Sen. John McCain’s pollster, Bill McInturff, tells the Washington Post: “Trump and Clinton are essentially running even in Arizona.”

The HuffPost Pollster average shows Trump leading Clinton 50% to 48%.

A new Predictive Insights poll in Arizona finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by three points in the presidential race, 45% to 42%.

Donald Trump’s campaign is dispatching vice-presidential nominee Mike Pence to Arizona for two public events, “a tangible sign of Republicans’ concern that Arizona could be competitive this year,” Politico reports.

A new Predictive Insights poll in Arizona finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in the GOP presidential race, 47% to 42%.

Washington Post: “There is no recent reliable public polling in Arizona, but Democratic and Republican strategists said private research shows the presidential race as a toss-up.”

Asked whether Hillary Clinton has a path to victory, GOP strategist Charles Coughlin conceded: “I believe it’s there if she wanted to do it. Everybody always says, ‘This is the election when Latinos turn out,’ and it’s never happened. But I can actually see that happening this time.”

A new Rocky Mountain poll in Arizona shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump in a general election matchup, 42% to 35%.

In contrast, Ted Cruz would beat Clinton, 43% to 38%.

Sam Wang: “Today, John Kasich gives the first of a series of gifts to Donald Trump. What’s inside the box? Maybe 58 delegates – from Arizona, which is winner-take-all.”

“Trump leads the last three surveys done in Arizona. His median support is 47% and his median lead over second-place Ted Cruz is 13 percentage points. In addition, a combined 17-27% goes to Kasich and Rubio (several surveys were done before Rubio dropped out). Previously I pointed out that when reassigned, Kasich/Rubio supporters heavily favor Cruz over Trump. If we reassign those voters in a 4:1 ratio, the resulting medians are Trump 42.4%, Cruz 44.6%. This 2-percentage-point difference is small, and would slightly favor Cruz to win.”

Politico: “Election day is still two days away in Arizona but well more than half of Republicans expected to vote in the state’s Tuesday primary have already cast their ballots — complicating Cruz’s attempts overtake Donald Trump as both make a late push for the state’s lucrative, winner-take-all prize of 58 delegates.”

“Arizona has among the most robust early-voting programs in the country. In Maricopa, the state’s largest county, early voters in 2016 comprise already nearly 90 percent of the county’s total GOP turnout four years ago.”