The Upshot: “With the addition of the YouGov estimates to our model, the overall outlook for the Senate remains roughly the same. The Republicans appear to have a slight advantage, with the most likely outcome being a Republican gain of six seats, the minimum they need to finish with a 51-49 seat majority. But we, like many other forecasters, would not be surprised by a gain of anywhere from four to eight seats.”

“Summing up the possible outcomes, our model gives the Republicans a 60 percent chance of taking control, up from 54 percent on April 1.”

“If a rematch of the 2012 presidential election were held today, GOP nominee Mitt Romney would top President Barack Obama in the popular vote… But a CNN/ORC International poll also indicates that if Romney changes his mind and runs again for the White House, Hillary Clinton would best him by double digits in a hypothetical showdown.

Washington Post: “This year alone, Obama has attended 40 fundraisers and has hosted nearly 400 events while in office. And Michelle Obama has been hitting the fundraising circuit as well… Obama is not breaking new ground by spending so much time fundraising. In fact, he is part of a long-term trend. Over the past 30 years, the number of fundraising events undertaken by presidents in office has been on the rise… During their second terms, recent presidents have ramped up the number of events they host, no longer having to worry about their own re-election campaigns.”

National Journal: “Republicans may have already nailed down Cleveland as their convention city for 2016 — but Democrats are still in the midst of the selection process… Philadelphia and Brooklyn are looking like early front-runners to host.”

“It’s not like we’re pals.”

— Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick (D), quoted by Politico, on his relationship with Hillary Clinton.

A new Rasmussen Reports survey in Georgia finds David Perdue (R) leading Michelle Nunn (D) in the U.S. Senate race by six points, 46% to 40%.

A new Landmark Communications survey shows Nunn leading by four points, 47% to 43%.

Washington Post: “One rare feature of the race is that neither of the major party candidates has held elective office before. From 1980 through 2012 there were only two elections like this.”