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Trump Cites Childcare Programs But They’re for Guests

August 11, 2016 at 5:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump vowed to make child care more accessible and affordable and even used two programs he started as examples, the AP reports.

Said Trump: “You know, it’s not expensive for a company to do it. You need one person or two people, and you need some blocks, and you need some swings and some toys. It’s not an expensive thing, and I do it all over. And I get great people because of it. Because it’s a problem with a lot of other companies.”

“But the two programs Trump cited — Trump Kids and Trumpeteers — are programs catering to patrons of Trump’s hotels and golf club. They are not for Trump’s employees.”

Trump Says Winning Will Get Him Into Heaven

August 11, 2016 at 5:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump called on evangelical pastors to help him win the presidency this November, which he said is “maybe the only way I’m going to get to heaven,” Politico reports.

Said Trump: “For evangelicals, for the Christians, for the everybody, for everybody of religion, this will be, may be, the most important election that our country has ever had. And once I get in, I will do my thing that I do very well. And I figure it is probably, maybe the only way I’m going to get to heaven. So I better do a good job.”

Latest Map Shows Clinton Headed for Blowout

August 11, 2016 at 5:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

This electoral map shows only the states where Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump are ahead by at least 10% in the polling averages. The states in beige are either toss ups or lean slightly to one candidate.

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Trump May Have Paid No Taxes

August 11, 2016 at 5:03 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

James Stewart: “Mitt Romney was excoriated during the 2012 presidential campaign for paying $4.9 million in federal income tax, or an average of just 14 percent of his adjusted gross income, in the two years for which he released returns.”

“No one should be surprised, though, if Donald J. Trump has paid far less — perhaps even zero federal income tax in some years. Indeed, that’s the expectation of numerous real estate and tax professionals I’ve interviewed in recent weeks.”

State Poll Roundup: Thursday

August 11, 2016 at 4:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest state polls of the presidential race:

New Hampshire: Clinton 41%, Trump 31% (Vox Populi)

Georgia: Trump 43%, Clinton 39% (Gravis)

Maine: Clinton 43%, Trump 33% (Gravis)

South Carolina: Trump 41%, Clinton 39% (Public Policy Polling)

Iowa: Trump 37%, Clinton 36% (Suffolk)

Florida: Clinton 46%, Trump 43% (Public Policy Polling)

New Hampshire: Clinton 50%, Trump 37% (Public Policy Polling)

Florida: Clinton 45%, Trump 44% (Opinion Savvy)

An America-First Rebellion That Is Just Beginning

August 11, 2016 at 3:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Joe Klein: “It will probably take a miracle for Trump to rebound sufficiently to win the presidency. But a loss in November is not the end of this story. In the midst of the Trump crumple, the New York Times put up a video of the idiot fringe of his supporters, filmed over the past year by Times reporters. These true believers seemed half crazed, disgraceful, barbaric. It was shocking to watch, and terrifying. Trump the candidate is a farce, but these people aren’t. They have always been with us, the racists and hatemongers; they have always, thankfully, been a minority. But they seem more threatening now. They are part of an international movement. They have their own self-reinforcing media, feeding them a diet of paranoid distortions. They are being prepared by the likes of Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh–and, of course, by Trump himself–for a ‘rigged’ election that they will lose. And then what?”

“Trump may go away as a serious political force; he will find new business franchises to foist on the unwitting. But his followers will remain–and they will remain our fellow citizens, a slowly dwindling demographic force, more desperate in their diminution. We badly need to find a way to talk to them when this cataclysm of a campaign is over.”

Rob Ford Crack Video Finally Released

August 11, 2016 at 3:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Toronto Star has published the video of the late Toronto Mayor Rob Ford smoking crack cocaine.

Ford always denied the incident saying he could not comment on a video “that I have never seen or does not exist.”

Reid May Force Vote on Supreme Court Nominee

August 11, 2016 at 2:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) “left the door open for Democrats to potentially use a procedural tactic to force a vote on Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland,” The Hill reports.

Said Reid: “We have a couple of options, and we’re deciding when to do that and if we should do it — when and if. I’ve been in touch with some of my senators during the break to determine that.”

Republicans Urge RNC to Stop Supporting Trump

August 11, 2016 at 2:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“More than 70 Republicans have signed an open letter to Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus urging him to stop spending any money to help Donald Trump win in November and shift those contributions to Senate and House races,” Politico reports.

Trump Doubles Down Saying Obama Founded ISIS

August 11, 2016 at 2:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump said that he meant exactly what he said when he called President Obama the “founder of ISIS” and objected when a conservative radio show host tried to clarify the GOP nominee’s position, CNN reports.

Said Trump: “No, I meant he’s the founder of ISIS. I do. He was the most valuable player. I give him the most valuable player award. I give her, too, by the way, Hillary Clinton.”

He added: “He was the founder. His, the way he got out of Iraq was that that was the founding of ISIS, okay?”

What Happens to the Clinton Foundation If Hillary Wins?

August 11, 2016 at 12:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “Maybe the Clinton Foundation doesn’t have to close its doors if Hillary wins in November, but it will be unsustainable — for the Clintons and for the foundation — if it’s viewed as a conflict of interest. As former GOP Sen. Dick Lugar (R-IN) noted in 2009 during Hillary Clinton’s confirmation hearing to become secretary of state back, ‘The core of the problem is that foreign governments and entities may perceive the Clinton Foundation as a means to gain favor with the secretary of state. Although neither Senator Clinton nor President Clinton has a personal financial stake in the foundation, obviously its work benefits their legacy and their public service priorities.'”

“And as we found out, any safeguards that the Clintons and Foundation established to eliminate perceptions problems while Hillary was secretary of state didn’t exactly do the trick.”

Clinton Is Outpacing Obama In the States

August 11, 2016 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Thomas Holbrook compares the most recent state polling averages to the polling averages for the same states at this point in the campaign four years ago. Since it’s still early, polling averages are only available for 19 states.

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Democrats Still Unlikely to Take House

August 11, 2016 at 11:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “This week we’re moving four House race ratings toward the Democrats (descriptions of those changes are below). That brings the overall House tally to 226 Safe/Likely/Leaning Republican seats, 193 Safe/Likely/Leaning Democratic seats, and 16 Toss-ups (14 of which are held by Republicans). The House is currently 247-188 Republican, so if one splits the Toss-ups eight apiece, the House would be 234-201 Republican, giving Democrats a net gain of 13 seats (and matching the makeup of the House following the 2012 election).”

“That squares with our current projection: a 10-15 seat Democratic gain, which even at the high end would still be just half of the 30 seats the Democrats need to win the House.”

Trump Campaign Struggling In Ohio

August 11, 2016 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cincinnati Enquirer: “With the presidential election 90 days away, the Donald Trump campaign is scrambling to set up the basics of a campaign in Hamilton County, a key county in a swing state crucial to a Republican victory, a recent internal email obtained by The Enquirer shows. The campaign has yet to find or appoint key local leaders or open a campaign office in the county and isn’t yet sure which Hamilton County Republican party’s central committee members are allied with the Republican presidential nominee.”

Americans Find Trump Nearly as Big a Threat as ISIS

August 11, 2016 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll specifically asked whether voters feel that their own personal way of life is under threat from six different sources.

Among these sources, majorities of the electorate say they personally feel threatened by Islamic terrorists (61%) and by the prospect of a Donald Trump presidency (54%).  About 4-in-10 feel their way of life is threatened by the prospect of a Hillary Clinton presidency (42%), by the policies of the Republican Party (43%), or by the policies of the Democratic Party (39%).  Just 28% say their personal way of life is under threat from illegal immigrants from Mexico.

Trump Really Has No Leverage on the Debates

August 11, 2016 at 9:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Klein: “Trump says he is just now engaging with the commission to negotiate. But the commission says it does not negotiate things like dates and moderators with the campaigns. In any event, one campaign has agreed to the dates, football conflicts or not. Thinking back to the primaries, he may think he has leverage he does not. Plus, there’s a downside, if it means having to swim into Hillary Clinton’s policy depths. (He wasn’t quite as good a debater as he seems to remember himself being.) The only reason the debates would happen is if Trump decides he absolutely needs them. And that will almost certainly mean following the commission schedule through the fall.”

In case you missed it, Jim Lehrer joined us on Political Wire Conversations to discuss the upcoming debates.

Trump’s Attack Backfires Big Time

August 11, 2016 at 8:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump “admonished Hillary Clinton for having the father of the Orlando shooter seated behind her at a recent campaign rally,” NBC News reports.

Said Trump: “Wasn’t it terrible? Sitting with a big smile on his face right behind Hillary Clinton … When you get those seats, you sort of know the campaign.”

“But as he said those words, disgraced former Congressman Mark Foley smiled up at him from behind the stage. Foley, a Republican who represented southern Florida, was forced to resign his seat in September 2006 in the wake of allegations that he sent sent suggestive emails and instant messages to congressional pages. The former congressman shared Trump’s camera shot, with a smile, for the entirety of the hour-long rally.”

First Read: “Here’s one of the iron-clad rules of American politics: If you’re going to hit your opponent over something, you better make sure you don’t do the exact-same thing just days later.”

Quote of the Day

August 11, 2016 at 7:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It’s either going to work or I’m going to have a very very nice long vacation.”

— Donald Trump, in a CNBC interview.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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