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Why Karl Rove May Fail

February 11, 2013 at 1:16 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver suggests Karl Rove’s latest effort to fund “electable” candidates in Republican primaries may actually fail.

“An analysis of Republican Senate primaries in 2010 and 2012 suggests that money is usually the least pressing problem for the incumbents and other establishment-backed candidates whom Mr. Rove’s group might be inclined to support. Instead, some insurgent candidates won their races despite having been at more than a 10-to-1 fund-raising disadvantage heading into the primary.”

“Does that mean there is literally no benefit to having more money in a Republican primary? Not exactly… there is a modest but positive correlation between the share of the funds that went to the establishment candidate and that candidate’s margin of victory or defeat. However, the relationship is much weaker than it is in general elections for the Senate, when fund-raising totals have about twice as much power to predict the margin between the Democratic and Republican candidates.”

Fox News: Rove under fire from the right.

Inside the Papal Election

February 11, 2013 at 11:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Although Pope Benedict XVI’s resignation is the first in 600 years, the election of the next Pope remains generally the same, Dylan Matthews reports.

“But, as with normal papal successions, it will prompt the vote of the College of Cardinals, a group of up to 120 church leaders (current estimates put the number around 118) below the age limit of 80 who convene to elect new popes. Exactly how that process works, however, changes frequently, and indeed has changed since the election that elevated Benedict in 2005.”

However, research into papal elections is a sensitive subject because, the next Pope’s selection is “attributed to the will of God, a force not amenable to any empirical test that is in our power to conduct.”

The Week has eight possible contenders for the job.

SNL’s Unaired Sketch Mocks Senate Republicans

February 11, 2013 at 11:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Saturday Night Live planned a skit making fun of the Senate Republicans’ grilling of defense secretary nominee Chuck Hagel but it was cut from the show at the last minute.

It was released later online.

[Read more…]

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Former Florida GOP Chief Pleads Guilty

February 11, 2013 at 11:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Florida GOP chairman Jim Greer pleaded guilty “to charges of money laundering and theft, avoiding trial in a case that could have potentially embarrassed former Gov. Charlie Crist and much of the state’s Republican elite,” the Tampa Bay Times reports.

“As part of the deal, Greer faces a maximum of 42.6 months in prison. Sentencing is scheduled March 27.”

Grayson’s Big Swing

February 11, 2013 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Alan Grayson (D-FL) told Roll Call that the House historian “informed him the victory, a 43-point swing from
his 2010 loss, was the biggest comeback in history of the House. His
lesson from the experience is to press on, full steam ahead.”

What Americans Want in the State of the Union

February 11, 2013 at 9:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll finds President Obama “should focus on the economy in his State of the
Union Address, 35 percent of American voters say in a Quinnipiac
University national poll released today. Another 20 percent say the
federal deficit is the top priority, with 15 percent citing gun policy
and 12 percent listing health care.”

Meanwhile, two-thirds of people say they’re
either “likely” or “very likely” to watch.

White House Insists Focus Has Remained on Jobs

February 11, 2013 at 9:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Fournier:
“White House officials tell me they feel stung by coverage of the
inaugural address. Reporters highlighted the president’s left-leaning
stances on immigration, gun control, climate change and gay and women’s
rights. Obama’s aides argue that he devoted more inaugural address
language to the economy, jobs and the deficit than all other issues
combined. Still, the perception remains that Obama lost focus on the
economy — the top issue in the minds of most voters. So look for an
address Tuesday tilted heavily toward policies pledging action on
joblessness, growing the economy and expanding the middle class, White
House officials said Friday. The other issues will be discussed, aides
said, but there will be no mistaking that Obama’s paramount concern is
the economy.”

Hagel Nomination Lingers

February 11, 2013 at 9:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Senate Armed Services Committee could vote on Chuck Hagel’s nomination to be defense secretary as soon as Tuesday, “but Republican aides reacted to that idea by suggesting that some members could walk out in protest,” Politico reports.

First Read notes that while Hagel still has the votes to be confirmed “any day that goes by when there’s not a vote isn’t a good day for him.”

The Man Who Killed Osama bin Laden

February 11, 2013 at 8:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Esquire: “For the first time, the Navy SEAL who killed Osama bin Laden tells his story — speaking not just about the raid and the three shots that changed history, but about the personal aftermath for himself and his family. And the startling failure of the United States government to help its most experienced and skilled warriors carry on with their lives.”

Pope Benedict XVI Will Resign

February 11, 2013 at 8:09 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Citing advanced years and infirmity, Pope Benedict XVI, the former Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, stunned the Roman Catholic world on Monday by saying that he would resign on Feb. 28, less than eight years after he took office, the first pope to do so in six centuries,” the New York Times reports.

“While there had been questions about Benedict’s health and infirmity, the timing of his announcement — even by the Vatican’s official account — sent shock waves across the globe, even though Benedict had in the past endorsed the notion that an incapacitated pope could resign.”

Marc Ambinder: “Generally, when American political officials resign, a scandal is in the offing. But the former John Cardinal Ratzinger genuinely seems to be stepping down as Pontifex because he no longer believes he can do the job that he believes God has called him to do. There is something profound and endearing about someone elected (anointed?) to an incredibly powerful lifetime job deciding, with years still left, to walk away. That in and of itself is a powerful example to set for everyone.”

Quote of the Day

February 11, 2013 at 5:34 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The performance now of Barack Obama as he staffs up the national security team for the second term is dismal… Frankly, what he has appointed are second-rate people.”

— Former Vice President Dick Cheney, quoted by the AP.

Obama Plans Aggressive Speech

February 11, 2013 at 5:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama’s State of the Union speech “will be less a presidential olive branch than a congressional cattle prod,” Politico reports.

“Emboldened by electoral victory and convinced the GOP is unwilling to cut deals, Obama plans to use his big prime-time address Tuesday night to issue another broad challenge at a Republican Party he regards as vulnerable and divided, Democrats close to Obama say.”

“He’ll pay lip service to bipartisanship, but don’t expect anything like the call for peaceful collaboration that defined his first address to a joint session of Congress in 2009, they say.”

Is Rubio the Answer for Republicans?

February 11, 2013 at 5:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Washington Post says Sen. March Rubio (R-FL) “is indeed a politician of unusual gifts. But the spotlight that has fallen on this relatively new arrival to the national scene says as much about the state of the Republican Party as it does about the 41-year-old senator. And it remains to be seen whether he represents the solution to the GOP’s problems, or whether the party’s sky-high hopes in an untested newcomer are just another measure of its drift.”

Paul Waldman: “But you can only be the Next Big Thing for so long, and there’s really
only one way to become your party’s savior: win the White House. If
immigration reform passes, Rubio will probably be given credit on the
right. But what if, in 2014, Republicans do no better with Latino voters
than they did in 2012? That might make them decide that moderating
their stance was a waste of time. Or it might make them decide they need
Rubio more than ever.”

Obama Weighs Executive Actions

February 11, 2013 at 5:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “is considering a series of new executive actions aimed at working around a recalcitrant Congress, including policies that could allow struggling homeowners to refinance their mortgages, provide new protections for gays and lesbians, make buildings more energy-efficient and toughen regulations for coal-fired power plants,” the Washington Post reports.

“The moves underscore Obama’s increasingly aggressive use of executive authority, including 23 administrative actions on gun violence last month and previous orders that delayed deportations of young illegal immigrants and will lower student loan payments.”

AP:
“This is what ‘Forward’ looks like. Fast forward, even. President
Barack Obama’s campaign slogan is springing to life in a surge of
executive directives and agency rule-making that touch many of the
affairs of government.”

The Tea Party Fades

February 10, 2013 at 3:27 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ezra Klein: “The Republican establishment is reasserting control. It’s purging some of the hucksters who’d taken the party’s reins — or at least the airtime — in recent years. It’s resisting much of the brinkmanship that marked the last Congress and trying to present a more fearsome, united front against counterproductive strategies favored by the right. All of the major 2016 presidential contenders have made the same political calculation: It’s better to build a reputation as one of the party’s adults than as one of its firebrands.”

“Just don’t call this process moderation. The Republican Party isn’t reinventing itself so much as reverting to its previous form. There’s little evidence of a rethinking of core Republican policy ideas.”

Hackers Put Bush on the Couch

February 10, 2013 at 2:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Cloakroom: Looking for psychological clues in the secret art work of George W. Bush.

Nevada Lawmaker Arrested Again

February 10, 2013 at 2:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jon Ralston reports that Nevada Assemblyman Steven Brooks (D) has been arrested for domestic battery and making a false statement to obstruct a police officer.

Brooks was arrested last month for threatening the life of the House Speaker.

Church Used Cemetery Money to Pay Sex Abuse Settlement

February 10, 2013 at 1:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Pressed to come up with hundreds of millions of dollars to settle clergy sex abuse lawsuits, Cardinal Roger M. Mahony turned to one group of Catholics whose faith could not be shaken: the dead,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

“Under his leadership in 2007, the Archdiocese of Los Angeles quietly appropriated $115 million from a cemetery maintenance fund and used it to help pay a landmark settlement with molestation victims.”

“The church did not inform relatives of the deceased that it had taken the money, which amounted to 88% of the fund. Families of those buried in church-owned cemeteries and interred in its mausoleums have contributed to a dedicated account for the perpetual care of graves, crypts and grounds since the 1890s.”