Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:
Ohio: Clinton 48%, Trump 47% (Columbus Dispatch)
New Mexico: Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 11% (Research & Polling)
Ohio: Trump 46%, Clinton 45%, Johnson 3% (CBS/YouGov)
Florida: Clinton 45%, Trump 45%, Johnson 4% (CBS/YouGov)
Michigan: Clinton 46%, Trump 41%, Johnson 7% (Mitchell)
Tom Moran of the Newark Star Ledger:
Bridget Anne Kelly fought back her tears as long as she could, her lips quivering and her face growing more and more red as the jury foreman pronounced a guilty verdict on each of the nine charges.
She made it to count three. And then the flood began.
It was tough to feel any sense of satisfaction from this. Yes, the system worked, and the rule of law has been vindicated. Both Kelly and Bill Baroni are now felons.
But the big guy got away.
Gov. Chris Christie was smart enough to hide his tracks, guided no doubt by his years as a federal prosecutor. He is the firefighter who knows the tricks well enough to get away with arson.
“The story of this election may be the mobilization of the Hispanic vote. So Trump deserves the award for Hispanic turnout. He did more to get them out than any Democrat has ever done.”
— Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), quoted by the New York Times.
“Hispanic voters could be poised to deliver a historic rebuke to Donald Trump and the Republican Party,” Politico reports.
“Early-vote statistics from battleground states with large Hispanic populations show record turnout among a bloc that has voted at a lower rate than whites or blacks in past elections. If, as some polls suggest, Hispanic voters are supporting Hillary Clinton by blowout margins, these numbers could sink Trump in a handful of states that are essential to his path to 270 electoral votes.”
The final NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by four points nationally, 44% to 40%, with Johnson at 6% and Stein at 2%.
The final Politico/Morning Consult poll shows Clinton leading Trump by three points nationally, 45% to 42%, with Johnson at 8% and Stein at 4%.
The ABC News-Washington Post tracking poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump nationally by five points, 48% to 43%.
Key finding: “Even though both candidates are remarkably unpopular, there’s more affirmative voting for Clinton than for Trump, a factor that can motivate turnout. A majority of her supporters mainly support her, rather than opposing Trump. That’s pretty much reversed for Trump: 51 percent of his backers mainly oppose Clinton, rather than supporting him.”
“Hillary Clinton plans to return to Michigan on Monday, the final day of campaigning before Election Day, as her campaign seeks to lock down a traditionally Democratic state where the race has tightened,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“The Clinton campaign is also sending its top surrogates to Michigan. Former President Bill Clinton, the candidate’s husband, is set to campaign in Lansing on Sunday and President Barack Obama is scheduled to hold a rally in Ann Arbor, home to the University of Michigan, on Monday. The campaign is now running paid TV ads in Michigan as well.”
For members: What’s Going on in Michigan?
“With hours until Election Day, the wildest U.S. presidential race in memory has grown more competitive in most of the battleground states, although Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton continues to hold a broader path to victory than Republican Donald Trump,” the Washington Post reports.
“The political map suggests that Clinton can lose several key states long assumed to be in her column and still reach the 270 electoral votes she needs to win.”
“Trump, meanwhile, has a new reason for optimism, as a growing number of states appear potentially within his grasp. But to win, he would have to take nearly all of them.”
For members: Clinton’s Most Obvious Path to Victory and Trump’s Best Map
“Donald Trump was rushed offstage by security guards not long after he began speaking on Saturday night at a rally in Reno, Nev., in a startling scene that was not immediately explained,” the New York Times reports.
“Two members of Mr. Trump’s security detail raced toward Mr. Trump, with one of them grabbing him and forcibly escorting him away from the lectern. Moments before, Mr. Trump had seemed to notice a commotion in the crowd in front of him. As he was led away, video from the event appeared to show people near the stage subduing someone in the audience.”
Politico: “There has been no confirmation it was an assassination attempt.”
Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race:
Iowa: Clinton 44%, Trump 43%, Johnson 3% (Loras College)
Colorado: Clinton 40%, Trump 40%, Johnson 7% (Gravis)
Pennsylvania: Clinton 47%, Trump 45%, Johnson 2% (Gravis)
Virginia: Clinton 45%, Trump 38%, Johnson 5% (Roanoke College)
Pennsylvania: Clinton 44%, Trump 40%, Johnson 7% (Morning Call)
Iowa: Trump 46%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 5% (Des Moines Register)
“In a sign of momentum for Hillary Clinton, Florida Democrats widened their lead over Republicans in casting early ballots in the nation’s biggest political battleground Saturday morning as she and Donald Trump paid late-minute visits to the Sunshine State,” Politico reports.
Huffington Post: “The short version is that Nate is changing the results of polls to fit where he thinks the polls truly are, rather than simply entering the poll numbers into his model and crunching them.”
“Silver calls this unskewing a ‘trend line adjustment.’ He compares a poll to previous polls conducted by the same polling firm, makes a series of assumptions, runs a regression analysis, and gets a new poll number. That’s the number he sticks in his model ― not the original number.”
“He may end up being right, but he’s just guessing. A ‘trend line adjustment’ is merely political punditry dressed up as sophisticated mathematical modeling.”
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Donald Trump scheduled a Sunday afternoon rally in Wisconsin and Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI), who has steadfastly refused to appear with Trump, told the Madison Capital Times, “I intend to do it if he’s here.”
“Seconds later, a spokesman for Trump’s Wisconsin campaign alerted reporters that the event had been canceled, citing a scheduling conflict.”
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) canceled four New Hampshire campaign stops on behalf of Donald Trump this weekend after two of Christie’s top aides were convicted by a federal jury in connection with the “Bridgegate” lane closing scandal, WMUR reports.
Beginning at 11 am ET on Election Day, VoteCastr will make rolling projections of how many ballots have been cast for each candidate in seven key states: Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Slate: “This, as you may have heard, is controversial. It will break a decadeslong journalistic tradition whereby media outlets obey a self-imposed embargo on voting information under the unproven theory that it might depress turnout on Election Day.”
Donald Trump ends his campaign with ad bashing the political establishment and “corrupt machine.”
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.