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White House Counsel Knew Flynn Broke Law

December 21, 2017 at 7:48 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Foreign Policy: “The White House turned over records this fall to special counsel Robert Mueller revealing that in the very first days of the Trump presidency, Don McGahn researched federal law dealing both with lying to federal investigators and with violations of the Logan Act, a centuries-old federal law that prohibits private citizens from negotiating with foreign governments, according to three people with direct knowledge of the confidential government documents.”

“The records reflected concerns that McGahn, the White House counsel, had that Michael Flynn, then the president’s national security advisor, had possibly violated either one or both laws at the time, according to two of the sources. The disclosure that these records exist and that they are in the possession of the special counsel could bolster any potential obstruction of justice case against President Trump.”

‘I Couldn’t Be Happier to Renew’

December 21, 2017 at 7:47 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

It’s amazing how long some of you have been readers:

I couldn’t be happier to renew my membership. I’ve been an obsessive reader since 2004 (I was 14), and have probably visited your site at least 20 times a day every day since then. I count on Political Wire to keep me informed. What separates this site from so many others is context — you highlight the biggest stories of the day, like everyone else, but draw attention to the occurrences that actually matter instead of the day-to-day minutiae. Thank you for continuing to provide this service.

And this one:

Can’t live without Political Wire — have relied on you for many many years, and now I have kids who do. Keep up the great work.

Thanks to all of you who support Political Wire!

If you’re not yet a member, join for just $5 a month or $50 a year.

House Will Try to Pass Short Term Funding Bill

December 21, 2017 at 7:34 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Speaker Paul Ryan and his top lieutenants plan to bring a short-term government funding bill to the House floor on Thursday despite internal resistance — in the hopes of averting a shutdown and then leaving town for the holidays,” Politico reports.

“GOP leaders are betting that their conference doesn’t want to trample on their tax victory by shuttering federal agencies. They plan to call up the bill, along with a separate $81 billion disaster package for hurricane relief. If the House passes the funding patch Thursday, the Senate will move on it as quickly as possible.”

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Cochran Expected to Resign Next Year

December 21, 2017 at 7:28 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS), chairman of the powerful Appropriations Committee, “hasn’t presided over a hearing since early September. The Mississippi Republican has not given a speech on the Senate floor all year, and he’s introduced only two bills during that time, both of them minor,” Politico reports.

“The 80-year-old’s feeble performance has fueled expectations — among senators and aides who’ve witnessed his physical and mental decline firsthand — that Cochran will step down from the Appropriations chairmanship early next year, or resign from the Senate altogether.”

Said one GOP senator: “The understanding is that he will leave after Jan. 1, That’s what most of us believe will happen.”

A Blue Wave Is Forming

December 21, 2017 at 7:03 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As Nate Cohn notes, here are the generic congressional ballot results from polls conducted in this month using live interviewers (as opposed to an automated voice):

  • CNN D+18
  • Quinnipiac D+15
  • Monmouth D+15
  • Marist D+13
  • POS (R) D+12
  • NBC/WSJ D+11

History Suggests Tax Celebration Will Be Short-Lived

December 21, 2017 at 6:46 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Patrick Murray: “Bookmark that photo of Republican lawmakers gathering at the White House today to celebrate their first major legislative victory of the Trump era. If history is any guide, many of them may be on their way out this time next year.”

“Importantly, fully half of the American public believes that their own federal taxes will increase because of this new tax reform package. Only 14% expect that their taxes will go down. In reality, many more than 1-in-7 taxpayers will see at least a nominal decrease. This reality is what GOP lawmakers are banking on when they face the voters next year.”

“But politics – and voters’ decision-making process – isn’t always based on reality. It is, however, always based on perception. And based on historical perception metrics, the short-term future doesn’t look quite so bright for the bill’s proponents.”

Republicans Finally Get a Partner In Trump

December 21, 2017 at 6:35 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “In the last three months of 2017, Trump has quietly racked up a series of policy victories that Republicans have eyed for years, securing the passage not only of the tax overhaul, but also reversing the contours of Obama-era foreign policy and confirming a spate of judges to the federal bench.”

“Over the past week, even Republicans themselves have appeared surprised at their own successes… Republican leaders, whose relationship with Trump has been strained since he took office by both temperamental and ideological differences, heaped praise on him at a White House ceremony on Wednesday marking the passage of the tax legislation.”

Puerto Rico May Be Big Loser from New Tax Law

December 21, 2017 at 6:10 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Puerto Rico’s governor is warning that the sweeping tax plan passed by congressional Republicans on Wednesday could deliver a ‘crippling blow’ to the island’s already-fragile economy, still reeling from the effects of major hurricanes,” the Washington Post reports.

“The tax bill passed overwhelmingly in the House on Wednesday includes a new 12.5 percent tax on profits derived from intellectual property held by foreign companies — a move designed to compel those companies to move back to the United States. Puerto Rico is considered part of the United States in all realms except taxes — meaning that island residents don’t pay federal income taxes but do pay into Social Security. Companies based on the island are treated as if they were located in other Caribbean tax havens not under an American flag.”

It’s Not Possible for Roy Moore to Win a Recount

December 21, 2017 at 5:54 am ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Alabama’s secretary of state announced that his office had received 4,967 provisional ballots and that “no additional ballots are eligible to be received,” the Washington Examiner reports.

That figure is “well below the number needed to trigger a recount, let alone overcome the 20,715-vote lead of Doug Jones.”

Most Won’t Know Tax Bill Impact Until After Midterms

December 20, 2017 at 9:48 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Republicans in Congress celebrated the passage of the biggest rewrite of the U.S. tax code in decades Wednesday, with President Trump calling it a ‘Christmas gift for hard-working Americans.’ Workers will see the first glimpse of a tax cut in February at the earliest, but it won’t be until 2019 — when people file their taxes for next year — that most will know whether they will pay more or less to the federal government.”

House Republicans Quietly Investigate ‘Corruption’ at FBI

December 20, 2017 at 9:40 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A group of House Republicans has gathered secretly for weeks in the Capitol in an effort to build a case that senior leaders of the Justice Department and FBI improperly — and perhaps criminally — mishandled the contents of a dossier that describes alleged ties between President Donald Trump and Russia, according to four people familiar with their plans,” Politico reports.

“A subset of the Republican members of the House intelligence committee, led by Chairman Devin Nunes of California, has been quietly working parallel to the committee’s high-profile inquiry into Russian meddling in the 2016 presidential election. They haven’t informed Democrats about their plans, but they have consulted with the House’s general counsel.”

Trump Falsely Claims He Repealed Obamacare

December 20, 2017 at 9:08 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Republican tax-overhaul bill may have only ended the individual mandate aspect of Obamacare, but that won’t stop President Trump from gloating to his base that he ‘repealed’ his predecessor’s signature legislation,” the Daily Beast reports.

Said Trump: “When the individual mandate is being repealed, that means Obamacare is being repealed. Obamacare has been repealed in this bill.”

“Contrary to his claim, however, the Affordable Care Act is still largely intact—from its Medicaid expansion to the insurance exchanges it set up to regulations on insurance companies, including those mandating coverage for pre-existing conditions.”

Northeast Republicans Lose Big Time

December 20, 2017 at 6:06 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Amid the cheers and gavel-pounding among Republicans on Tuesday at the passage of the tax bill in the House, there was a Northeastern accent to the party’s dissenters, with nine lawmakers from New York and New Jersey bucking the consensus to vote no. And in almost every case, the reason for that cross-Hudson opposition came down to the assertion that their two states were basically being used to pay for tax cuts in the other 48.”

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

December 20, 2017 at 5:34 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

To the politicians out there that have been openly lobbying for this position, they basically disqualified themselves for showing their true character.”

— Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey (R), quoted by the Arizona Republic, on Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) seat.

Virginia Race Is Now a Tie

December 20, 2017 at 5:26 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The election in the 94th House of Delegates District is now a tie, after a three-judge panel ruled that a ballot that was rejected in Tuesday’s recount should be counted as a vote for Del. David Yancey,” the Newport News Daily Press reports.

“The judges deliberated for several hours behind closed doors over whether they should look at the ballot, whether anyone could be sure which ballot it was and finally what the markings on it.”

Pence Lavishes Praise on Trump at Cabinet Meeting

December 20, 2017 at 5:08 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Over nearly three minutes, Pence offered plaudit after plaudit after plaudit, praising Trump’s vision, his words, his strategy and his results in light of the passage of tax cuts. By the end, Pence offered 14 separate commendations for Trump in less than three minutes — math that works out to one every 12.5 seconds. And each bit of praise was addressed directly to Trump, who was seated directly across the table.”

Conservatives Fall In Line

December 20, 2017 at 4:08 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Frum: “In the spring of 2016, National Review published its ‘Against Trump’ issue. Twenty-one prominent conservatives signed individual statements of opposition to Trump’s candidacy. Of those 21, only six continue to speak publicly against his actions. Almost as many have become passionate defenders of the Trump presidency.”

Confusion and Chaos Ahead for New Tax Law

December 20, 2017 at 3:19 pm ET By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The most sweeping tax code overhaul in a generation will soon head to President Trump’s desk — and Republicans are enjoying a victory dance. Now comes the real-world turmoil,” Politico reports.

“America’s new tax system will go into effect in just 12 days, and payroll companies are bracing for confusion as they figure out new withholding rules that will affect millions of American paychecks.”

Walter Shapiro: “Trump has promised that the over-taxed IRS will issue new withholding schedules by February. But because all 150 million taxpayers subject to withholding will have to file new W-4 forms detailing their deductions, there exists the potential for a brief outburst of chaos reminiscent of the failed rollout of Obamacare.”

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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