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Jackson Speaks

October 16, 2012 at 2:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In his first public comments since taking a leave of absence in early June, Rep. Jesse Jackson (D-IL) told The Daily that he is “not well” and has doctor’s appointments twice a day at George Washington University Hospital, not far from his home: “I go over there… at 10 a.m. and 1 p.m.”

Crowley to Defy Debate Contract

October 16, 2012 at 1:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Candy Crowley “reiterated that, like past town-hall debate moderators, she intends to do more than just hold the microphone at tonight’s debate in Hempstead, N.Y. — an intention that has caused concern for both campaigns,” Politico reports.

Specifically, she intends to facilitate follow-up discussion to questions, which “is in keeping with past town hall debates, but it would defy the expectations agreed to by both campaigns in the co-signed memorandum of understanding.”

The contract specifically says there will be no follow-up questions.

Romney Holds Advantage in Tonight’s Debate

October 16, 2012 at 1:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mark Salter: “Romney doesn’t need to elevate his game. He just needs to be as assertive, gracious and unflappable as he was the last time — not an easy task but one we now know he’s capable of achieving. No matter how improved the president is tonight, he’s unlikely to reverse Romney’s momentum. I believe the last debate changed the race fundamentally. It’s now trending in Romney’s favor. If he can find that sweet spot again, he’ll further reduce the likability gap with his opponent, and I think he’ll be the favorite to be our next president.”


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Do Political Ads Even Work?

October 16, 2012 at 1:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “One question that grows with each dollar spent is whether voters are being swayed anymore, especially when many say the ads they see now are merely noise canceling out more noise.”

“Scholars who have looked at the impact of campaign ads have found that for races like those for House seats in which name recognition often makes all the difference, ads do matter. But for presidential candidates, the case is not as strong. And this record-breaking year, ironically enough, may provide the most convincing argument yet that all the advertising that money can buy ultimately has little impact.”

High Court Won’t Block Early Voting in Ohio

October 16, 2012 at 1:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The U.S. Supreme Court is siding with Democrats in refusing to block early voting in the battleground state of Ohio, the AP reports.

SCOTUSblog: “The ruling was a significant victory for President Obama and for
Democrats, especially since they claimed that the shuttering of voting
offices on the Saturday, Sunday and Monday before election day would be
likely to affect low income and minority voters — many of whom may be
expected to vote Democratic.”

Rick Hasen: “This is quite a run in the courts for those fighting Republican legislative cutbacks on voting rights, at least in 2012.  And in that respect I have been surprised.”

Kissinger’s Harsh Words for Brzezinski

October 16, 2012 at 12:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A newly-released State Department history quotes Henry Kissinger during a March 1976 meeting of top Ford administration officials as they discussed Jimmy Carter’s presidential campaign and his foreign policy adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski.

Said Kissinger: “Brzezinski is a total whore. He’s been on every side of every argument. He wrote a book on Peaceful Engagement and now that we are doing most of what he said in the book, he charges us with weakness.”

The Washington Post asked Brzezinski for comment: “Henry is a friend of mine — he must have meant ‘bore.'”

Quote of the Day

October 16, 2012 at 12:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“People say the reason Obama wouldn’t call Clinton is because he doesn’t like him. The truth is, Obama doesn’t call anyone, and he’s not close to almost anyone. It’s stunning that he’s in politics, because he really doesn’t like people.”

— Former Obama aide Neera Tanden, quoted by New York Magazine.

The Best Ad Obama Could Run

October 16, 2012 at 12:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Tomasky digs up a one-minute clip of FDR speaking in 1936.

Obama’s Debate Dilemma

October 16, 2012 at 11:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “President Obama’s first debate was disastrous in two distinct ways. He appeared listless and professorial, unable to boil down his beliefs into crisp statements, and generally looked far less like a president than did Romney — forceful, poised, firing off bullet points with measured assurance. On top of that, he allowed Romney to execute, in the course of 90 minutes, the sort of ideological repositioning he usually requires months or even years to pull off, defining himself to middle America as a health-care-loving, tax-cut-for-the-rich-abhorring, anti-Wall Street Massachusetts moderate.”

“Obama’s dilemma in his second debate is that he can fix the first problem a lot more easily than the second.”

Howard Kurtz: “Obama may improve and even beat the media’s expectations. But there’s no
way he can clobber Romney without committing more personal fouls than a
president is allowed in a general election.”

Obama Will Vote Early

October 16, 2012 at 11:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama will both cast their ballots for the 2012 election early, ABC News reports.

The announcement means Obama will become the first presidential candidate to not vote in-person on election day.

Daily Beast: Early voting changes the presidential landscape.

Romney Campaign Plays Down Pennsylvania, Michigan

October 16, 2012 at 11:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Despite recent polls showing close races in Pennsylvania and Michigan, a top Romney adviser tells Politico he doesn’t expect the campaign to focus on them this late in the game.

Said the adviser: “I won’t blow smoke at you with Pennsylvania and Michigan, even though there are polls showing that they’re in sight. I absolutely believe they’re close. It’s just, to go in, to move three points in Pennsylvania is different than moving three points in New Hampshire.”

GOP Strategist Helping Hockey Owners

October 16, 2012 at 10:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Deadspin: “You’re going to hear a lot about ‘shared sacrifice’ from the NHL in the days and weeks to come. That’s the word from inside a secret emergency PR focus group, in which a top Republican Party strategist tested pro-ownership messages on a captive audience of hockey fans. One of those fans shared the documents with us, for a sneak preview of the propaganda campaign the NHL will be unloading on the public as the lockout drags on.”

Romney Transfers Funds to State Party Committees

October 16, 2012 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney’s joint fundraising committee that has raised the lion’s share of the cash credited to his campaign, revealed last night “that it had transferred $44 million to the GOP’s national congressional committees and the state parties in Idaho, Massachusetts, Oklahoma and Vermont,” Politico reports.

“The party committees – none of them in swing states – have wide latitude in how and where they choose to spend the Romney Victory cash. They are all controlled by Romney allies, and the funds will most likely be used for get-out-the-vote operations, but the recipient state party committees could technically spend it on TV ads or any other expense related to any federal election, and the congressional committees can’t directly coordinate their spending with Romney.”

Details

October 16, 2012 at 10:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The DNC launches RomneyTaxPlan.com.

Why Tonight’s Debate is So Crucial

October 16, 2012 at 10:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “It was less than two weeks ago when, before the first presidential debate in Denver, we wrote that Mitt Romney was facing a crucial moment in his campaign. It was coming right after President Obama’s convention bounce, the scrutiny over the 47% comment, and all the handwringing over the state of the Romney campaign. How quickly the narrative can change. Now it’s Obama facing a crucial moment — to fully turn the page on that first debate performance. The president isn’t behind, and he still holds more paths to 270 electoral votes. But he needs to stop Romney’s momentum and get it back on his side. Our bottom line: Tonight is all about suburban women; it has been Obama’s demographic firewall. Romney has made progress with them on his fav rating and on handling the economy, but not on ballot test. Tonight will tell us whether he continues to make progress.”

Boston Globe:
“With Super Bowl-size audiences tuning into what has become
a weekly political miniseries, President Obama cannot afford another
performance like the one he had in Denver — where even supporters said
he was lackluster and timid.”

Romney Surges Into National Lead

October 16, 2012 at 8:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Daily Kos/SEIU/Public Policy Polling survey shows Mitt Romney jumping to a four point lead over President Obama nationally among likely voters, 50% to 46%.

Romney also leads in the swing states, 50% to 47%.

The Gallup tracking poll also shows Romney leading 50% to 46%.

Perot Endorses Romney for President

October 16, 2012 at 8:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ross Perot endorses Mitt Romney in a Des Moines Register op-ed:

“These are leadership qualities that are sorely needed in Washington
today. President Obama promised a great deal. He has had his chance. The
results are visible for all to see. It is time for a new beginning. It
is time for Mitt Romney.”

First Read: “Yes, this is one rich man endorsing another rich man. And Perot’s
politics have always been Republican leaning. But the issue Perot is
best known for — the deficit — is something that potentially plays
well in Iowa, with older voters who remember who Perot is. And so the
endorsement carries symbolic importance.”

It’s worth noting that just two weeks ago Perot said he would not make an endorsement.

Clinton Explains Romney’s $5 Trillion Tax Cut

October 16, 2012 at 7:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Obama campaign turns to Bill Clinton once again with a new video explaining how Mitt Romney’s tax plan doesn’t add up.

[Read more…]

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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