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Raking In Campaign Cash While Running Unopposed

September 20, 2018 at 3:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

At least 26 legislative leaders in statehouses across America “are raking in cash despite running unopposed this year,” the Center for Public Integrity reports.

“Two of these power brokers have already raised more than $2 million apiece.”

“The safe legislators represent an attractive prospect for statehouse lobbyists and power-seekers: the sure bet. Contributions to these influential politicians can buy face time and favor with those who set state legislative agendas… The money also compounds their power: Legislative leaders use their pots of gold to buy presents to thank supporters, for example, or give to fellow lawmakers’ campaigns to reward them for voting with their party.”

What a Democratic Congress Would Mean for Trump

September 20, 2018 at 2:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Most political analysts think that, come January, the makeup of Congress will drastically change. Democrats are favored to win back control of the House of Representatives in November’s midterm elections for the first time since 2010. They have a chance — though a much narrower one — to take back the Senate, too.”

“What would that mean for Trump? Would his agenda be stymied? Would his job be in jeopardy? Or could he and Democrats find areas of compromise, like on immigration and trade? Here are three possible election result scenarios, and what they could mean for the president in 2019 and beyond.”

Kavanaugh Accuser Reopens Discussions on Testifying

September 20, 2018 at 2:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Christine Blasey Ford, who has accused Judge Brett Kavanaugh of sexual assault, has told the Senate Judiciary Committee that she “would be prepared to testify next week,” so long as senators offer “terms that are fair and which ensure her safety,” the New York Times reports.

However, her lawyer said that the timetable Republicans have set for a hearing “is not possible and the Committee’s insistence that it occur then is arbitrary in any event.”

The lawyer reiterated that it is Dr. Blasey’s “strong preference” that “a full investigation” occur before her testimony but stopped short of demanding an F.B.I. probe and suggested she is open to testifying without one.


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Dead Heat In Texas

September 20, 2018 at 2:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Vox Populi poll in Texas finds Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in a dead heat with challenger Beto O’Rourke (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 50%.

GOP Lawmaker Jokes About Kavanaugh Allegations

September 20, 2018 at 2:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Ralph Norman (R-SC) “opened an election debate Thursday by joking that he almost had to miss it and fly back to Washington to address the latest drama involving the Supreme Court,” the Charleston Post & Courier reports.

Said Norman: “Did y’all hear the latest late-breaking news on the Kavanaugh hearings? Ruth Bader Ginsburg came out saying she was groped by Abraham Lincoln.”

Norman is the same lawmaker who pulled out a gun at a town meeting earlier this year and said, “I’m not going to be Gabby Giffords.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 20, 2018 at 1:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“That’s like somebody saying I can’t play ball. That doesn’t bother me at all. What bothers me is that he has time to even do that. He has the most powerful job in the world. Like, you really got this much time that you can comment on me?”

— LeBron James, in an interview with the Hollywood Reporter, on President Trump insulting his intelligence.

Kavanaugh Preps Again for Possible Testimony

September 20, 2018 at 1:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh “was back at the White House complex Thursday, amid a week of visits that have included preparation for the possibility of additional Senate testimony,” NBC News reports.

“In a private session Tuesday, Kavanaugh was grilled by a small group of White House staff about his past, his dating life and his accuser… Kavanaugh, who returned to the White House for a third consecutive day Thursday, is ‘determined and hopeful.'”

Evangelical Leaders Frustrated with GOP Caution

September 20, 2018 at 1:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Worried their chance to cement a conservative majority on the Supreme Court could slip away, a growing number of evangelical and anti-abortion leaders are expressing frustration that Senate Republicans and the White House are not protecting Judge Brett Kavanaugh more forcefully from a sexual assault allegation and warning that conservative voters may stay home in November if his nomination falls apart,” the New York Times reports.

“The pleas are, in part, an attempt to apply political pressure: Some evangelical leaders are warning that religious conservatives may feel little motivation to vote in the midterm elections unless Senate Republicans move the nomination out of committee soon and do more to defend Judge Kavanaugh from what they say is a desperate Democratic ploy to prevent President Trump from filling future court vacancies.”

Aides Stunned by Trump’s Reaction to Kavanaugh Accuser

September 20, 2018 at 1:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“White House aides who steeled themselves for what President Trump would say when he finally addressed the sexual assault allegation against his Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh were quietly stunned when Trump said the process should be followed and the accuser should be heard,” CNN reports.

“In recent days, Trump has bragged about the positive coverage he’s received for his response… That response has contributed to him continuing to say Christine Blasey Ford should come forward with her story.”

Roy Moore Urges Republicans to Support Kavanaugh

September 20, 2018 at 12:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Former Alabama U.S. Senate candidate Roy Moore called on Republicans to ‘take a stand’ and support suggested U.S. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh following the sexual misconduct allegations levied against him, adding that he believes the Democrats are using Kavanaugh’s accuser as a political pawn,” the Birmingham News reports.

“Moore is no stranger to such allegations. He was accused by nine women of sexual misconduct that allegedly occurred during the 1970s – allegations that surfaced about a month before the December special election between Moore and Doug Jones. Moore denied the allegations, although he conceded to dating young women at the time.”

Quote of the Day

September 20, 2018 at 11:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Dr. Ford passed a lie detector test and asked for an FBI investigation. Will Judge Kavanaugh do the same?”

— Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-MD), on Twitter.

Kavanaugh’s Accuser Has Other Options

September 20, 2018 at 11:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jennifer Rubin: “Ford might choose to appear on Monday, and make a powerful opening statement accusing Republicans of running a sham investigation… In short, Ford can use the hearing to put the senators, who have behaved shabbily, on defense.”

“Ford has another option: Hold a news conference with her own experts and make the case directly to the American people. She can sit down for an interview with a respected TV journalist. She can say whatever she wants, make certain that experts are heard and even recount the much more extensive investigative efforts undertaken when Hill stepped forward. To make her case to the American people and convince them that she is sincere, honest and credible, Ford doesn’t need the Senate.”

“Ford also might have the ability to go to local police to investigate if the White House refuses to activate the FBI.”

What Those Texas Polls Really Mean

September 20, 2018 at 11:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The following post for members is by G. Elliot Morris of The Crosstab.

See if you can spot the pattern in these three recently released polls in the Texas Senate race between Beto O’Rourke (D) and Sen. Ted Cruz (R):

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Did Brett Kavanaugh Do It?

September 20, 2018 at 10:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Quinta Jurecic: “Ford’s story is highly credible. Kavanaugh denies it. This is where we are.”

“Here’s another question: What level of certainty about the nominee’s guilt should drive a senator to vote against that nominee? The standard to convict a defendant in criminal court is often understood as requiring anywhere from 95 to 100 percent certainty of the defendant’s guilt. In civil court, the ‘preponderance of the evidence’ standard requires 51 percent certainty. As the economist Justin Wolfers asked on Twitter, ‘Would you appoint someone to the Supreme Court if you think there were a 25 percent chance they’ve done bad things? A 10 percent chance? A 5 percent chance? A 1 percent chance?’”

Kathleen Davis: “Far too often in cases of sexual harassment or sexual violence, the accused is given the benefit of the doubt while the accuser is saddled with the burden of proof, even though studies show that the rate of false accusations is incredibly low (around 2-6%).

Ellison’s Ex-Girlfriend Posts Medical File

September 20, 2018 at 10:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Keith Ellison’s (D-MN) ex-girlfriend, who accused him last month of abuse during their relationship in 2016, posted a medical memorandum in which she told her doctor that Ellison had abused her emotionally and physically.

Stalemate Remains Over New Kavanaugh Hearing

September 20, 2018 at 10:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “Importantly, however, Ford’s lawyers have yet to say she won’t be testifying on Monday.”

“While this story remains a stalemate, each side has important questions to answer. For Republicans, why do they need to do this by Monday? What is one more week? It’s only September, and the election is still seven weeks from now. In addition, why no other witnesses?”

“For Ford and Democrats, if Monday isn’t suitable, don’t they need to provide a reasonable day that is? This limbo can’t go on forever.”

Home State Voters Don’t Want Warren to Run for President

September 20, 2018 at 9:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new SuffolkUniversity/Boston Globe poll finds that 58% of likely Massachusetts voters said they don’t think Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) should run for president.

Said pollster David Paleologos: “This was a shocking finding to me, given that Democrats like her so much, and she has been making moves to run for president. I would have expected her to be leading this list of potential Massachusetts presidential candidates.”

Trump Slams Congress Over ‘Ridiculous’ Spending Plan

September 20, 2018 at 8:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “slammed the Republican-led Congress for not including money for his border wall in its spending bill as U.S. lawmakers push their plan to fund the government before the fiscal year ends this month,” Reuters reports.

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Armchair Strategist: An armchair strategist is a person who creates plans and military strategy without being directly involved in the area.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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