“We had a bad week — if the election were going to be held tomorrow that
would be a problem, but there’s a lot of ground to cover in the next 42
days.”
— New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (R), quoted by Bloomberg, on the state of Mitt Romney’s campaign.
A new USA Today/Gallup poll finds that voters in 12 key swing states trust President Obama over
Mitt Romney to address issues facing the Medicare system,
50% to 44%.
Obama holds a slightly larger advantage on this issue among
voters nationally, 51% to 43%.
The Los Angeles Times reports Mitt Romney spoke about the concern he had for his wife when her plane had to make an emergency landing Friday because of an electrical malfunction.
Said Romney: “I appreciate the fact that she is on the ground, safe and sound. And I don’t think she knows just how worried some of us were. When you have a fire in an aircraft, there’s no place to go, exactly, there’s no — and you can’t find any oxygen from outside the aircraft to get in the aircraft, because the windows don’t open. I don’t know why they don’t do that. It’s a real problem. So it’s very dangerous. And she was choking and rubbing her eyes. Fortunately, there was enough oxygen for the pilot and copilot to make a safe landing in Denver. But she’s safe and sound.”
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“Now that we’ve gotten that out of our systems, have a good day. And by good day, I mean fuck off.”
— State Department spokesman Philippe Reines, in an email to BuzzFeed, responding to questions about the department’s handling of the Libyan embassy crisis.
Saturday Night Live interviews people who are still undecided in the presidential election.
Peter Beinart: “The more honest discussions take place behind closed doors, in the
innumerable private fundraisers that Romney and Obama do with their big
givers. Honesty, in fact, is part of what those donors are paying for.
No one shells out $50,000 to listen to the same platitudes that Joe and
Mary Six-Pack hear at a 5,000-person rally in Akron, Ohio. In the
“skybox” society (in Michael Sandel’s parlance) in which we live, the
super-rich don’t simply stand in different lines at the airport; they
experience a different presidential campaign.”
Nate Silver finds that of the 19 presidential candidates who led at this stage of the race since 1936, 18 won the popular vote (Thomas E. Dewey in 1948 is the exception), and 17 won the Electoral College (Al Gore lost it in 2000, along with Mr. Dewey).”
Also important: “There has not been any tendency, at least at this stage of the race, for the contest to break toward the challenging candidate. Instead, it’s actually the incumbent-party candidate who has gained ground on average since 1936. On average, the incumbent candidate added 4.6 percentage points between the late September polls and his actual Election Day result, whereas the challenger gained 2.5 percentage points.”
Here are the today’s swing state polls, updated as needed throughout the day:
Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)
Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (American Research Group)
Iowa: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)
Michigan: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Rasmussen)
North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Civitas)
Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)
Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)
Now out for the Kindle: Oops! (A Diary from the 2012 Campaign Trail) by Jay Root.
How Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) immortalized himself as what CNN commentator James Carville called “the worst presidential ‘campaign-slash-candidate’ in American history.”
Linda McMahon (R) has not only buried Rep. Chris Murphy (D) in a blizzard of advertising in their U.S. Senate race, “but for weeks she was getting a better deal on her commercials than her more poorly funded rival,” the Stamford Advocate reports.
“McMahon enjoyed a lower rate because many of the contracts with the state’s four major networks were signed as early as the end of April… The early contracts appear to have saved McMahon tens of thousands of dollars up until Sept. 6, when the 60-day period before the election triggered federal requirements of equal billing and availability of broadcast slots.”
Examples: “One recent billing report filed by WFSB, the CBS affiliate on Channel 3, showed that Murphy was charged $900 for a 30-second ad on its evening Eyewitness News. McMahon was charged $40 for a similar spot. A 30-second spot on “Sunday Morning” cost Murphy $800, while McMahon had to pay only $85.”
The first presidential debate is in just nine days.
Rick Klein notes Mitt Romney is under pressure to deliver, “particularly the first encounter Oct. 3 in Denver. His campaign needs to create major moments to change the trajectory of the race, and no opportunity is as ready-made for that as much as the first debate. Romney can make his case on the economy face-to-face with the president.”
HBO’s Game Change nearly swept the miniseries categories during the Emmy awards, “and the presence of parodied Sarah Palin was felt in the speeches and the winners’ reactions backstage,” according to the Hollywood Reporter.
Said actress Julianne Moore: “I feel so validated since Sarah Palin gave me a big thumbs down.”
Just published: Future Perfect: The Case For Progress In A Networked Age by Steven Johnson.
Wall Street Journal: “Mr. Johnson envisions a new political movement that embraces the potential of peer networks to improve government, medicine, education and journalism, among much else. He distinguishes ‘peer progressives’ from both libertarians and liberals. The former have too much faith in markets and too little in government, he says, and the latter vice versa. Peer progressives, though, believe that good can be accomplished by all organizations, in any combination, if they harness the power of peer networks.”
Former California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R), who left office nearly two years ago, launches a think tank this week at the University of Southern California called the Schwarzenegger Institute for State and Global Policy, the AP reports.
It marks “a sudden public re-emergence” for Schwarzenegger. His new book, Total Recall: My Unbelievably True Life Story, is out next month, he has “a couple of new movies in post-production and a forthcoming appearance scheduled for CBS’ 60 Minutes.”
Though Democrats often hit Mitt Romney for having an offshore bank account in the Cayman Islands, BuzzFeed finds a 2010 video of running mate Paul Ryan calling the Cayman Islands “the place you hide your money” while making the case for changing the corporate income tax.
The New Yorker asks Mitt Romney if it was possible to run the government the way you would run a business.
Said Romney: “The private sector is less forgiving. If you make serious mistakes in the private sector, you’ll lose your job, or, if you’re in a position of responsibility, you might lose other people’s jobs. In politics, politicians make mistakes all the time and blame their opposition, or borrow more money, or raise taxes to pay for their mistake. In the business world, the ability to speak fast and convincingly is of very little value. I remember the first time I met Jack Welch. I expected him to be a super-salesman. Instead, he spoke quietly, somewhat haltingly, but brilliantly. Stuff matters a lot more than fluff in the private sector.”
It’s a subject we tackle at length in You Won – Now What?
First Read: “The Romney camp’s timing was smart — on its worst week of the campaign, dump all the bad news you can to get everything out of the way. But the campaign also didn’t answer all the questions about Romney’s past tax returns; the only way to do that would be to release the actual returns, not a short summary. But here’s the bottom line about the tax-return issue: The Obama campaign succeeded in making it a talking point and attack (just see its new TV ad), and the Romney camp seems to have succeeded in its goal to not release the actual returns prior to 2010.”
The Week has four takeaways on what Romney’s tax returns tell us about him.
The Obama campaign ties together Mitt Romney’s “47% moment” with the release of his 2011 tax return in a tough new ad.
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.
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