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The Presidential Campaign Is Now a Reality TV Show

August 1, 2019 at 11:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “That Survivor state of things — a desperate contest among a crowded field to avoid elimination — was not wholly of CNN’s making. It was created in part by the party’s decision to set the bar for the early debates at ankle height, and by the ability of a couple dozen Democrats to imagine themselves in the Oval Office, or at least imagine themselves imagining it.”

“And now, they were facing a mass group culling, since the tighter rules for the September debates will likely leave half or more of them out. Inevitably, people would act out to stand out.”

“That’s reality TV, but it’s also the hard reality of the race.”

U.S. Economy Reverts To a Pre-Tax Cut Growth Rate

August 1, 2019 at 11:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tax Policy Center: “The US economy grew robustly in late 2017, perhaps partly due to expectations for a coming tax cut (which Congress passed in late December of that year). But the rate of growth peaked in the second quarter of 2018 and has been slowing ever since. Last Friday, the government estimated that, after adjusting for inflation, the economy grew at an annual rate of about 2.1 percent in the second quarter.”

“Indeed, the growth rate in the April to June 2019 period was below the 2.3 percent average annual rate over the past decade.”

Trump Pick for Managing Lands Wants to Sell Them

August 1, 2019 at 10:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s pick for managing federal lands doesn’t think the federal government should have any,” the Washington Post reports.

“This week, Trump’s Interior Secretary David Bernhardt signed an order making the Wyoming native William Perry Pendley the acting director of the Bureau of Land Management… By placing Pendley in charge of the agency, Bernhardt has installed a longtime crusader for curtailing the federal government’s control of public lands.”


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Snowden Has a Book Coming Out

August 1, 2019 at 9:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former National Security Agency contractor Edward Snowden has written a memoir that will describe his role in the accumulation of metadata and the “crisis of conscience” that led him to steal a trove of files in 2013 and share them with reporters, the AP reports.

Snowden, who faces U.S. charges that could land him in prison, is currently living in exile in Moscow.

Permanent Record
Permanent Record
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  • 328 Pages - 09/17/2019 (Publication Date) - Metropolitan Books (Publisher)
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Ex-Trump Adviser Says Trade War Is Backfiring

August 1, 2019 at 9:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Trump economic adviser Gary Cohn told the BBC that President Trump’s trade war with China is backfiring and hurting the U.S. economy.

Said Cohn: “When you build plant equipment, you’re buying steel, you’re buying aluminium, you’re buying imported products and then we put tariffs on those, so literally the tax incentive we gave you with one hand was taken away with the other hand.”

He added: “So we are not seeing the manufacturing job creation.”

Michael Moore Urges Michelle Obama to Run

August 1, 2019 at 9:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Filmmaker Michael Moore told MSNBC that there is only one candidate up to the challenge to “crush” President Trump in 2020.

Said Moore: “In fact, it is Obama — Michelle Obama. Everybody watching this right now knows she is a beloved American and she would go in there and she would beat him.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

August 1, 2019 at 9:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The question is no longer whether the House should vote to proceed with a formal impeachment inquiry. The inquiry has already begun.”

— Rep. Ted Deutch (D-FL), announcing his support for an impeachment inquiry in the South Florida Sun Sentinel.

A Democratic Brawl Breaks Out

August 1, 2019 at 9:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “So if the first round of Dem debates underscored how far to the left the party has moved since Barack Obama left office, the second round highlighted how willing they are to attack one another, even when they agree on the vast majority of issues.”

“Of course, politics ain’t beanbag. And presidential debates are supposed to produce conflict and disagreement.”

“But play out seven or eight more months of these same kinds of debates, and you can see why an incumbent president — especially one who gets to avoid a real primary challenge — has a significant advantage.”

Tomi Lahren Condemned by Fox News Colleagues

August 1, 2019 at 9:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Fox Nation host Tomi Lahren suggested in a tweet that Sen. Kamala Harris “slept her way to the top” when she had a relationship in the mid-1990s with former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown.

Daily Beast: “Lahren was swiftly condemned for invoking Harris’ personal relationship to dismiss the 2020 candidate’s long record in elected office, rising from San Francisco district attorney to California’s attorney general before being elected to the U.S. Senate. But while the tweet attracted its share of liberal critics, some of Lahren’s own colleagues at Fox News openly expressed disgust at her comments.”

Majority of House Democrats Now Back Impeachment

August 1, 2019 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “More than half of House Democrats say they would vote to launch impeachment proceedings against President Donald Trump, a crucial threshold that backers say will require Speaker Nancy Pelosi to reconsider her steadfast opposition.”

“Though Pelosi has given no indication that even a majority of Democrats embracing impeachment proceedings would shift her view, supporters of an inquiry argue that crossing the halfway mark among Democrats will be a symbolic boost that could shift the political dynamic.”

For members: The Five Realities of Impeachment

Trump Lied About Almost Dying In Helicopter Crash

August 1, 2019 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A former Trump Organization official said that President Trump lied about almost being on a helicopter that crashed in 1998, killing three company employees, the HuffPost reports.

From a UPI story at the time: “Sources said Trump himself was scheduled to be on the flight but decided at the last minute he was too busy to leave New York.”

But Barbara Res said that was a “total, total lie” promoted by Trump.

Only 7 Have Qualified for Next Debate

August 1, 2019 at 8:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Candidates will need to have 130,000 unique donors and register at least 2 percent support in four polls. They have until Aug. 28 to reach those benchmarks.”

“These criteria could easily halve the field: The first two sets of debates included 20 of the 24 candidates, but a New York Times analysis of polls and donor numbers shows that only 10 to 12 candidates are likely to make the third round.”

“Seven candidates have already met both qualification thresholds and are guaranteed a spot on stage. They are: Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Beto O’Rourke, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.”

Trump Turns to Lindsey Graham to Cut Iran Deal

August 1, 2019 at 8:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump wants a new deal with Iran to replace the nuclear agreement he pulled out of, and he’s turning to one of his most hawkish confidants to help do it,” the Daily Beast reports.

“Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) is working in close coordination with senior Trump administration officials who focus on Middle East policy to find an alternative to the Obama administration’s Iran deal… Part of that effort includes fielding ideas from outside actors, including foreign officials.”

The Debates May Not Change Much

August 1, 2019 at 8:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kyle Kondik: “According to the RealClearPolitics average, here was the national polling average for the Democratic presidential nomination battle on June 26, the day of the first debate: Joe Biden 32%, Bernie Sanders 17%, Elizabeth Warren 13%, Kamala Harris 7%, Pete Buttigieg 7%, Beto O’Rourke 3%, and Cory Booker 2%.”

“On Tuesday morning, the day of the start of the second round of debates, the average was: Biden 32%, Sanders 16%, Warren 14%, Harris 11%, Buttigieg 6%, O’Rourke 3%, Andrew Yang 2%, and Booker 2%.”

“So as we wait to see what effect Tuesday and Wednesday night’s debates have on the race for the Democratic nomination, don’t necessarily assume that changes we may see are permanent — if changes occur at all. To our eyes, we didn’t see much from the debates that seems likely to fundamentally alter the race.”

Steyer Says Trump Is ‘a Fraud and a Failure’

August 1, 2019 at 7:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tom Steyer is airing an ad centered around President Trump’s record as “failed” businessman during “Fox and Friends” and “The Sean Hannity Show” on Fox News, The Hill reports.

Said Steyer in the ad: “Unlike other candidates, I can go head to head with Donald Trump on the economy and expose him for what he is — a fraud and a failure.”

Ohio Rally a Test for Trump

August 1, 2019 at 7:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump’s rally tonight in Ohio “will be a test for both candidate and crowd,” the AP reports.

“The Cincinnati gathering Thursday night will be Trump’s first since his audience chanted ‘Send her back!’ about a Somali-born congresswoman during a July rally in North Carolina , raising the prospect of a 2020 presidential campaign increasingly fought along racial lines.”

“All eyes will be watching both the Ohio crowd’s behavior — and how Trump reacts. Even his closest advisers seem uncertain as to what may transpire.”

U.K. Prepares to Stockpile Medicines for No Deal Exit

August 1, 2019 at 7:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

UK chancellor Sajid Javid announced billions in extra funding “to prepare Britain for a no-deal exit on October 31, including a big outlay intended to stop Britain running out of vital medicines,” the Financial Times reports.

Said Javid: “With 92 days until the UK leaves the European Union it is vital that we intensify our planning to ensure we are ready. If we can’t get a good deal, we’ll have to leave without one.”

Matthew Yglesias: “When you’re setting the bar for policy success at ‘no shortages of critical medicines’ it seems like you’ve probably gone astray.”

Biden Sets Up Impending Clash With Warren

August 1, 2019 at 7:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“After two sets of Democratic presidential debates, it appears that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren, at least at the moment, are two high-speed trains on a collision course,” Reuters reports.

“Both nights made clear that the ideological divide that is fissuring the Democratic Party will not soon be closed – and that voters may soon have to choose a side as the field begins to narrow in the coming months.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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