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Obama Holds Small National Lead

August 24, 2012 at 4:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN/Opinion Research poll shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney by just two points among likely voters, 49% to 47%.

Josh Marshall: “If you look at the number for registered voters it’s a 9 point Obama margin. What that means is that President Obama has actually gained a bit of ground (obviously within the margin of error) on last week’s eye-popping poll showing him with a 7 point lead over Mitt Romney. But it also shows that turnout and propensity to vote are going to be the whole game going into November.”

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

August 24, 2012 at 4:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’m very proud of my pro-life record, and I’ve always adopted the idea that, the position that the method of conception doesn’t change the definition of life.”

— Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI), in an interview with WJHL-TV, when asked if a woman should be able to get an abortion if she’s raped.

When Did the GOP Get So White?

August 24, 2012 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Avlon: “The one-time Party of Lincoln boasted the first African-American, Asian-American, Native-American, Hispanic, and popularly-elected woman senators. Now polls show Romney-Ryan will get virtually no black votes.”

“But ’twas not always thus for the GOP. Dust off your history books and you will see Republicans once had a virtual lock on the minority vote — and minority elected officials. The legacy of Lincoln was alive and well until not so long ago. Which makes the retreat of recent decades both unfortunate and ill-timed.”


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Obama Responds to Romney Birther Joke

August 24, 2012 at 2:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama responds to Mitt Romney’s joke about his birth certificate with a simple tweet:

Song of the day: Born in the U.S.A. OFA.BO/irL3ZV

— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) August 24, 2012

New York Times: “Politicians sometimes think they can get away with saying something profoundly offensive or just plain stupid by acting like it was a joke. It never works, just like it didn’t work today when Mr. Romney shamelessly played the birther card in what seems like an increasingly desperate campaign against President Obama.”

Obama Holds Edge in Colorado

August 24, 2012 at 1:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new OnSight Public Affairs poll in Colorado finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by four points, 48% to 44%.

Bonus Quote of the Day

August 24, 2012 at 12:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“No one has ever asked to see my birth certificate — they know that this was the place we were born and raised.”

— Mitt Romney, campaigning in Michigan.

[Read more…]

Congressman Accused of Assaulting His Ex-Wife

August 24, 2012 at 12:03 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The ex-wife of Rep. Joe Heck (R-NV) accused the freshman lawmaker of assaulting her during their marriage in the 1980s in a sworn statement, BuzzFeed reports.

Heck denied the charges and said that “anyone perpetuating a story like this… demeans the pain that so many victims of domestic violence experience and the courage it takes to confront it.”

Facing the Next President

August 24, 2012 at 11:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wonk Wire: Why 2013 will be a terrible year even if we don’t go over the fiscal cliff.

Exchange of the Day

August 24, 2012 at 11:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Parade: How has tithing [the Mormon practice of giving 10 percent of one’s income to the church] shaped your view of how we treat each other?

Ann Romney: I love tithing. When Mitt and I give that check, I actually cry.

Mitt Romney: So do I, but for a different reason.

Predicting the Convention Bumps

August 24, 2012 at 11:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tom Holbrook forecasts polling bumps coming out of the conventions of 3.6 percentage points for Mitt Romney and 1.1 percentage points for President Obama.

“Right now, the two candidates are in a tight race, with Obama holding a slight advantage in the polls. Based on my bump predictions, I expect that the race will continue to be tight after the conventions but that Romney will hold a slight lead.”

The Victory Lab

August 24, 2012 at 10:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In the mail: The Victory Lab by Sasha Issenberg.

This is a book I’ve been looking forward to reading.

Firsthand Account of Mission to Kill Osama bin Laden

August 24, 2012 at 10:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out next month: No Easy Day: The Firsthand Account of the Mission That Killed Osama Bin Laden by Mark Owen.

The book was written by a former Navy SEAL who helped plan and execute the raid that killed Osama bin Laden.

Fox News says the book is penned under the pseudonym “Mark Owen,” but multiple sources identify him as Matt Bissonnette, 36, of Wrangell, Alaska.

Cruz Defeats Dewhurst in Texas

July 31, 2012 at 9:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ted Cruz (R) defeated Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst (R) in the Republican U.S. Senate runoff, the AP reports.

“The Texas contest has become a national emblem of the GOP’s internal
tug-of-war between the establishment and the tea party and already is
the most expensive non-presidential race in the country, according to
the Center for Responsive Politics. Outside groups spent $14.4 million
in the race on top of the $32 million that the candidates spent,
including the $19 million that Dewhurst lent to his campaign.”

Dallas Morning News: “Wow, this is going to send some shockwaves through the GOP — in Texas and across the country.”

Return of the Bush-Era

July 31, 2012 at 9:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Obama ad makes clear that Mitt Romney would return the policies of George W. Bush: “You watched… and worried. Two wars. Tax cuts for millionaires. Debt piled up. And now we face a choice.”

The ad will run in Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, and Florida.

[Read more…]

Tennessee Lawmaker Says Obama May Stage Fake Assasination

July 31, 2012 at 8:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tennessee state Rep. Kelly Keisling (R) emailed constituents “with a rumor circulating in conservative circles that President Barack Obama is planning to stage a fake assassination attempt in an effort to stop the 2012 election from happening,” the Huffington Post reports.

Keisling “sent an email from his state email account to constituents containing a rumor that Obama and the Department of Homeland Security are planning a series of events that could lead to the imposition of ‘martial law’ and delay the election. Among the events hypothesized in the email is a staged assassination attempt on the president that would lead to civil unrest in urban areas and martial law.”

Davis Resigns from Congress

July 31, 2012 at 8:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Geoff Davis (R-KY) announced that he is resigning from his seat immediately, the Louisville Courier-Journal reports.

In December, Davis had announced that he would not be seeking re-election but said today a “family health issue has developed that will demand significantly more of my time to assist. As a result, I cannot continue to effectively fulfill my obligations to both my office and my family. Family must and will come first.”

Reid Claims Romney Paid No Taxes for 10 Years

July 31, 2012 at 3:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) told the Huffington Post that a Bain Capital investor told him that Mitt Romney didn’t pay any taxes for at least a decade.

The person also told Reid that Romney’s wealth was significantly more than the $250 million estimated.

“Tellingly, neither Reid nor his office would reveal who the investor was, making it impossible to verify if the accusation is true. And as his quote makes clear, he’s uncertain if the information is accurate… But there is limited political downside to the type of open speculation that Reid is making, so long as Romney refuses to budge on the issue of his tax returns. Increasingly, other Democrats are growing more assertive in their goading.”

Romney Planning Veep Rollout Tour?

July 31, 2012 at 3:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney’s campaign “is quietly laying the groundwork for a high-profile blitz of several key battleground states in the run-up to the Republican National Convention in Tampa, and Republicans briefed on the plans say it has all the trappings of a vice presidential rollout tour,” CNN reports.

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Recess Appointment: A recess appointment is a presidential appointment typically requiring Senate approval that is made during a Senate recess.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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