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North Carolina Showdown Could Be Most Expensive Ever

October 20, 2014 at 7:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“From the Koch brothers and Art Pope to George Soros and Michael Bloomberg, wealthy donors are making North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race one of America’s first $100 million contests,” the Charlotte Observer reports.

“Outside groups continue to flood the state with ads and accusations, forcing Democratic U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan and Republican Thom Tillis to keep scrambling for dollars in the campaign’s final two weeks. Money spent or committed in the race is poised to top $103 million, according to public records and interviews with donors. Three-quarters of it comes from party and interest groups. More than $22 million is dark money from groups that don’t disclose their donors.”

The Divided States of America

October 20, 2014 at 7:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News: “The dominant political story heading into the Nov. 4 midterm elections isn’t control of the U.S. Senate, or President Obama’s approval ratings, or the party that captures the most governor’s mansions across the nation. Instead, it’s that this country – long known for its combative politics, especially before an election – is more divided today than it has been in decades. And it’s likely to remain that way for the foreseeable future.”

Democrats Back Long-Shot Candidates

October 20, 2014 at 7:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats, worried as polls show their chances of retaining control of the Senate dwindling, are plowing money into long-shot races in unexpected states as embattled incumbents elsewhere seem to be slipping behind,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The party last week put $1 million into the contest for a GOP-held seat in Georgia, attempting to capitalize on polls now shifting in its favor, as it also makes a play against long odds to hold its own seat in South Dakota with another $1 million in spending.”


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People Walk Out on Obama at Campaign Event

October 20, 2014 at 7:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “made a rare appearance on the campaign trail on Sunday with a rally to support the Democratic candidate for governor in Maryland, though the event was marred somewhat by early departures of crowd members and a yelling heckler,” Reuters reports.

“Some 8,000 people turned out for the event, held in a noisy school gymnasium. But a steady stream of people walked out while he spoke, and a heckler interrupted his remarks.”

Tennessee Lawmaker Arrested Three Times in One Month

October 20, 2014 at 7:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tennessee state Sen. Jim Summerville (R) “was arrested twice this weekend — just one month after he was arrested for public intoxication,” the New York Daily News reports.

Summerville “has been charged with stalking and assault in separate incidents involving his neighbor.”

McConnell Seeks to Clear the Decks

October 20, 2014 at 6:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) “wants to get all must-pass legislation completed in the lame-duck session so Senate Republicans will have a clean slate at the start of 2015 if they control the upper chamber,” The Hill reports.

“Senate GOP aides say that’s the message from the leader, who could face opposition from conservative lawmakers who want to block any non-emergency measures in the window between Election Day and the start of the new Congress in January.”

Most Feel U.S. Has Lost Control

October 20, 2014 at 5:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Politico poll finds “an overwhelming majority of voters in the most competitive 2014 elections say it feels as if events in the United States are “out of control” and expressed mounting alarm about terrorism, anxiety about Ebola and harsh skepticism of both political parties only three weeks before the Nov. 4 midterms.”

Key fidings: Two-thirds of likely voters said they feel that the United States has lost control of its major challenges. Only 36 percent said the country is “in a good position to meet its economic and national security” hurdles.

Grayson’s Divorce Gets Messier

October 20, 2014 at 5:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Alan Grayson’s (D-FL) “messy divorce is getting messier, at least when it comes to his house,” the AP reports.

“Court papers filed by his estranged wife, Lolita, claim that the Democratic congressman failed to pay for repairs for the 5,300-square-foot Orlando house where she is living with their four children. The roof is leaking, broken windows are allowing rain to get inside and the house has a significant mold problem because of the moisture, Lolita Grayson said in the papers filed at the Orange County Courthouse. She also said the congressman cut off her credit cards, even though he has been the sole financial provider during their 24 years of marriage.”

Where Are the Polls?

October 19, 2014 at 9:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Harry Enten: “Two weeks and two days before Election Day, and we received just two polls over the weekend. The polls, both taken in Colorado by left-leaning groups, had little impact on the FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast — Republicans have a 62 percent chance of taking the Senate. Indeed, we were more interested in the small number of polls than what those two surveys said.”

“The FiveThirtyEight model relies mostly on polls, and without polls, the forecast’s accuracy could suffer. So we looked into it. Fortunately, this weekend was an aberration. We’re getting fewer polls than we did in 2010, but we’re not getting way fewer polls.”

Obama Seeks Iran Deal That Would Avoid Congress

October 19, 2014 at 9:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “No one knows if the Obama administration will manage in the next five weeks to strike what many in the White House consider the most important foreign policy deal of his presidency: an accord with Iran that would forestall its ability to make a nuclear weapon. But the White House has made one significant decision: If agreement is reached, President Obama will do everything in his power to avoid letting Congress vote on it.”

Likely Voters Favor GOP Led Congress

October 19, 2014 at 9:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Annenberg survey finds likely voters favor a Republican-led Congress over a Democratic one, 49% to 44%.

“The survey is yet more evidence that Democratic voters are tuning out the midterms. Democrats carried a 10-point lead among low-interest voters, who the party is trying to reach and motivate with vigorous turnout operations across the country. Republicans carried a 10-point lead in the new survey among voters who said they were highly interested in the election.”

Quote of the Day

October 19, 2014 at 9:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The game is rigged, and the Republicans rigged it.”

— Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), quoted by the Washington Post.

Black Voters Key to Democrats Holding Senate

October 19, 2014 at 9:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The confidential memo from a former pollster for President Obama contained a blunt warning for Democrats. Written this month with an eye toward Election Day, it predicted ‘crushing Democratic losses across the country’ if the party did not do more to get black voters to the polls,” the New York Times reports.

Wrote pollster Cornell Belcher: “African-American surge voters came out in force in 2008 and 2012, but they are not well positioned to do so again in 2014. In fact, over half aren’t even sure when the midterm elections are taking place.”

Romney Leads GOP Field for President

October 19, 2014 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds that 21% of Republican voters back Mitt Romney for president.

“When Romney is excluded from the race, his supporters scatter, adding no clarity to the GOP free-for-all. In that scenario former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul have 12 or 13 percent support from leaned Republicans who are registered to vote. All others have support in the single digits.”

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead with 64% support.

Investigation Uncovers Candidate’s Medals for Valor

October 18, 2014 at 10:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The American political graveyard has more than a few monuments to politicians and public officials who embellished details of their military service, in some cases laying claim to medals for heroism or other military honors they never received,” the Boston Globe reports.

“And then, uniquely, there is Seth W. Moulton, the Democratic nominee for Congress in the Sixth Congressional District, a former Marine who saw fierce combat for months and months in Iraq. But Moulton chose not to publicly disclose that he was twice decorated for heroism until pressed by the Globe.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

October 18, 2014 at 10:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This is as close as we’ve gotten to a presidential-style campaign in those states. We’re assuming that the 2014 electorate is going to look more like 2012 than 2010.”

— GOP pollster Neil Newhouse, quoted by the New York Times, on the battleground states.

Quote of the Day

October 18, 2014 at 8:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I love her. That’s easy to understand. She loves me. That’s hard to understand.”

— Edwin Edwards, quoted by the Financial Times, on his wife who is 51 years younger than him.

Black Woman Standing Next to Corbett Was Photoshopped

October 18, 2014 at 8:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett’s (R) re-election campaign “found an African-American woman to stand next to the governor on his website photos,” the Philadelphia Daily News reports.

“Not an actual woman. According to Buzzfeed, the black woman who gazes at Corbett was Photoshopped from a stock picture.”

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Balanced Ticket: A balanced ticket is a paring of political party candidates designed to appeal to a broad swathe of the electorate.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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