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Democrats Dig In on Shutdown

October 9, 2025 at 8:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “Inside the party, anxiety is rising among vulnerable Democrats about active-duty military service members missing a paycheck on October 15 — something that hasn’t happened on a large scale in modern times. But Democratic leaders are confident their party will maintain its position through that deadline and longer if necessary.”

“It’s a major gamble for Democrats in Washington, who voted on Wednesday for a sixth time in the Senate to reject a GOP funding proposal to reopen the government. But they believe the longer they can hold out, the more public pressure will build in their favor as they expect millions of Americans receive notices in the mail about spiking health care premiums — which they hope will force President Donald Trump and GOP leaders to concede to a deal to extend billions of dollars in Affordable Care Act subsidies.”

When Leaders Stop Listening

October 9, 2025 at 8:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The first case study I ever read in graduate school was from Graham Allison’s Essence of Decision — the classic examination of how real-world government decisions are made.

Allison’s insight was deceptively simple but profound: what we call “decisions” are rarely the product of one rational mind. They emerge from bureaucracies, organizational routines, and power struggles that limit what information leaders even see.

He illustrated this through two crises separated by just 18 months — the Bay of Pigs and the Cuban Missile Crisis.

At the Bay of Pigs, President John F. Kennedy was boxed in by a room full of like-minded advisers who reinforced each other’s flawed assumptions. The invasion failed disastrously, a textbook case of groupthink.

By the time of the Cuban Missile Crisis, Kennedy had learned the lesson. He demanded dissent. He forced his team to present competing views, from the hawks to the diplomats, and structured the process to avoid premature consensus. The contrast was stark: this time, disagreement saved lives.

The takeaway for any leader was clear — engineer argument, not agreement. When everyone around you nods too early, it’s a warning sign, not a triumph.

But looking back, that idea feels almost quaint.

Today, we have a president who does the complete opposite. He shuts out expertise, ignores intelligence briefings, and surrounds himself with loyalists who reinforce his own misinformed instincts.

Donald Trump’s administration isn’t a clash of ideas — it’s an echo chamber of delusion.

Johnson Says Trump Shouldn’t Consider Pardoning Maxwell

October 9, 2025 at 7:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) told Piers Morgan that President Trump should not “even consider” pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell after Trump refused to rule out a pardon for the convicted sex trafficker.

Said Johnson: “I would never even consider it. I mean, she’s a convicted human trafficker. She was a party to this, she set it up by her own admission, she was involved in all this. There’s no way she should ever leave prison.”


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Trump’s Feud with Pritzker Goes Back Decades

October 9, 2025 at 7:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s declaration this week that Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker should be jailed is just the latest clash between two billionaires who are part of a decadeslong feud,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The Republican president and Democratic governor have fought over the size of their fortunes as well as topics ranging from crime to immigration to democracy. Pritzker in recent days has questioned Trump’s mental acuity, suggesting America’s leader has dementia.”

“The bad blood has been on the rise since late August, when Trump said he would act on his yearslong threat of deploying military troops in Chicago to combat crime.”

Quote of the Day

October 9, 2025 at 7:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This is exactly the moment for people to stand up. And do I see enough people doing it? No, I don’t. It shouldn’t be that there are Democrats that are afraid, because you know what? We’re the targets. We need to be strong, we need to fight back.”

— Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker (D), quoted by the New York Times.

An Overwhelmingly White Administration

October 9, 2025 at 7:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Of the president’s 98 Senate-confirmed appointees to the administration’s most senior leadership roles in its first 200 days, ending on Aug. 7, only two, or 2 percent — Scott Turner, the secretary of Housing and Urban Development, and Earl G. Matthews, the Defense Department’s general counsel — are Black.”

Trump Officials Juggle Multiple Roles

October 9, 2025 at 7:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “As Mr. Trump dismantles parts of the government, remakes institutions and takes on perceived enemies, he has often put his allies in charge of multiple federal agencies and offices — an approach that has little precedent.”

Retired Justice Laments Discourse of Trump Era

October 9, 2025 at 7:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Retired Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy said Wednesday he was troubled that partisanship seemed to be “creeping its way into the court,” and that the state of political discourse in the country has gotten so vulgar and vile that he worries for the country, Politico reports.

IRS Furloughs Nearly Half of Workforce

October 9, 2025 at 7:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The IRS will furlough just under half of its staff and pause most of the agency’s taxpayer services as gridlock in Congress pushes the government shutdown into its second week,” Bloomberg reports.

Trump Nears Major Diplomatic Accomplishment

October 9, 2025 at 7:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is at the brink of the biggest diplomatic accomplishment of his second term — a cessation of the brutal war between Israel and Hamas — and on Wednesday evening he made clear he was eager to fly to the Middle East to preside over a cease-fire and welcome hostages who have spent two long years in underground captivity,” the New York Times reports.

“For Mr. Trump, success in this venture is the ultimate test of his self-described goal as a deal maker and a peacemaker — and a pathway to the Nobel Peace Prize he has so openly coveted. By chance, the winner for 2025 is scheduled to be announced just hours before he may be departing to take his victory lap in Egypt and Israel.”

Playbook: “This is only phase one of the deal. Enormously complex negotiations lie ahead to make this agreement permanent — not least over the decommissioning of Hamas’ arsenal; the future governance and reconstruction of the Gaza strip; and Israel’s future activities in the West Bank. To repeat: It’s still very possible it all falls apart.”

Washington Post: Trump wants a Nobel Prize. He’ll learn Friday if his campaign paid off.

Americans Blame Everyone for Shutdown

October 9, 2025 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Americans blame both Republicans and Democrats for the ongoing government shutdown and are worried services could falter as a third of the federal workforce sits on unpaid leave,” according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.

“The five-day poll, completed on Tuesday, asked Americans nationwide how much blame Democrats, Republicans and President Donald Trump deserve for the shutdown, now in its ninth day. Some 67% of respondents said Republicans deserved a fair amount or a great deal of blame, while 63% said the same of Democrats. Some 63% also said Trump, a Republican, deserves at least a fair amount of blame.”

Republicans Hit Roadblock in Missouri Redistricting

October 9, 2025 at 6:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “Missouri GOP Gov. Mike Kehoe signed his state’s new congressional map into law last month, but it is far from a done deal.”

“Some Republicans are growing concerned that Democrats may be on the verge of success in their Hail Mary attempt to block the new map from going into effect for the midterms.”

“If Democrats can get roughly 110,000 valid signatures by mid-December, they can trigger a referendum on the new map next year. That likely would save Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-Mo.) for at least two more years and longer if voters reject the proposal. The new GOP-drawn map turns Cleaver’s Kansas City-based seat deep red.”

Democrats Feel Good About Their Strategy

October 9, 2025 at 6:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “When you take stock of where things stand, it’s not difficult to see why House and Senate Democrats feel good about their strategy — for now.”

“It’s important to note that Democrats instigated this shutdown. They rejected a “clean” funding proposal and demanded significant and expensive health care policy changes in exchange for their votes.”

“But as we enter the second week of the standoff, Democrats are nowhere close to buckling. In fact, top Democrats feel like they’re gaining political momentum.”

Israel and Hamas Reach Deal

October 8, 2025 at 8:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“After months of deadlock, Israel and Hamas have reached an agreement for the release of Israeli hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners, a long-awaited breakthrough that could point toward an end to the two-year war in Gaza,” the New York Times reports.

“President Trump, who helped broker the deal, said on social media Wednesday that both sides had agreed to the first phase of his plan, including that Israel would pull back their troops to an agreed-upon line.”

Washington Post: Trump announces ceasefire deal to begin ending the war in Gaza.

Senate GOP Eyes Piecemeal Government Reopening

October 8, 2025 at 8:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) is considering bringing full-year appropriations bills — such as one to fund the Pentagon and pay the military — to the floor for a vote,” Axios reports.

“Bipartisan talks to reopen the government via a short-term spending stopgap bill are frozen. Now, Thune is at least contemplating other options.”

Mamdani Ally Weighs Challenge to Jeffries

October 8, 2025 at 8:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“New York City Council member Chi Ossé, a close ally of Zohran Mamdani, is privately discussing a run against House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.),” Axios reports.

“Just talking about a potential campaign could drive a further wedge between Mamdani — the democratic socialist in line to be New York’s next mayor — and Jeffries, who so far has declined to endorse Mamdani.”

Republicans Warn White House on Shutdown Pain

October 8, 2025 at 8:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Majority Leader John Thune and other senior GOP lawmakers have quietly advised the White House not to move forward with mass layoffs and sharp cuts to government assistance programs as the shutdown enters its second week,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Senate Rejects Effort to Curb Trump’s Power

October 8, 2025 at 8:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A measure to stop President Trump’s strikes on alleged drug vessels in the Caribbean failed to advance the Senate on Wednesday, despite some Republican support,” Axios reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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