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The GOP Has Bet Everything on Trump

September 14, 2018 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Republican base now belongs to President Trump and the GOP has placed a big bet on turning them out in November,” NBC News reports.

“Nearly a decade after the insurgent Tea Party movement began challenging the Republican establishment on ideological grounds over issues like taxes and the size of government, the GOP primaries were all about one person: Trump.”

Said GOP strategist Alex Conant: “The importance of being loyal to Trump in this year’s GOP primaries is remarkable. Many of the primaries boiled down to which candidate appeared most in line with Trump’s brand of politics. Past arguments like conservative credentials or electability were not very salient messages.”

Dark Money Website Revives Allegations Against Brown

September 14, 2018 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A new political website has sprung up, appropriating the ‘Me Too’ movement to attack Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) over allegations stemming from his 1986 divorce,” the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.

“The website… includes a 60-second video that references court records from Brown’s divorce with his then-wife, Larke Recchie, as well as excerpts from the records themselves. The ugly divorce, which included allegations that Brown ‘bullied’ and shoved Recchie, has come up in many of Brown’s campaigns, including his 1992 race for Congress and his 2012 re-election campaign to the U.S. Senate. Recchie is now a political supporter of Brown’s and has described ‘angry words’ that surrounded their divorce.”

Sasse Wants to ‘Drain the Swamp for Real’

September 14, 2018 at 8:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Ben Sasse (R-NE) “introduced an ethics reform package of bills that included proposals to require presidential and vice presidential candidates to release their income tax returns and ban members of Congress from ever becoming paid lobbyists,” the Lincoln Journal Star reports.

Said Sasse: “Drain the swamp for real. Both parties talk a big game on the campaign trail, but then look the other way as soon as they get a taste of power.”

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Quote of the Day

September 14, 2018 at 8:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“What kind of mind twists that statistic into ‘Oh, fake news is trying to hurt my image.’ How can you be so self-centered and try to distort the truth so much? It’s mind boggling.”

— Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL), quoted by the Washington Post, telling reporters that she would support a probe into President Trump’s response to Hurricane Maria.

McCaskill Slams Hawley Over Pre-Existing Conditions

September 14, 2018 at 8:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) is out with a very effective ad recounting her experience in beating breast cancer while blasting rival Josh Hawley (R) for joining a lawsuit that could undo Obamacare’s protections for those with pre-existing conditions.

First Read highlights other Democrats seizing on health care and pre-existing conditions in their ads:

  • Joe Manchin in West Virginia
  • Richard Cordray in Ohio
  • Elissa Slotkin in Michigan

Sanders Allies Expect Him to Run Again

September 14, 2018 at 8:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Hill: “Allies to Bernie Sanders say the Vermont Independent senator is increasingly likely to make a second bid for the White House in 2020 — once again as a Democrat.”

“Sanders allies increasingly talk more confidently about the likelihood of a second presidential bid. Just a few months ago, the allies were more careful about his potential candidacy.”

Tucker Carlson Takes on ‘Creepy Porn Lawyer’

September 14, 2018 at 8:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Michael Avenatti has to be regretting going on Tucker Carlson’s show right now… It was worse than you’re imagining,” the Daily Beast reports.

Politico: “Even if Avenatti has little chance of winning the nomination, he could still wreck the 2020 Democratic race.”

Democrats Set to Breach Trump’s Midwestern Wall

September 14, 2018 at 8:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “The pendulum could swing against Trump in the band of Great Lakes and Rust Belt states that delivered him to the Oval Office. Aided by a court-ordered redraw of congressional districts, Democrats will pick up at least a few seats in Pennsylvania. Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin and Iowa each have multiple GOP House districts where Democrats have nominated competitive, if not favored, candidates. Republican governors in Wisconsin and Iowa are at-risk, and open GOP seats in Michigan and Ohio are toss-ups. Meanwhile, Democratic senators across the region are either favored or in re-election tossups — but none are considered underdogs.”

Cuomo Won His Primary By Running Against Trump

September 14, 2018 at 7:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The strategy allowed Mr. Cuomo — who has spent most of his career ruling and running from the center — to present himself as a progressive warrior in a way that his record might not always support. For most of his seven-plus years in office, after all, Mr. Cuomo has had a friendly working relationship with Republicans, and has failed to push hard for a number of liberal priorities, such as campaign finance reform.”

“During the early days of the Trump administration, Mr. Cuomo had scrupulously avoided criticizing the president by name, even suggesting there might be a benefit to New York if Mr. Trump helped pay for infrastructure.”

“Not so during the closing days of the campaign, when the governor openly mocked Mr. Trump, going so far on Wednesday as to call him ‘that boy’ and — gulp — not a real New Yorker.”

FBI Director Says Midterm Elections Will Be Fair

September 14, 2018 at 7:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

FBI Director Christopher Wray “assured Americans that they could have confidence in the U.S. election system during the November midterm elections despite efforts from the Russian government to undermine it,” Politico reports.

Said Wray: “‘I think Americans can have confidence in our election system. What the Russians do is sow both inaccurate information, disinformation, it’s a kind of information warfare, and then propaganda: exaggerated half-truths, distortions.”

The Biggest Threat to the GOP House Majority

September 14, 2018 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Of the 44 districts left open by incumbents who are retiring, resigning or seeking higher office, Democrats are targeting almost half of them. They need to gain 23 seats to win the House majority.”

“The open seats may be an overlooked factor in an election season dominated by GOP angst over a potential voter backlash against President Donald Trump. Recent history explains why Republicans are so concerned: In the past six midterm elections, the president’s party has not retained a single open seat he failed to carry two years prior.”

Democratic Insurgents Topple 6 New York State Senators

September 14, 2018 at 7:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Years of anger at a group of Democratic state senators who had collaborated with Republicans boiled over on Thursday, as primary voters ousted nearly all of them in favor of challengers who had called them traitors and sham progressives,” the New York Times reports.

“The losses were not only a resounding upset for the members of the Independent Democratic Conference, who outspent their challengers several times over, but also a sign that the progressive fervor sweeping national politics had hobbled New York’s once-mighty Democratic machine, at least on a local level.”

White House Aides Just Ignore Trump Tweets

September 14, 2018 at 6:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “minimized the pain and suffering of more than 3 million American citizens in Puerto Rico in a pair of tweets Thursday morning – and White House aides acted like it wasn’t their problem,” Politico reports.

“Trump’s broadside, in which he peddled a false conspiracy theory that ‘Democrats’ inflated the official death toll from Hurricane Maria to smear his image, was met largely with silence from his White House advisers. There were no efforts to walk back or explain Trump’s rage-tweets – no apologies or statements of support from the press office. Nobody resigned in protest. Officials refused to comment on the record.”

“The disconnect reinforced the growing sense in the West Wing that, after 20 months of failed efforts to corral the president, it’s best to let the president – who has long viewed himself as his best spokesman, strategist and negotiator – say what he wants to say and move on.”

New York Primaries

September 13, 2018 at 8:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The 2018 primary season ends with the New York primaries for state and local offices. The state’s primaries for federal offices were held in late June.

Polls close at 9 p.m. ET.

Manafort Reaches Plea Deal

September 13, 2018 at 6:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Manafort has tentatively agreed to a plea deal with special counsel Robert Mueller that will head off his upcoming trial, ABC News reports.

“The deal is expected to be announced in court Friday, but it remains unclear whether Manafort has agreed to cooperate with prosecutors or is simply conceding to a guilty plea, which would allow him to avoid the stress and expense of trial.”

Road to Senate Control May Run Through Tennessee

September 13, 2018 at 5:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent: “The thing is, though, that Tennessee looks like a must win for Democrats if they are to gain the majority. It goes back to that math problem again: If a Democratic incumbent loses in one of those four states, Democrats have to flip Tennessee in addition to Arizona and Nevada to win the Senate. The only alternative is running the table in all those six states other than Tennessee.”

Said J.B. Poersch, the head of the Senate Majority PAC: “There’s a way to get to the majority without Tennessee. But it’s a high priority.”

The Case for Indicting the President

September 13, 2018 at 5:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Avenatti writes in the New York Times:

“The fact that Mr. Trump is a sitting president should not derail a process that applies to all Americans, regardless of stature or station. He would still have the post-indictment relief available to all citizens, including the ability to challenge the constitutionality of the indictment. Some also argue that indicting the president would critically impair his ability to lead the country. But this is a White House already engulfed in chaos and daily distractions. And if the House were to initiate impeachment proceedings, it is hard to see how that process would be any less distracting than a criminal indictment.”

House GOP Blocks Effort to Reveal Trump-Putin Meeting

September 13, 2018 at 3:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Foreign Affairs Committee Republicans have rejected Democrats’ request that the State Department turn over documents that would explain what President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed in their July one-on-one meeting in Helsinki,” Axios reports.

“Lawmakers and Americans still don’t know the substance of what was discussed during Trump’s meeting with Putin, but there is no momentum from the Republican majority on Capitol Hill to compel those details from the administration.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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