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Grayson’s Divorce Gets Messier

October 20, 2014 at 5:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Alan Grayson’s (D-FL) “messy divorce is getting messier, at least when it comes to his house,” the AP reports.

“Court papers filed by his estranged wife, Lolita, claim that the Democratic congressman failed to pay for repairs for the 5,300-square-foot Orlando house where she is living with their four children. The roof is leaking, broken windows are allowing rain to get inside and the house has a significant mold problem because of the moisture, Lolita Grayson said in the papers filed at the Orange County Courthouse. She also said the congressman cut off her credit cards, even though he has been the sole financial provider during their 24 years of marriage.”

Where Are the Polls?

October 19, 2014 at 9:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Harry Enten: “Two weeks and two days before Election Day, and we received just two polls over the weekend. The polls, both taken in Colorado by left-leaning groups, had little impact on the FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast — Republicans have a 62 percent chance of taking the Senate. Indeed, we were more interested in the small number of polls than what those two surveys said.”

“The FiveThirtyEight model relies mostly on polls, and without polls, the forecast’s accuracy could suffer. So we looked into it. Fortunately, this weekend was an aberration. We’re getting fewer polls than we did in 2010, but we’re not getting way fewer polls.”

Obama Seeks Iran Deal That Would Avoid Congress

October 19, 2014 at 9:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “No one knows if the Obama administration will manage in the next five weeks to strike what many in the White House consider the most important foreign policy deal of his presidency: an accord with Iran that would forestall its ability to make a nuclear weapon. But the White House has made one significant decision: If agreement is reached, President Obama will do everything in his power to avoid letting Congress vote on it.”


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Likely Voters Favor GOP Led Congress

October 19, 2014 at 9:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Annenberg survey finds likely voters favor a Republican-led Congress over a Democratic one, 49% to 44%.

“The survey is yet more evidence that Democratic voters are tuning out the midterms. Democrats carried a 10-point lead among low-interest voters, who the party is trying to reach and motivate with vigorous turnout operations across the country. Republicans carried a 10-point lead in the new survey among voters who said they were highly interested in the election.”

Quote of the Day

October 19, 2014 at 9:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The game is rigged, and the Republicans rigged it.”

— Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), quoted by the Washington Post.

Black Voters Key to Democrats Holding Senate

October 19, 2014 at 9:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The confidential memo from a former pollster for President Obama contained a blunt warning for Democrats. Written this month with an eye toward Election Day, it predicted ‘crushing Democratic losses across the country’ if the party did not do more to get black voters to the polls,” the New York Times reports.

Wrote pollster Cornell Belcher: “African-American surge voters came out in force in 2008 and 2012, but they are not well positioned to do so again in 2014. In fact, over half aren’t even sure when the midterm elections are taking place.”

Romney Leads GOP Field for President

October 19, 2014 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds that 21% of Republican voters back Mitt Romney for president.

“When Romney is excluded from the race, his supporters scatter, adding no clarity to the GOP free-for-all. In that scenario former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul have 12 or 13 percent support from leaned Republicans who are registered to vote. All others have support in the single digits.”

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead with 64% support.

Investigation Uncovers Candidate’s Medals for Valor

October 18, 2014 at 10:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The American political graveyard has more than a few monuments to politicians and public officials who embellished details of their military service, in some cases laying claim to medals for heroism or other military honors they never received,” the Boston Globe reports.

“And then, uniquely, there is Seth W. Moulton, the Democratic nominee for Congress in the Sixth Congressional District, a former Marine who saw fierce combat for months and months in Iraq. But Moulton chose not to publicly disclose that he was twice decorated for heroism until pressed by the Globe.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

October 18, 2014 at 10:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This is as close as we’ve gotten to a presidential-style campaign in those states. We’re assuming that the 2014 electorate is going to look more like 2012 than 2010.”

— GOP pollster Neil Newhouse, quoted by the New York Times, on the battleground states.

Quote of the Day

October 18, 2014 at 8:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I love her. That’s easy to understand. She loves me. That’s hard to understand.”

— Edwin Edwards, quoted by the Financial Times, on his wife who is 51 years younger than him.

Black Woman Standing Next to Corbett Was Photoshopped

October 18, 2014 at 8:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett’s (R) re-election campaign “found an African-American woman to stand next to the governor on his website photos,” the Philadelphia Daily News reports.

“Not an actual woman. According to Buzzfeed, the black woman who gazes at Corbett was Photoshopped from a stock picture.”

Supreme Court Allows Texas to Use Voter ID Law

October 18, 2014 at 8:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Saturday allowed Texas to use its strict voter identification law in the November election. The court’s order was unsigned and contained no reasoning,” the New York Times reports.

“The law, enacted in 2011, requires voters seeking to cast their ballots at the polls to present photo identification like a Texas driver’s or gun license, a military ID or a passport.”

Midterm Polling Error is Much Larger

October 18, 2014 at 8:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sam Wang: “Yesterday, Nate Silver and I both examined Senate polling errors. He saw no overall bias; I pointed out that recent bias has been unusually large. Both statements are true. But neither of us pointed out that the biases follow a significant pattern: midterm-year polling is far less accurate than Presidential-year polling.”

“From a practical standpoint, this is good news for those of you who don’t like where things have headed lately: in midterms, Senate polling errors are five times larger than in Presidential years. There is bad news too: the error can go in either direction, and a GOP blowout is also possible.”

Gillespie Gives Up in Virginia

October 18, 2014 at 8:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Ed Gillespie, one of the Republican establishment’s most respected advisers and powerful fundraisers, badly trails in the race for campaign cash and has asked television stations to stop running his ads for Senate with just three weeks left before Election Day,” CBS News reports.

“Reports filed with the Federal Communications Commission show Gillespie’s campaign cancelling or drastically reducing the amount of money it plans to spend on television ads in coming days. At the same time, political operatives who track television advertising said Thursday that Gillespie does not have ads reserved in the final push toward the Nov. 4 elections.”

Clinton Tests Campaign Themes

October 18, 2014 at 8:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hillary Clinton “is back on the campaign trail after a six-year hiatus, aiming to rouse Democratic voters who don’t typically show up for midterm elections. In the course of trying to help her party’s candidates, she is also testing themes that would likely surface in her own potential run for office and giving clues to the political profile she might adopt in a presidential campaign,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Lately, Mrs. Clinton has spiced her campaign-trail speeches with targeted criticism of business–notable given that some liberals are suspicious of the Clinton family for accepting hundreds of millions of dollars in corporate donations and speaking fees. Those concerns could prompt a primary challenge from the political left.”

Clinton Aides Halted Investigation Into Sexual Misconduct

October 17, 2014 at 4:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A State Department investigation has found that aides to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton contributed to the ‘appearance of undue influence and favoritism’ in three departmental investigations related to alleged sexual conduct by officials in the field,” Time reports.

“In the highest-level case, the department’s inspector general found that senior State Department officials declared an allegation that the U.S. Ambassador to Belgium had solicited a prostitute in a public park as a ‘management issue.’ The move effectively halted an investigation by the department’s Bureau of Diplomatic Security.”

Christie’s Wife Earned $500K at Part Time Job

October 17, 2014 at 4:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

According to new tax filings, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s (R) wife, Mary Pat, who works part-time on Wall Street, earned $475,854 for her job as a director at Angelo, Gordon & Co. and $34,698 from Cantor Fitzgerald, the AP reports.

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

October 17, 2014 at 3:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It certainly is a liability. It is not a killing liability. My opponents all have liabilities, too.”

— Edwin Edwards (D), quoted by the Wall Street Journal, on serving eight years in prison for racketeering.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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