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Departure of GOP Staffers Could Imperil Budget Talks

August 9, 2013 at 8:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Washington Post reports “a surprising exodus of senior GOP staffers” has “darkened the outlook” for the budget confrontation this fall.

“Largely invisible to the public, these are the nuts-and-bolts guys the bosses trust to negotiate critical details with Democrats, draft deals into law and explain them to the GOP rank and file. Losing them now — weeks before the next fight — weakens Republicans and leaves Democrats without familiar negotiating partners.”

“Moreover, many observers worry that the exodus is an ominous sign that Republicans see low odds for significant progress toward taming the debt and an indication of the risk that another grinding, pressure-cooker confrontation really could end in catastrophe this time.”

Black Voters More Forgiving of Spitzer and Weiner

August 9, 2013 at 8:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Anthony Weiner and Eliot Spitzer “are finding unexpectedly strong support in black communities,” the New York Times reports.

“Repeated polling has found a racial gap in the races for mayor and comptroller: black voters are far more likely than white voters to view Mr. Spitzer and Mr. Weiner favorably, and more likely to say they deserve a second chance… Interviews with black ministers, political leaders, scholars and voters suggest two major factors at work: an emphasis in black congregations on forgiveness and redemption, and an experience, particularly among older black voters, of having seen their revered leaders embroiled in scandal.”

Cochran Won’t Declare Plans for 2014

August 9, 2013 at 7:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Thad Cochran is taking his sweet time. The Senate’s 2014 battle lines are already largely set with the increasingly glaring exception of Mississippi. But Cochran won’t say whether he will run for a seventh term and has indicated it will be months before he decides, stalling potential successors from laying groundwork in the race ahead of an impending spring primary.”


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Lawmaker Claims 40-50 GOP Votes for Immigration Reform

August 9, 2013 at 7:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Luis Gutierrez (D-IL) told the Washington Post that the House “has more than enough GOP votes — around 40 or 50 — to pass comprehensive immigration reform if it were brought to a vote. But Gutierrez said Republicans who support the idea are staying deliberately quiet to avoid a backlash from conservative activists.”

Said Gutierrez: “Some of them I’ve spoken to, and they say, ‘Love to do the activity with you, I want to be able to vote for it, I really don’t need to draw attention to myself at this point,’ but we can count on it.”

Fenty Dating Widow of Steve Jobs

August 9, 2013 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Reliable Sources says former Washington, D.C. mayor Adrian Fenty is dating Laurene Powell Jobs, the billionaire widow of Apple co-founder Steve Jobs.

The Best Campaign Book in Years

August 8, 2013 at 7:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Peggy Noonan: “Dan Balz’s Collision 2012 is the best presidential campaign chronicle in many years. It is a great book, in part because it isn’t about what happened as much as about how people in the campaigns were thinking. It is unusual in that it gives proper place to the impact of thought on political outcomes.”

I completely agree. It’s highly recommended.

Reichert Eyes Higher Office

August 8, 2013 at 7:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Dave Reichert (R-WA) told Q13 Fox News that he’s “thinking about” running for statewide office, such as governor or U.S. senator.

Said Reichert: “I’m thinking about all those options. I still feel like I’m young and energetic. And, you know, we’ll see how Gov. Jay Inslee does, and if he continues on the path that he is, it doesn’t look too good for him. So I’ll keep an eye on that, and who knows what Patty Murray does in the next year or two?”

Spitzer Maintains Lead Over Stringer

August 8, 2013 at 6:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new New York Times/Siena poll in New York City finds that Eliot Spitzer leads Scott Stringer in the race for city comptroller, 44% to 35%.

Quinn Remains at Top of Democratic Field

August 8, 2013 at 6:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new New York Times/Siena poll in New York City finds Christine Quinn leads the Democratic race for mayor with 25%, followed by William Thompson at 16%, Bill de Blasio at 14% and Anthony Weiner at 10%.

The remaining candidates in the poll each drew less than 5% and 26% of the Democratic voters surveyed were undecided.

The Clinton Machine Gets Ready

August 8, 2013 at 3:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Just beneath the surface, and without evidence of direct involvement by the Clintons themselves, a Clinton machine is whirring to life,” ABC News reports. “A series of self-started, independent ventures are adding up to a sweeping effort to unite all levels of the Democratic establishment behind a candidacy that backers hope and trust they’ll have a chance to support.”

“Several people close to the Clinton camp insist there is no puppet-master coordinating political efforts for the former secretary of state. That means that while some of what’s being done is for Clinton’s benefit, it’s less clear that it’s being done on her behalf.”

“But a series of prominent Democrats aligned with the Clintons — Harold Ickes, James Carville, Ann Lewis, Cheryl Mills, and Craig Smith among them — are acting as facilitators, channeling friends and allies toward entities that are working for a possible candidacy, according to numerous Democrats in and around the Clinton orbit.”

Cuomo Stays at Home

August 8, 2013 at 3:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ruby Cramer notes that New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s (D) “decision to focus on his state by staying put is a key part of his governing strategy and political argument — but it could also cramp his national ambitions.”

“Leaving the capital, let alone the state, for a weekend in some other governor’s city wouldn’t be Cuomo’s style. Since taking office in Albany in 2011, Cuomo has not spent a single night outside the state, his office confirmed.”

The Dumbest Candidate Ever?

August 8, 2013 at 2:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stephanie Banister, of the Australian One Nation movement “did her campaign no favors” in a television nterview, “mistaking Islam for a country, confusing haram with Koran and drawing a blank on the nationwide disability scheme,” the Sydney Morning Herald reports.

She also claimed that ”Jews follow Jesus Christ”.

[Read more…]

Nate Silver Thinks the Midterm Elections Will Be Boring

August 8, 2013 at 2:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver said he doesn’t expect to write much about elections over the next few years because they won’t be very compelling, Deadspin reports.

Said Silver: “You look at where the news cycle is going and I’m kind of aware that 2016, I think, will be fascinating, but I’ll be frank. I think 2014 midterm will be dull as compared to other most recent elections. There’s not much at stake where we know that GOP’s gonna control one branch of Congress–almost for sure–and we know Obama’s in the White House through 2016, so you don’t have really control of all of DC at stake and that makes it less compelling.”

Why Mark Pryor Is In Trouble

August 8, 2013 at 2:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Harry Enten: “When Pryor first won his Senate seat in 2002, Arkansas was only 3pt more Republican than the nation in the nearest two presidential elections. Over the past two cycles, Arkansas averaged 14pt to the right of the country at large. That puts it on the same level as Alabama and more Republican than any other southern state, including Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and West Virginia. This [means] that instead of Arkansas being the most Republican southern state as it is today on the presidential level, it was the most Democratic southern state. Other data sends the same signal. At the time of his 2008 reelection bid, Democrats controlled 75% of the Arkansas House of Representatives and 77% of the state Senate; now it’s only 48% and 40%, respectively. Three of the four Arkansas members of the House of Representatives were Democrats in 2008, while it is 0 today.”

Top McConnell Aide Not Excited About Campaign

August 8, 2013 at 1:13 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A telephone recording obtained by Economic Policy Journal has Sen. Mitch McConnell’s (R-KY) campaign manager, Jesse Benton, explaining what he thinks of his current job: “Between you and me, I’m sorta holdin’ my nose for two years.”

McConnell’s primary challenger jumped on the news with this tweet:

Even Mitch McConnell’s campaign manager thinks Sen. McConnell isn’t conservative and is holding his nose for 2 years #kysen…

— Matt Bevin (@MattBevin) August 8, 2013



Benton confirmed the authenticity of the recording telling the Weekly Standard, “It is truly sick that someone would record a private phone conversation I had out of kindness and use it to try to hurt me.”

Democrats Will Target 17 House Republicans

August 8, 2013 at 1:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Roll Call has obtained an internal email from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee that highlights plans to target 17 House Republicans with a grass-roots push over the August recess.

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

August 8, 2013 at 11:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“He is our Dukakis.”

— GOP strategist Ed Rollins, quoted by the Washington Post, on Mitt Romney.

Get a Political Job!

August 8, 2013 at 11:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

There are many new listings over at Political Job Hunt.

If you’re thinking about going back to school, check out these fantastic online programs: Master of Public Administration at the University of North Carolina or International Relations at American University.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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