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Gay Marriage Ruling Could Open 2016 Door for Portman

September 8, 2014 at 8:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cleveland Plain Dealer: “He could be hailed as farsighted, a serious leader who opened his party’s doors for all people and generations. Rob Portman could be the Republican Party’s first post-gay-marriage presidential candidate.”

“Social conservatives say a Portman presidency, let alone candidacy, cannot happen for that very reason – that Republicans will vote in primaries to reject someone who flipped on gay marriage. Social conservatives see the issue as fundamental to their values.”

“Yet several forces, political as well as demographic, may converge to render a presidential candidacy by Portman, the Ohio Republican U.S. senator, as at least nominally viable. Key to this is the fact that a Portman candidacy could align with a U.S. Supreme Court decision that would end the legal and constitutional fight over same-sex marriage. Such a ruling could come by next summer, well before the Republican voters go to the first 2016 caucuses and primaries.”

Where Paul Ryan Thinks

September 8, 2014 at 8:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) told the Washington Examiner that many of the ideas in his new book, The Way Forward: Renewing the American Idea, “came to him while sitting in a tiny tree stand, bow hunting for deer in rural Wisconsin.”

Said Ryan: “A lot of it actually came from that. It is hard to explain to people who aren’t hunters. It is very peaceful, very cathartic. It really is pretty much the only ‘me time’ I have anymore and it just helps you clear your mind.”

The Richest Members of Congress

September 8, 2014 at 7:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Roll Call has its annual list of the 50 richest members of Congress.

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Nagin to Report to Prison

September 8, 2014 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin “was due to report to federal prison on Monday to begin serving a 10-year sentence for corruption during the years when the city was struggling to recover from the devastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina,” Reuters reports.

Politics of Terror Returns

September 8, 2014 at 7:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The politics of terrorism have returned with a vengeance for the midterm elections,” The Hill reports.

“National security dominated the first election cycles after the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, with Democrats fearful of being labeled unpatriotic if they criticized then-President George W. Bush. The Republican advantage eroded years later as public opinion soured against the Iraq War. By the time President Obama sought reelection in 2012, he was able to tout the killing of Osama bin Laden to portray Democrats as the party of strength in foreign policy.”

“But now, with the 13th anniversary of 9/11 just days away, Obama and the Democrats are back on the defensive.”

How the GOP Can Win the Senate

September 8, 2014 at 6:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The AP lists five ways the GOP can win control of the U.S. Senate in the midterm elections.

Supporters of Scottish Independence Take Lead

September 8, 2014 at 6:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new YouGov poll finds “supporters of Scottish independence from Britain have taken their first opinion poll lead since the referendum campaign began, indicating a real possibility that they might win.”

“With less than two weeks to go before the Sept. 18 vote, the poll put the ‘Yes’ to independence campaign on 51% against ‘no’ camp on 49%, overturning a 22-point lead for the unionist campaign in just a month.”

Romney Foreign Policy Team Stays Together

September 8, 2014 at 5:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Josh Rogin: “Early in 2013, leaders of the foreign policy team that guided presidential candidate Mitt Romney regrouped under a new banner and began working to influence lawmakers and potential 2016 GOP presidential candidates, keeping their work secret.”

“Now the ‘John Hay Initiative,’ a nonprofit organization named after the private secretary to Abraham Lincoln who eventually rose to be Teddy Roosevelt’s secretary of state, is planning its first public event, a national security speech by 2016 hopeful Sen. Marco Rubio on September 17 in Washington.”

Romney Says He Would Have Been Better

September 7, 2014 at 8:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney said there’s “no question” he would’ve been a better president than President Obama, The Hill reports.

Said Romney: “I think the president is really out of touch with reality with what’s going on in the world.”

Obama Will Lay Out Strategy to Defeat Islamic State

September 7, 2014 at 8:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “will lay out plans this week for expanding the U.S. military campaign against the extremist group Islamic State, including the possibility of airstrikes on the militants in their Syrian strongholds,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“His appeal for support to a divided Congress and a doubtful American public comes as the U.S. military is broadening its month-old campaign of air attacks against the Sunni fighters in Iraq. An intense barrage of Americans airstrikes on Sunday hit militants trying to seize control of the strategic Haditha Dam in Iraq’s Sunni heartland northwest of Baghdad.”

New York Times: “The planned speech suggests that the president may be moving closer to a decision on whether to expand the month-old air campaign against ISIS in Iraq into Syria, and it is Mr. Obama’s latest attempt to answer critics who charge that he lacks a viable plan or the fortitude to go after the group.”

Maureen McDonnell Predicted Jail

September 7, 2014 at 8:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Six months before Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell (R) and his wife Maureen were charged with public corruption, the Washington Post reports the first lady made a stark prediction to her manicurist: “Her husband would go to jail, she said, and it would all be her fault.”

“In December, prosecutors offered to let the former governor plead guilty to just one count of lying to a bank. Maureen McDonnell would avoid charges entirely. He flatly declined, refusing to plead guilty to a crime he has said he did not commit… Maureen McDonnell has told friends and supporters that he declined the deal without consulting her.”

Cruz Says Instability May Inspire Him to Run for President

September 7, 2014 at 8:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) hinted in an interview that “growing instability around the world could help convince him to run for president in 2016,” Politico reports.

Said Cruz: “It increases my interest in doing everything I can to change the direction we’re on. The American people in 2014 and also November 2016 are going to be looking for leaders who want to work to restore America’s leadership in the world.”

Clear Path to Senate Majority Opens for Republicans

September 7, 2014 at 3:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver: “Pollsters are picking up the pace after a slow start in this midterm election season… The bottom line is not much has changed. The FiveThirtyEight forecast model gives Republicans a 65.1% chance of winning the Senate with the new polling added, similar to the 63.5% chance that our previous forecast gave them on Friday.”

“But the path to a Republican majority is becoming a little clearer — and the problem for Democrats is that it runs through six deeply red states.”

Meanwhile, The Upshot gives Republicans a 61% chance of taking the Senate.

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 7, 2014 at 10:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“My time has come and gone.”

— Mitt Romney, in an interview on Fox News, insisting he’s not running for president again.

GOP Wants to Move Quickly to Keep Government Open

September 7, 2014 at 9:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A House GOP leadership aide told BuzzFeed that no final decisions have been made on the exact timing for a continuing resolution vote, but acknowledged “our objective is to get it done quickly.”

“With the election less than two months away, leadership is eager to wrap up its 10-day session without committing any unforced errors, focusing instead on message votes on jobs and energy. Speaker John Boehner’s ability to control his caucus is tenuous, and the short time between now and election day means he doesn’t have time for a messy, drawn out fight to pass major legislation.”

“Aides suggested the quick turnaround on the continuing resolution is to keep the Republican Party’s ‘Trouble Makers Caucus,’ led by Sen. Ted Cruz, from organizing any sort of rebellion and prompting another government shutdown.”

Obama Admits Golf Optics are Bad

September 7, 2014 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “said he was near tears while talking to the parents of slain U.S. journalist James Foley, and he appeared to express some misgivings about his decision to play golf minutes after delivering an angry public statement about Foley’s killing in Syria three weeks ago,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Onama: “I should’ve anticipated the optics. Part of this job is also the theater of it. It’s not something that always comes naturally to me. But it matters.”

McConnell Opens Up Lead in Kentucky

September 7, 2014 at 9:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC/Marist poll in Kentucky finds Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) has opened up an eight point lead over challenger Alison Grimes (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 39%.

Cotton Leads in Arkansas

September 7, 2014 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC/Marist poll in Arkansas finds Tom Cotton (R) leads Mark Pryor (D) by five points in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 40%.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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