Gallup: “Conservatives continued to outnumber moderates and liberals in the U.S. population in 2014, as they have since 2009. However, their 14-percentage-point edge over liberals last year, 38% vs. 24%, is the smallest in Gallup’s trends since 1992.”
Members Get the Full Experience
- Exclusive analysis you won’t find elsewhere
- Real-time trending page
- Private Trial Balloon podcast
- No ads
Become a member. Already a member? Log in.
Quote of the Day
“I kind of like the direction he has signaled he is going in. He knows he has nothing to lose.”
— Rep. Lacy Clay (D-MO), quoted by the Washington Examiner, on President Obama.
Bush Sets Ambitious Fundraising Goal
“Jeb Bush’s allies are setting a fundraising goal of $100 million in the first three months of this year—including a whopping $25 million haul in Florida—in an effort to winnow the potential Republican presidential primary field with an audacious display of financial strength,” Bloomberg reports.
“The targets were confirmed by multiple Republican sources involved in finance meetings with Bush’s team. They requested anonymity to discuss internal deliberations. One said the point is to persuade some establishment candidates to stay on the sidelines in the 2016 race.”
How Not to Topple the Speaker
“A group of House conservatives spent almost a year dreaming big about toppling Speaker John Boehner, but less than a day before the vote they still hadn’t found someone to replace him,” Politico reports.
“One promising candidate finally jumped in — but only at the last minute, not even telling his closest friend in Congress he was running.”
“The result was a vote Tuesday that ultimately yielded an ugly, controversial win for Boehner, with the most defections from his own party that any speaker had seen in decades. The Ohio Republican’s allies were left howling for revenge, and hopes of a big tea party victory once again went unfulfilled.”
Axelrod Says Clinton Was Too Cautious
David Axelrod jabbed at Hillary Clinton”saying that she wasn’t a very strong candidate during the first part of her campaign for the 2008 presidential nomination,” Politico reports.
Said Axelrod: “When you play not to lose, you often lose. And my perception of Secretary Clinton was that she wasn’t a very good candidate in 2007.”
Who Will Replace Barbara Boxer in the Senate?
Los Angeles Times: “Focus immediately turned to state Atty. Gen. Kamala D. Harris, Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and billionaire activist Tom Steyer.”
“Harris and Newsom have statewide profiles and Bay Area support. Villaraigosa, a former Assembly speaker, has name recognition in the state’s largest media market. Steyer has wealth.”
Scott Walker Is a Big Threat to Jeb Bush
Washington Post: “Right now, Walker is the candidate who can most realistically unite the base and the establishment wings of the party. One only needs to glance at conservative media to see that the Republican base has little time for Jeb Bush… Walker, by contrast, is a hero to the grassroots after winning multiple battles with Wisconsin Democrats and unions. And he also has shown the ability to bring in the money from big donors — facing a recall election in 2012, Walker outraised his Democratic opponent eight to one, with contributions from 13 billionaires outside of the state… And his Wisconsin base should give him plenty of chances to woo Iowa Republicans over the next year. If Jeb Bush and his team are starting up their opposition research unit, Walker is the first one they should target.”
Another Way a Clinton Win Would Make History
Amy Walter: “When it comes to making predictions about 2016, there are lots of important numbers to follow. The unemployment rate. Consumer confidence. The president’s approval rating. The horse race polls. But, in my mind, the most important data point to follow is the one which measures Americans’ desire to stay the current course or try a different one in 2016.”
“History tells us that the odds of a Clinton presidency are long. In the modern era (well, really since Andrew Jackson in 1836), no Democrat has succeeded a 2-term Democratic president.”
Grand Jury Investigating Brownback Campaign
A subpoena obtained by the Associated Press shows a federal grand jury is looking into loans made to Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback’s (R) re-election campaign.
The Wichita Eagle has more on the suspicious loans.
Criminal Charges Recommended Against Pennsylvania Attorney General
The special prosecutor and grand jury investigating allegations that Pennsylvania Attorney General Kathleen Kane (D) “leaked secret information to a newspaper have found evidence of wrongdoing and recommended that she be criminally charged,” the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
“The panel concluded that Kane violated grand-jury secrecy rules by leaking investigative material in a bid to embarrass political enemies… Some of those familiar with the grand jury presentment say it recommended charges that included perjury and contempt of court.”
Iowa Straw Poll Will Survive
“The Republican Party of Iowa says it has gotten positive signals from the Republican National Committee that it can hold its traditional straw poll without violating the party’s new rules governing the primary season calendar, meaning one of the more colorful events of the nomination season is likely to continue this August,” Bloomberg reports.
Unexpected Quote of the Day
“Marriage as an institution is not so much threatened by same-sex couples as it is by heterosexuals’ increasing indifference to it.”
— Mike Huckabee, in his new book, God, Guns, Grits and Gravy.
Inhofe’s Unlikely Friend
Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK), one of the most conservative senators, told the Washington Post that he considers Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), “a potential presidential candidate too liberal to call himself a Democrat, his ‘best friend’ in the Senate.”
Said Inhofe: “On a personal level, I like him.”
Pentagon Will Seek 20% Cut in War Funding
“The Pentagon will request about $51 billion in war funding for the fiscal year starting Oct. 1, a 20 percent reduction from the $64 billion Congress approved this year and the least since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks,” Bloomberg reports.
“While the decline in war funding largely reflects the continued withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan — from the 10,600 now there to half that planned by year-end — it remains enough to draw questions about why the Defense Department shouldn’t pay to fight wars as part of its basic mission.”
Jeb Bush Becomes the GOP Frontrunner
Larry Sabato: “His unexpected, all-but-in announcement on Dec. 16 stunned his competitors and the political community. Bush didn’t just accelerate the entire process, including forthcoming announcements by rivals, but he also gained a leg up in conventional wisdom’s positioning. So for the first time in a while, we elevate a candidate to the First Tier of the Crystal Ball’s GOP rankings for president. Jeb Bush fills a long-established vacuum. Our decision is tentative; his poll ratings are still underwhelming, and Bush is a shaky frontrunner. Yet Bush is No. 1 on a giant roster as we begin the long roller-coaster process of picking the party nominees over the next year and a half.”
Manchin Says Obama Veto Threat Not Democratic
Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) said he was disappointed that the White House threatened to veto his legislation approving the Keystone XL pipeline, arguing the president’s move was “not the way a democracy works,” The Hill reports.
Said Manchin: “He never even gave it a chance, never even gave it a chance. Now, that’s just not the way you do legislation. It’s not the way a democracy works. And it’s not the way the… three branches of government should work.”
Extra Bonus Quote of the Day
“During my years here when I voted, I had the eighth-most conservative voting record in the Congress, and it does pain me to be described as spineless or a squish. But what pains me the most is when they describe me as the establishment. I’m the most anti-establishment Speaker we’ve ever had.”
— Speaker John Boehner, quoted by The Hill.
Bill Would Allow Kentucky Lawmakers to Carry Guns
Kentucky lawmakers “who have concealed-carry permits would be allowed to carry guns in most places throughout the state — including into courthouses, government meetings and schools — under a bill proposed in the 2015 General Assembly,” the Louisville Courier-Journal reports.
The measure was filed Tuesday, “almost exactly one year after Rep. Leslie Combs (D) accidentally discharged her handgun in the Capitol Annex during the first week of the 2014 legislative session.”


