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Fraying Ties With Trump Put Mattis’s Fate in Doubt

September 15, 2018 at 6:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Interviews with more than a dozen White House, congressional and current and former Defense Department officials over the past six weeks paint a portrait of a president who has soured on his defense secretary, weary of unfavorable comparisons to Mr. Mattis as the adult in the room, and increasingly concerned that he is a Democrat at heart.”

“Nearly all of the officials, as well as confidants of Mr. Mattis, spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the internal tensions — in some cases, out of fear of losing their jobs.”

“In the second year of his presidency, Mr. Trump has largely tuned out his national security aides as he feels more confident as commander in chief, the officials said. Facing what is likely to be a heated re-election fight once the 2018 midterms are over, aides said Mr. Trump was pondering whether he wanted someone running the Pentagon who would be more vocally supportive than Mr. Mattis, who is vehemently protective of the American military against perceptions it could be used for political purposes.”

Wealthy Donor In Ohio Quits the Republican Party

September 14, 2018 at 10:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Leslie Wexner, the wealthiest Republican donor in Ohio, said that he is fed up and has quit the Republican Party, the Columbus Dispatch reports.

Said Wexner: “I just decided I’m no longer a Republican. I’m an independent. I won’t support this nonsense in the Republican Party.”

Republicans Are Tripping on Trump’s Coattails

September 14, 2018 at 10:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dana Milbank: “New evidence indicates that the midterm elections in seven weeks will be the clearest referendum on a president in at least 80 years.”

“But while it may delight the narcissistic president that the 2018 midterms are entirely about him, this is precisely what his fellow Republicans were hoping to avoid. With Trump’s support at historic lows — 60% overall disapprove of his performance, including 59% of independents — Republicans scrambling to hold the House and Senate have been struggling in vain to make the election about other issues: tax cuts, Democrats’ personal foibles — anything to avoid the election being about Trump. This has failed, bigly.”

“Midterm elections have generally come to be seen as the electorate’s reaction to a presidency. But this one is on a whole different level.”


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Manafort’s Plea Deal Is Pardon-Proof

September 14, 2018 at 9:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The plea deal special counsel Robert Mueller granted to Paul Manafort on Friday appears built to be pardon-proof,” Politico reports.

“That doesn’t mean President Trump won’t try to legally absolve Manafort anyway, a step the president has considered taking for months. But Friday‘s events mean Trump’s ability to contain the legal damage from his former campaign chairman is now severely limited.”

”Some attorneys also believe the deal Mueller gave Manafort — accepting a guilty plea to just two of seven charges he was facing — signals that the former Trump campaign chief didn’t just agree to answer prosecutors’ questions but produced answers Mueller’s team found useful to some aspect of a case it is actively pursuing.”

‘There Never Is a Strategy’

September 14, 2018 at 6:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump spent Friday confronting the deadly landfall of Hurricane Florence – only to have that disaster eclipsed by the revelation that his former campaign manager cut a cooperation deal with special counsel Robert Mueller and a growing #MeToo crisis surrounding his Supreme Court nominee,” Politico reports.

“The trifecta culminated a week of the president careening from one fiasco to another, before he had fully recovered from the publication of damning excerpts from Bob Woodward’s new White House account Fear and an op-ed published anonymously by the New York Times claiming that senior staff are working to undermine him.”

Said Trump biographer Tim O’Brien: “Two things motivate almost 100 percent of his behavior: Self-preservation or self-aggrandizement. There never is a strategy because he’s not a strategic thinker.”

A Lopsided Victory for Robert Mueller

September 14, 2018 at 6:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Roll Call: “No matter how you look at it, this deal has to be seen as a massive victory for Mueller and his special counsel team.”

“The only concession the special counsel made was to repackage the charges against Manafort in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia from seven counts to two and to ask judges for a shorter sentence.”

“Besides that, prosecutors extracted a guilty plea, a cooperation agreement for Manafort to tell them everything he knows and fork over any documents they request, an admission of guilt to the 10 remaining charges from the Eastern Virginia trial, and likely a multi-year prison sentence for Manafort.”

Key takeaway: “Holding out on cooperation with Mueller’s team for as long as he did not strengthen Manafort’s bargaining position — it weakened it.”

Prosecutors Weigh Charges Against Obama Lawyer

September 14, 2018 at 5:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Federal prosecutors in New York are weighing criminal charges against former Obama White House counsel Greg Craig as part of an investigation into whether he failed to register as a foreign agent in a probe that is linked to former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort,” Politico reports.

Kristol Building ‘War Machine’ to Challenge Trump

September 14, 2018 at 5:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bill Kristol, one of President Trump’s most vocal opponents, told CNBC that he is creating a “political war machine” to launch a primary challenge to the commander in chief in 2020.

“He’s engaged with three potential Republican primary candidates who are outspoken critics of the president: Sen. Ben Sasse of Nebraska, outgoing Sen. Jeff Flake of Arizona and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.”

Said Kristol: “We are thinking of and doing preliminary work to prepare for a primary run against Trump. People aren’t going to say they will run against Trump unless they have the infrastructure but I’ve been trying to persuade people that it may not be that difficult.”

Pompeo Accuses Kerry of Meddling in U.S. Foreign Policy

September 14, 2018 at 5:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo blasted his predecessor, John Kerry, for holding “beyond inappropriate” private meetings with Iranian officials, asserting that Kerry was undermining U.S. foreign policy in an “unprecedented” manner, Politico reports.

Said Pompeo: “What Secretary Kerry has done is unseemly and unprecedented. This is a former secretary of state engaged with the largest state sponsor of terror.”

Michael Cohen Is Talking to Mueller Too

September 14, 2018 at 4:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Vanity Fair: “In recent weeks, it has also become common knowledge among close friends of Michael Cohen, Trump’s former personal attorney, that Cohen is talking to the Mueller team, according to people familiar with the situation.”

“For months, Cohen has appeared to signal his willingness to cooperate with the government, both with the Southern District of New York and the special counsel’s office. While prosecutors for the Southern District did not initially approach Cohen about a cooperating agreement before he pleaded guilty, many speculated that he could still cut a deal in the months between the plea and his sentencing in December. Those familiar with Cohen’s thinking were unsure about what he might have to offer prosecutors, but because he had worked so closely with Trump and his family for more than a decade, it was assumed that he could potentially be a useful corroborating witness.”

Quote of the Day

September 14, 2018 at 3:53 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“He wanted to make sure that his family was able to remain safe and live a good life.”

— Kevin Downing, attorney for Paul Manafort, in a brief statement on why his client took a plea deal from special counsel Robert Mueller.

Manafort Surrenders Homes, Trump Tower Condo

September 14, 2018 at 3:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

USA Today: “As part of his plea deal with special counsel Robert Mueller, Manafort is going to have to surrender a lot of valuable real estate to the government, including a condo in Trump Tower.”

“In addition to the high-rise condo owned by his former boss, Manafort will have to forfeit a brownstone in Brooklyn, New York, another condo in lower Manhattan, a house in the Hamptons, a house in Arlington, Virginia, three bank accounts and a life insurance policy.”

Washington Post: “The combined value of those properties, according to estimates at Zillow.com and assigning the 2006 sale price to his Trump Tower property, is about $22.2 million. If those were sold at the values identified above and the money returned to the government, that alone nearly covers our estimated costs of the investigation to date.”

McAuliffe Heads to Iowa

September 14, 2018 at 3:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) “is scheduled to visit Iowa next week to campaign for Democrats as he weighs a campaign for the 2020 presidential nomination,” the AP reports.

Trump Quietly Signs Election Meddling Order

September 14, 2018 at 2:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump’s top national security adviser “said the president signed an executive order this week on election meddling to show he has ‘taken command’ of the matter. But this time, the White House broke from its practice of using such directives to make a public splash, instead keeping the event from the public and press,” Roll Call reports.

Said one former Obama White House official: “We’d frequently sign executive orders, but the ones we wanted attention for, we always would sign them publicly. That’s press 101. If you sign one quietly, you are sending the opposite message: Please don’t pay attention to this.”

Read Manafort’s Cooperation Agreement

September 14, 2018 at 2:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Manafort plea agreement with federal prosecutors says he must cooperate fully in “any and all matters as to what the Government deems the cooperation relevant.”

Manafort “has already begun cooperating with Mueller,” Politico reports.

Josh Marshall: “As someone who fell for the ruse, it is almost beyond belief that they could pull this off: have reporting come out about plea negotiations but plausible claim that, and make people think that, it was a plea without any agreement to cooperate. And yet, there you have it. Pretty much they pulled it off.”

Franklin Foer: What Paul Manafort knows.

Paul Waldman: Paul Manafort has flipped. So what happens now?

Trump Team Suddenly Not Sure Manafort Will Tell Truth

September 14, 2018 at 12:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNBC: “After Manafort, Trump’s former campaign chairman, agreed to cooperate with prosecutors working for the special counsel on Friday, President Trump’s legal team released a statement attributed to Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s outside counsel in charge of the Russia probe.”

Once again an investigation has concluded with a plea having nothing to do with President Trump or the Trump campaign. The reason: the President did nothing wrong and Paul Manafort will tell the truth.

“Minutes later, they seemed to reconsider. A ‘corrected’ statement removed the bit about Manafort telling the truth.”

Watergate Had a ‘Road Map’ But Mueller Can’t Read It

September 14, 2018 at 12:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Lawfare: “According to countless media accounts and President Trump’s own lawyers, Special Counsel Robert Mueller is writing some kind of report on allegations of presidential obstruction of justice. Exactly what sort of report this may be is unclear. But to the extent that Mueller is contemplating a referral to Congress of possible impeachment material, he has two historical models of such documents to draw on. One, the so-called Starr Report, is famous and publicly available. The other is a document most people have never heard of: the “Road Map” that Watergate Special Prosecutor Leon Jaworski sent to Congress in 1974 and that informed its impeachment proceedings, which were already underway.”

“The Road Map was very different from the Starr Report. Where Starr wrote a lengthy narrative, the Road Map was reportedly spare. Where Starr evaluated the legal relevance of the evidence he referred, the Road Map apparently contained no analysis and drew no conclusions. And where the Starr Report was in bookstores worldwide and today is just a Google search away, the Road Map is largely forgotten.”

“There’s a reason for that: The Road Map remains under seal at the National Archives. Kenneth Starr couldn’t read it. You can’t read it. And, remarkably for a document that may be the best model available for his current project, Mueller can’t read it either.”

Daley Will Run for Chicago Mayor

September 14, 2018 at 12:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bill Daley — the former chief of staff to President Barack Obama and the brother and son of previous mayors — will run for Chicago mayor in 2019, WLS-TV reports.

Daley is expected to announce his candidacy Monday.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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