his eyes. He said ‘if you endorse me, I’ll win.’ So I end up doing it, and he wins. They say it was like a bomb went off. Just a bomb totally went off. From the moment I endorsed him, he went from losing by numbers that were not catchable to winning easily.”

Sununu Would Back Trump If He Wins GOP Nod

February 2, 2023 at 4:19 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu (R) is mulling a run for president, but he told CNN he would support Donald Trump if the former president wins the 2024 Republican nomination.

Sununu also walked back his previous comment that Trump is “fucking crazy,” dismissing it as just a “funny joke.”

Why the GOP Primary Won’t Be a Repeat of 2016

February 2, 2023 at 3:54 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Byler: “None of this data proves that the Republican elite are wrong. Normal Republican candidates might, again, splinter the vote and allow Trump to win the nomination with a plurality of the primary votes.”

“But there are so many other possibilities. And there are numerous differences between 2016 and 2024. Trump is running a different kind of race. His competitors have learned from him — and are stronger for it. And, at least at this early point, GOP voters aren’t processing this election the same way.”

“Until top Republicans can see that, they’ll keep expecting 2016 to repeat itself — unable to see that they might be heading into a new kind of war.”

How the Midterm Forecasts Performed

February 2, 2023 at 3:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver: “Let’s get this out of the way up front: There was a wide gap between the perception of how well polls and data-driven forecasts did in 2022 and the reality of how they did … and the reality is that they did pretty well.”

“While some polling firms badly missed the mark, in the aggregate the polls had one of their most accurate cycles in recent history. As a result, FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts had a pretty good year, too. Media proclamations of a ‘red wave’ occurred largely despite polls that showed a close race for the U.S. Senate and a close generic congressional ballot. It was the pundits who made the red wave narrative, not the data.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Follow me on Twitter, Mastodon and Post.News.

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