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Obama Approval Starting to Resemble Bush

August 8, 2014 at 7:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stu Rothenberg highlights President Obama’s approval rate in the latest WSJ/NBC News poll is 40%, with 54% disapproving of his performance.

“Since Bush’s late July 2006 job ratings stood at 39% approve/56% disapprove, the new Obama numbers bear an even more uncomfortably close resemblance to Bush’s.”

Voters Tuning Out Midterm Elections

August 8, 2014 at 7:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll “shows an angry electorate that blames Washington for much of its pain. And with their blood boiling and Election Day only three months away, voters look ready to do… maybe not too much.”

“For all the displeasure with the country’s general direction – more than 70% say the country is on the wrong track, only 40% approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing and only 14% approve of Congress – there is less interest in this November’s voting than there was at this time in 2010. And that’s true across Democrats and Republicans, liberals and conservatives and all age groups.”

Will Obama Face Midterm Backlash on Immigration?

August 8, 2014 at 7:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Brendan Nyhan wonders why President Obama would risk taking executive action on immigration before the midterm elections.

“Of course, Mr. Obama faces short-term pressures to address the surge in migrant children being detained at the border, but news media reports suggest that the policy changes under consideration would be far broader, potentially providing legal status to many of the nation’s undocumented immigrants. Such a broad executive action could provoke a backlash in the midterm elections that might be avoided with a move just a few months later.”

“It’s easy to overstate the effects of policy on electoral outcomes, but there is a recent worst-case example: the passage of the Affordable Care Act. Research that I conducted with a group of political scientists found that the Republican landslide in 2010 was strengthened by health care reform.”


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Trust in Government Hits New Low

August 8, 2014 at 6:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN poll finds that just 13% of Americans say the government can be trusted to do what is right always or most of the time, with just over three-quarters saying only some of the time and one in 10 saying they never trust the government.

Said pollster Keating Holland: “The number who trust the government all or most of the time has sunk so low that it is hard to remember that there was ever a time when Americans routinely trusted the government.”

Alexander Wins Nomination Easily

August 8, 2014 at 6:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Lamar Alexander’s (R-TN) “convincing win over his tea party challengers in Thursday’s Republican primary sets up another battle the two-term incumbent is expected to win,” the Tennessean reports.

“But even though the Tennessee Democratic Party remains undermanned compared with the state’s dominant Republicans, it at least will have a candidate this fall who’s not a national joke — something the party couldn’t say two years ago.”

Roll Call: “His victory means no Republican senators have lost a primary challenge, ending the tea party’s streak at two cycles. None of the remaining primaries feature a Republican senator.”

DesJarlais in a Nail-Biter

August 8, 2014 at 6:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Scott DesJarlais (R-TN) “was clinging to what appeared to be a narrow victory over challenger Jim Tracy (R), defeating the state senator by 35 votes,” the Tennessean reports.

“The results are unofficial. Tennessee does not have an automatic recount law, but a candidate can request one from state and party officials. There also could be uncounted absentee or provisional ballots.”

Nashville Public Radio reports Tracy had already declared victory before the last votes were tallied.

Democrats Seek Senate Candidate in Montana

August 8, 2014 at 6:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A number of Democrats expressed interest in seeking the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate to replace Sen. John Walsh, who ended his campaign Thursday,” the Billings Gazette reports.

“And a number of prominent Democrats ruled themselves out, including Gov. Steve Bullock, former Gov. Brian Schweitzer, state Superintendent of Public Instruction Denise Juneau and state Auditor Monica Lindeen.”

Walsh Drops Senate Bid

August 7, 2014 at 4:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John Walsh (D-MT) said he is “pulling out of the Senate race because his campaign was distracted by the controversy over allegations that he plagiarized a U.S. Army War College research paper,” the Billings Gazette reports.

“The Montana Democratic Party now will choose a replacement… The party has to select a new Senate candidate at a nominating convention by Aug. 20. About 175 delegates, including statewide and federal elected officials, county party committee leaders and the party executive board members, will pick the nominee.”

National Journal reports Walsh’s wife Janet was “openly sobbing” as she thanked members of the campaign.

LePage Doesn’t See a Close Race

August 7, 2014 at 4:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Maine Gov. Paul LePage (R) told the Bangor Daily News that he doesn’t believe the polls that show him in a tight re-election race.

Said LePage (in the third person): “The governor does not agree… The governor says that he’s either going to be blown out by a landslide or he’s going to win by a landslide… The Maine people are either going to throw me out or take me in wholeheartedly, but I don’t think this is going to be close.”

The End of Greatness

August 7, 2014 at 4:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out this fall: The End of Greatness: Why America Can’t Have (and Doesn’t Want) Another Great President by Aaron David Miller.

The Enthusiasm Gap is Overrated

August 7, 2014 at 3:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Neil Newhouse: “Two years ago, the same polls that now show the GOP with a marginal advantage on this measure, showed much of the same thing – that GOP voters were significantly more excited about voting in the November Presidential election.”

“And, what happened? The enthusiasm gap was taken to the woodshed by the Obama team’s GOTV efforts. In a nutshell, the Democrats turned out voters who were unenthusiastic, unexcited and not ‘energized’ to vote, rendering the enthusiasm gap meaningless.”

Florida Legislators Convene Redistricting Session

August 7, 2014 at 3:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Florida lawmakers “returned to work Thursday under court-order to redraw their gerrymandered ‘mockery’ of a congressional map in order to avert a chaotic delay in this fall’s elections,” the Orlando Sentinel reports.

“And without delay, they released a plan that tweaks the contours of seven U.S. House districts spread throughout Central Florida.”

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

August 7, 2014 at 1:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Why did Dr. Brantly have to go to Africa? The very first ‘risk factor’ listed by the Mayo Clinic for Ebola — an incurable disease with a 90 percent fatality rate — is: ‘Travel to Africa.’ Can’t anyone serve Christ in America anymore?”

— Conservative pundit Ann Coulter, quoted by The Hill, blaming Dr. Kent Brantly for contracting the Ebola virus while working in Liberia because he wanted to be seen as “heroic.”

Tennessee Lawmaker Loves ‘Shagging’

August 7, 2014 at 1:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Stephen Fincher (R-TN) declared his love of “shagging” on Twitter before deleting the message, The Hill reports.

“The Tuesday tweet was captured by the Sunlight Foundation’s Politiwoops site. The nonpartisan nonprofit tracks and archives posts that are deleted by lawmakers.”

California Candidate Campaigns Nude

August 7, 2014 at 12:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

San Francisco Board of Supervisors candidate George Davis “stripped buck naked in Times Square to campaign for the right to be nude in public,” the AP reports.

“Davis spoke out against a 2013 San Francisco public nudity ban introduced by his opponent, Scott Wiener. He says nudity is a form of expression. After Davis’ speech he conducted interviews stark naked.”

Brownback Blames Obama for Poor Showing

August 7, 2014 at 11:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback (R) offered a theory to KSHB-TV when asked why significant numbers of Republican primary voters cast ballots against incumbents on Tuesday.

Brownback won, but his little-known primary opponent Jennifer Winn (R) received 37% of the vote.

Said Brownback: “I think a big part of it is Barack Obama. That a lot of people are so irritated at what the president is doing, they just, they want somebody to throw a brick.”

Why Does Tennessee Have Thursday Primaries?

August 7, 2014 at 11:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “All other states — except Hawaii, which votes this Saturday — hold their primaries on a Tuesday. Tennessee even holds its presidential primaries on Super Tuesday. Yet, when it comes time to elect or nominate state or federal candidates, the Volunteer State waits until Thursday.”

“The rule is tucked away in the state’s first constitution, which was drafted in 1796 and meant to govern elections “forever after.” Since then, it’s survived the drafting and amending of two new constitutions, Tennessee’s secession from the Union and efforts by the federal government to standardize when and where Americans vote.”

Majority Don’t Think Obama Should Be Sued

August 7, 2014 at 11:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CBS News poll finds 54% of Americans disapprove of the House Republican plan to sue President Obama, while just 37% say they approve of the plans.

The Fix: “Despite Obama’s unpopularity, the public as a whole does not think he should be sued. Moreover, Republicans may have handed Democrats a way to fire up a sleepy base that so far has looked like it is not planning to turn out in big numbers in November. That could become a serious problem for the GOP.”

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Night of the Long Knives: In June of 1934, Adolph Hitler ordered his troops to carry out a large-scale purge of suspected dissidents within the Nazi party.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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