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Special Election in Alabama Today

September 24, 2013 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Two Democrats and nine Republicans are facing off in special election primaries today for the House seat vacated by former Rep. Jo Bonner (R), the Mobile Press Register reports.

“Tuesday’s election is the first step toward doing that. A runoff election, expected to take place in the Republican Party’s primary involving Tuesday’s top two vote-getters, will occur on Nov. 5. The general election is Dec. 17.”

Leaders Discuss Short Term Deal to Avoid Shutdown

September 24, 2013 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico:
“Senate Democratic leaders may only keep the government open for less
than two months as part of a deal to end the latest fiscal crisis now
consuming Washington… Monday began a week of
high-level maneuvering on Capitol Hill, with each of the four leaders
beginning to weigh how to proceed on what could become a defining moment
for the 113th Congress and Barack Obama’s presidency.”

Wonk Wire: Is there enough time left to avert the shutdown?

Obama and Clinton Tag Team on Health Care

September 24, 2013 at 8:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Facing a pivotal time for his signature health care law, President
Obama will promote the program during a forum Tuesday hosted by
predecessor Bill Clinton in New York City,” USA Today reports.

First Read: “Also be sure to pay attention to Bill Clinton’s role when the two men
discuss health care at the Clinton Global Initiative. Remember,
Clinton’s previous effort to sell the reform — earlier this month in
Arkansas — got drowned out by Syria. Also, it was now 20 years ago
almost to the day when Clinton himself tried to sell health-care reform
to the country (the famous Health Security Card speech to Congress).
One thing the White House believes is that some of the folks the
president would like to reach on the issue of health care (older
voters) are more likely to listen to an explanation from Clinton than
Obama right now. It’s something they learned during the 2012 Democratic
convention.”

5 Things Winning Candidates Say

September 24, 2013 at 8:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nathan Gonzales: “Of course these phrases don’t guarantee success — a candidate’s party and the partisanship of the state or district will be a larger determining factor. But these sayings reflect an attitude and approach that will often set up a candidate for success.”

Reflecting on Rand Paul

September 24, 2013 at 8:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Trey Grayson (R) talks to New York magazine about the meteoric rise of Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), the man who beat him in their 2010 U.S. Senate race:

“He wasn’t very good at retail politics. He didn’t shake hands very well. He didn’t work the room. I remember thinking, I can stand here and shake hands, and I’m going to win that comparison. But one of the things that struck me was that at events, his staffers would always say to people, ‘Have you heard Dr. Paul speak?’ They wouldn’t say, ‘Have you met him?’ They would say, ‘Have you heard him speak?’ And it was interesting because he wouldn’t get up there and do all these little pleasantries. He wouldn’t begin with ‘Hey, it’s great to be here in Johnson County! It’s good to see Senator So-and-So, he’s doing a great job! I love your apple festival in the fall!’ He wouldn’t even say, ‘Thanks for having me! It’s nice to be here!’ He would just sort of begin his talk and it would be pretty serious. Even the jokes weren’t very lighthearted. But people would go to his town-hall events and tell their friends, ‘Hey, I heard this Dr. Paul guy, you should go hear him speak, he made some really good points.'”

Cruz Has a Plan

September 24, 2013 at 8:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Frum: “Start with this fact about Ted Cruz: He is no Sarah Palin or Donald Trump. He is a hugely smart, highly focused political player, with a clear-eyed view of political realities. He defeated the most powerful Republican in Texas to win nomination to the U.S. Senate in months of hard campaigning. As a senator, he has overshadowed his senior colleague, John Cornyn, a former chair of the Republican National Senatorial committee. Cruz makes mistakes; everybody does. But he thinks before he acts, and his critics should appreciate that he has a plan.”

“The plan is obvious enough: to emerge as the next acknowledged political leader of American conservatism in the apostolic succession that begins with Robert Taft, continued through Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan and Jack Kemp, and has had no agreed successor since Newt Gingrich’s retirement from Congress in 1998.”

Washington Post: “For all his success as an agitator of outside forces, Cruz has not set about trying to court Senate allies he will need to advance his agenda.”

Quote of the Day

September 24, 2013 at 6:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I have not seen the written endorsements. I have called the governor’s and senator’s offices and have not heard back from them.”

— Nevada GOP chairman Michael McDonald, quoted by the Reno Gazette Journal, disputing that Gov. Brian Sandoval (R) and Sen. Dean Heller (R) had endorsed his rival, Robert Uithoven, in the election for GOP chairman.

Lonegan Closing on Booker

September 24, 2013 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds Cory Booker (D) leading Steve Lonegan by 12 points in the U.S. Senate race among likely voters, 53% to 41%.

Said pollster Maurice Carroll: “Maybe that ‘show horse vs. work horse’ charge from Lonegan is having an impact. While we can’t make a direct comparison between registered voters and likely voters, Booker did have a 54% to 29% registered voter lead over Lonegan in Quinnipiac’s August 7 pre-primary survey.”

Cheney Told Simpson to ‘Shut Your Mouth’

September 24, 2013 at 5:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Lynne Cheney told former Sen. Alan Simpson (R-WY) to “shut your mouth” about supporting Sen. Mike Enzi (R-WY) over Cheney’s daughter Liz in the U.S. Senate race, the Cody Enterprise reports.

The conversation was conveyed in a Facebook post by Simpson’s daughter-in-law: “I wasn’t involved, just a bystander. But I won’t tolerate others that treat those I care about … with such disdain and disrespect. An intelligent woman like Lynne should realize that everyone is entitled to speak their mind and have an opinion. I was tempted to go tell her where she can go for speaking to a man I love that way when it occurred to me her so very classy commentary would be better shared here. Isn’t she a gem!”

GOP’s Problems Much Worse Than Democrats in the 1980s

September 24, 2013 at 5:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stu Rothenberg: “Political parties seem to suffer through internal battles periodically, but the current state of the GOP is much worse than what Democrats went through some 25 years ago, when organized labor and old-style liberals fought against the Democratic Leadership Council for the soul of the party.”

“The structure of today’s parties and the way we consume news make it more difficult for the GOP to resolve its differences successfully.”

2012 Voter Turnout by State

September 24, 2013 at 4:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ravi Parikh has a fascinating chart of the voter turnout by state in the 2012 presidential election.

McAuliffe Expands Lead in Virginia

September 23, 2013 at 8:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post poll in Virginia finds Terry McAuliffe (D) leads Ken Cuccinelli (R) in the race for governor, 47% to 39%, with Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis’s 10% “suggesting an unrest among voters not satisfied with either major-party contender.”

In a one-on-one matchup without Sarvis in the mix, the poll shows a narrower, 49% to 44% race between McAuliffe and Cuccinelli among likely voters.

A new NBC News/Marist poll finds McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli 43% to 38%, with Sarvis at 8%.

Inequality for All

September 23, 2013 at 7:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Labor Secretary Robert Reich, my adviser in graduate school, is apparently remaking himself as Michael Moore with a new documentary, Inequality for All.

[Read more…]

Trader Lost Millions Betting on Romney

September 23, 2013 at 7:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A new academic paper digging into presidential betting in the final weeks of the 2012 election finds that a single trader lost between $4 million and $7 million placing a flurry of Intrade bets on Mitt Romney — perhaps to make the Republican nominee’s chance of victory appear brighter,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The anonymous trader placed 1.2 million pro-Romney contracts, some of which were actually in the form of bets against a Barack Obama victory. The most plausible reason for the betting, the authors conclude, is that ‘this trader could have been attempting to manipulate beliefs about the odds of victory in an attempt to boost fundraising, campaign morale, and turnout.'”

Most Think Government is Too Powerful

September 23, 2013 at 7:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup poll finds that 60% of Americans believe the federal government has too much power — a record high — while 32% now say the government has the right amount of power.

Why Republicans Will Be Blamed for a Shutdown

September 23, 2013 at 7:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Waldman: “Republicans are the ones who hate government, and Democrats are the ones who defend it.”

“This is the heart of it. After so many decades of Republicans saying that government is evil, trying to slash it in a hundred ways, and more recently saying that they don’t think a shutdown would be all that bad, it will be all but impossible for them to convince people that they’re the ones who want government to stay open. Even if it were true (which it isn’t) they wouldn’t be able to convince people of it. They’re the anti-government party. That’s who they are. They worked very hard to create that image. So the universal default assumption is that when there’s a question of who’s responsible for shutting down the government, Republicans are the ones who are doing it, and persuading people that the opposite is true just isn’t going to happen.”

What Shuts Down?

September 23, 2013 at 7:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wonk Wire highlights the key functions of the federal government that would shut down if Congress doesn’t reach a budget deal by the end of the month.

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

September 23, 2013 at 5:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Any time you say, ‘There is no other means of salvation but through Jesus Christ, and if you don’t know him and you don’t follow him and you don’t go through him, you are engaged in some sort of false religion,’ that’s controversial. But it’s the truth.”

— Virginia Lt. Gov nominee E.W. Jackson (R) quoted by the Washington Post.

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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