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Democrats Fear Kerry Would be Replaced by Brown

November 10, 2012 at 4:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) bid to become Secretary of State may be in jeopardy, ironically, because of Kerry himself, BuzzFeed reports.

When Kerry ran for president in 2004, state Democrats “changed the law to for replacing retiring members, stripping then Gov. Mitt Romney of his ability to appoint a new members and putting in a place a special election process. Kerry obviously never needed a replacement, and perhaps fittingly, following the death of Sen. Ted Kennedy the new law resulted in the state electing Sen. Scott Brown, a Republican.”

“And with Brown on his way out thanks to Elizabeth Warren, he is considered an odds-on favorite to take a special election against the current crop of Democratic contenders.”

One option: Democrats could change the law back to allow the governor to appoint a successor.

Allen West Loses But Won’t Concede

November 10, 2012 at 4:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Allen West (R-FL) refused to concede after the state concluded that challenger Patrick Murphy (D) held a lead beyond the margin needed for an automatic recount, the AP reports.

West was elected in 2010 on a wave of tea party support and has since had a constant string of headline-grabbing statements, from calling congressional Democrats communists to saying President Obama, Rep. Nancy Pelosi and others should “get the hell out of the United States.”

Going Ugly Early

November 10, 2012 at 2:51 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Begala: “Our goal was to take Romney’s greatest strength–his business record–and make it a weakness. We were given a road map by none other than the late, great Ted Kennedy. As the 2008 election was approaching, I paid the senator a visit. I thought Romney might be the GOP nominee, and Kennedy gave me a tutorial on how to beat him. Don’t underestimate Romney, Kennedy said. He’s smart and resourceful and will say anything, take any position. Kennedy recounted how his campaign team tracked down employees of companies that had been shut down after being bought by Bain Capital. Shamelessly copying Kennedy’s plan, we interviewed dozens of laid-off ­middle-class working people. Their stories were emblematic of the collapse of the middle class: factories closed, health benefits canceled, lives ruined.”

“My old friend, former Georgia governor and senator Zell Miller, taught me that ‘a hit dog barks,’ but Romney remained silent. I am still amazed that Romney did not respond. He allowed our little, underfunded super PAC to define him as Gordon Gekko. Without his business record, Romney was left with nothing but his charm.”


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Romney Quickly Losing Facebook Friends

November 10, 2012 at 2:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Soon after Mitt Romney conceded the presidential election, more than
55,025 Facebook users have “unliked” Romney, at a rate of about
847 an hour, according to Mashable. 

Obama Formally Wins Florida

November 10, 2012 at 12:59 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama has been declared the winner of Florida in the presidential election, the Associated Press reports.

The final Electoral College tally is Obama 332, Romney 206.

The latest nationwide popular vote tally is Obama 50.6%, Romney 47.9%.

Second-Guessing Mitt Romney

November 10, 2012 at 11:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Week lists seven things he should have done differently.

Did Obama Win a Mandate?

November 10, 2012 at 10:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “Arguing whether Mr Obama has a mandate is like debating whether somebody has mojo, or whether basketball star LeBron James is ‘in the zone’ on a given night: there’s a discussion to be had, but no way to come to a definite conclusion.”

Florida Screws Up Voting Again

November 10, 2012 at 10:45 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Hasen: “Think of all the problems in Florida: the on, again off again in-person absentee balloting in Miami Dade, put in place by local election officials against the wishes of the mayor to get around the cutbacks on early voting by the governor and legislature; the multiple ballot snafus in Palm Beach County; long lines in cites throughout the state; major problems in handling some absentee ballots; election officials in one county telling people that they could vote through the end of the day Wednesday.”

“Let’s declare Florida an election disaster area and bring in the feds.”

Thomas Jefferson: The Art of Power

November 10, 2012 at 10:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out next week: Thomas Jefferson: The Art of Power by Jon Meacham.

New York Times: “Meacham is one of several journalists turned historians who belong to what might be called the Flawed Giant School… Books in this mode usually present their subjects as figures of heroic grandeur despite all-too-human shortcomings — and so, again, speak directly to the current moment, with its diminished faith in government and in the nation’s elected leaders. Few are better suited to this uplifting task than Meacham.”

Karl Rove Under Fire

November 10, 2012 at 10:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “The face of the historic $1-billion plan to unseat President Obama and turn the Senate Republican, Karl Rove now finds himself the leading scapegoat for its failure. And he’s scrambling to protect his status as a top GOP money man by convincing disappointed donors to his Crossroads groups that he did the best he could with their $300 million.”

“During a secret Thursday afternoon conference call with his benefactors, Rove laid out the analytics behind his assertions to donors that a massive late-game advertising push would expand the electoral map into Pennsylvania and deliver the White House and the Senate.”

National Memo: Karl Rove gets philosophical.

“My Wife’s Lover”

November 10, 2012 at 8:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With David Petraeus stepping down as CIA Director over an extramarital affair, a reader points out a letter to The Ethicist that ran over the summer:

front111012.jpg“My wife is having an affair with a government executive. His role is to manage a project whose progress is seen worldwide as a demonstration of American leadership. (This might seem hyperbolic, but it is not an exaggeration.) I have met with him on several occasions, and he has been gracious. (I doubt if he is aware of my knowledge.) I have watched the affair intensify over the last year, and I have also benefited from his generosity. He is engaged in work that I am passionate about and is absolutely the right person for the job. I strongly feel that exposing the affair will create a major distraction that would adversely impact the success of an important effort. My issue: Should I acknowledge this affair and finally force closure? Should I suffer in silence for the next year or two for a project I feel must succeed? Should I be ‘true to my heart’ and walk away from the entire miserable situation and put the episode behind me? NAME WITHHELD “

Meanwhile, the Washington Post reports a FBI investigation “uncovered e-mails describing an affair between Petraeus and Paula Broadwell, a former military officer and co-author of a glowing biography of Petraeus.”

Quote of the Day

November 10, 2012 at 8:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“What’s been interesting to watch is that our data has been remarkably
consistent really from last spring forward, and our battleground polls
really didn’t fluctuate much. There were times when it would dip to
where we had a 2-point lead in the battleground states. There’s one poll
over the course that we had a 1-point lead.  By and large, we’ve been 3
and 4 points ahead in the battleground polls.”

— David Axelrod, in an interview with Mike Allen, giving a postmortem on the 2012 presidential campaign.

Ryan Lost His Hometown Badly

November 10, 2012 at 8:19 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Even though Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) won re-election at the same time he was on the national ticket, the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel notes he was crushed in his hometown of Janesville, WI by challenger Rob Zerban (D), 55% to 44%. Ryan had never lost Janesville in a re-election campaign before.

In addition, the Obama-Biden ticket defeated Romney-Ryan ticket in Janesville by a whopping 25 points, 62% to 37%.

“The drop-off from the Ryan congressional vote to the Romney-Ryan presidential vote was much larger in Janesville (7.2 points) than it was in the rest of the congressional district (3 points). Put another way, there were more Ryan ticket-splitters in Janesville than other places: people who voted for Ryan for Congress but against Ryan for vice president.”

Fox News: What’s next for Paul Ryan?

Roy Moore Wins His Old Job Back

November 10, 2012 at 8:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Roy Moore (R), forever known as Alabama’s Ten Commandments judge, “has been re-elected chief justice in a triumphant political resurrection after being ousted from that office nearly a decade ago,” the Biloxi Sun-Herald reports.

Said Moore to his supporters: “Go home with the knowledge that we are going to stand for the acknowledgment of God.”

A Lot More Than Yard Signs

November 10, 2012 at 7:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michael Scherer talks to Michael Smerconish about the microtargeting and backroom number crunching that won the 2012 election.

[Read more…]

Romney Voter Targeting System a Total Bust

November 9, 2012 at 6:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney’s campaign boasted for weeks about their voter-targeting sytem called ORCA, “named for the killer whale, that cost substantial resources to build over months,” Politico reports.

“Instead, Romney campaign officials were mostly flying without instruments on election day. Numerous Republicans in and around the Romney campaign called the ORCA platform a total bust, stranding thousands of volunteers without a way of reporting data back to headquarters and leaving Romney central command without a clear view of developments on the ground.”

Coolidge

November 9, 2012 at 6:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Coming soon: Coolidge by Amity Shlaes, complete with a book blurb from Rep. Paul Ryan.

Petraeus Resigns Over Extramarital Affair

November 9, 2012 at 3:55 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CIA Director David Petraeus resigned abruptly, citing an extramarital affair he had, NBC News reports.

From a Petraeus statement: “Yesterday afternoon, I went to the White House and asked the President to be allowed, for personal reasons, to resign from my position as D/CIA. After being married for over 37 years, I showed extremely poor judgment by engaging in an extramarital affair. Such behavior is unacceptable, both as a husband and as the leader of an organization such as ours.”

Wonk Wire has more details, including the identity of the woman.

Josh Marshall: “Like most people I find this news pretty flabbergasting. I will say
there’s some important context: extra-marital affairs in CIA, however
common they may be, are always a big, big deal since they invite
potential blackmail. So whatever else is going on here it’s
significantly different than an ordinary politician having an affair.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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