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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 189

Navigating the Nonsense

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 189: Navigating the Nonsense

Casey DeSantis Looms Over Florida Governor’s Race

February 23, 2026 · 5:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Florida first lady Casey DeSantis over the last month has gone on conservative podcasts warning about toxic substances found in popular candy bars. She went on Fox News to alert parents of contaminants in baby formula and hosted moms at the governor’s mansion to talk about their vaccine concerns,” Politico reports.

“What she didn’t discuss, however, is her political future in Florida. It’s a topic of intense interest amid a pivotal governor’s race and her husband Ron DeSantis’ last year as the state’s leader.”

Said one Florida GOP insider: “She’s clearly doing something different, and something new, and that’s causing a lot of discussion about if there’s a secret plan in place — or if there’s just a plan to make a plan,”

Uncategorized FL-Gov

GOP Candidate Joins Tinder to Meet ‘Young Female Voters’

February 3, 2026 · 3:39 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Florida gubernatorial candidate James Fishback (R) said he joined the dating app Tinder “to meet young female voters where they are, and share my plan to make it easier for them to get married, buy a home, and raise a family.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

School Cut Ties with GOP Candidate

December 30, 2025 · 11:45 am ET · Leave a Comment

“One of Florida’s largest school districts cut ties in 2022 with James Fishback, now a Republican candidate for governor, following allegations that he had an inappropriate relationship with a student who was a minor at the time,” NBC News reports.

“Earlier this year, the woman, Keinah Fort, went to court asking for an order of protection against Fishback. She said he ‘initiated a romantic relationship’ with her in spring 2022 — and directed her to keep it a secret — when, she said, he was 27 and she was 17 and working for his group Incubate Debate.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Trump Couldn’t Clear the Field in Florida

November 30, 2025 · 9:41 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s endorsement was supposed to clear the field for Rep. Byron Donalds,” Politico reports.

“Instead, the GOP governor’s race in Florida is veering toward a bitter and unpredictable brawl — with Gov. Ron DeSantis and his clout still lurking, adding to the drama in the fight to succeed him.”

“Donalds has every reason to expect a glide path to the nomination: He’s got Trump behind him, support from many top state Republicans, millions in his campaign accounts and a steady presence on Fox News. Polls show him far out in front of other GOP hopefuls.”

“But instead of the field collapsing, Donalds is drawing in new challengers with sharper attacks — including allies of term-limited DeSantis.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Ken Griffin Stays Out of Florida Governor’s Race

November 19, 2025 · 4:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has been directly lobbying GOP megadonor Ken Griffin to help fund a challenger to Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL) in the state’s 2026 governor’s race,” NBC News reports.

“But those entreaties have been rebuffed, leaving the term-limited governor scrambling to find a viable financial backer for a new candidate.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Donalds Has Raised $22 Million for Florida Governor’s Race

July 1, 2025 · 8:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL) “has raised $22 million for his gubernatorial bid since entering the race, a sum that dwarfs any of the two dozen rivals in the race,” Axios reports.

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

David Jolly to Run for Florida Governor

June 5, 2025 · 7:42 am ET · Leave a Comment

David Jolly, the former Tampa-area congressman who left the Republican Party seven years ago, is holding court with the press, rolling out an announcement that everyone knows is coming: He’s running for governor as a Democrat, the Miami Herald reports.

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Matt Gaetz Hasn’t Ruled Out Run for Florida Governor

May 21, 2025 · 2:31 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Former Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) hasn’t yet ruled out running for Florida governor, eyeing a potential three-way Republican primary against Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL) and first lady Casey DeSantis, NBC News reports.

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Pizzo to Run for Florida Governor

May 9, 2025 · 9:04 pm ET · Leave a Comment

State Sen. Jason Pizzo, who recently proclaimed the Florida Democratic Party “dead” before leaving the party, said Friday he will run for governor as an independent in 2026, Politico reports.

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

David Jolly Registers as a Democrat

April 24, 2025 · 7:49 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Former Republican Rep. David Jolly, who has made a national name for himself as a vocal opponent of President Donald Trump, took a step Thursday toward a possible run for governor of Florida in 2026 by launching a state political committee,” Politico reports.

“Jolly also switched his no-party affiliation voter registration to Democrat on Wednesday afternoon, which would make him eligible to run statewide under the party’s ticket by next year’s qualification period in June.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

David Jolly Mulls Run for Florida Governor

March 25, 2025 · 7:22 am ET · Leave a Comment

“David Jolly, the former representative whose sharp disagreements with President Donald Trump led him to leave the Republican Party, is considering running for governor of Florida,” Politico reports.

“Jolly is weighing whether to enter the race as a Democrat despite Republicans building a formidable advantage in the once-swing state under Trump and Gov. Ron DeSantis.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

DeSantis Urges Lobbyists Not to Back Donalds

March 19, 2025 · 6:30 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ political operation is making calls urging state lobbyists not to support Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL), whose 2026 bid for governor has already socked away more than $3 million — much of which has come from President Donald Trump’s donors,” NBC News reports.

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Don Jr. Backs Byron Donalds for Florida Governor

March 12, 2025 · 7:41 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump Jr. is endorsing Rep. Byron Donalds for Florida governor, following in his father’s footsteps and cementing Donalds as the frontrunner over possible contender Casey DeSantis, the state’s first lady,” Axios reports.

“The move by Trump Jr. — a key player in MAGA media — comes after a presidential race in which Donalds was a constant pro-Trump presence on the campaign trail.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Ron and Casey DeSantis Have Breakfast with Trump

March 2, 2025 · 11:37 am ET · Leave a Comment

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and his wife, Casey — who is rumored to be eyeing a run for governor — were spotted having breakfast with President Trump at his golf club this morning, the Wall Street Journal reports.

Trump has already endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds.

2026 Campaign, White House FL-Gov

Trump Upends Ron DeSantis’ Plans

February 24, 2025 · 2:49 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Gov. Ron DeSantis and first lady Casey DeSantis had a message for donors and other important Republican backers over the last few weeks: Don’t throw your support to Rep. Byron Donalds, because Casey DeSantis was seriously considering jumping into the 2026 race for governor,” Politico reports.

“That message was upended last Thursday night with a single social media post by President Donald Trump emphatically endorsing Donalds. And Trump’s decision may have also derailed an effort to preserve Gov. DeSantis’ conservative legacy ahead of another potential presidential run.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Trump May Have Just Ended the Florida Governor’s Race

February 20, 2025 · 8:20 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump brought an early end Thursday to the speculation around his favorite for the 2026 Florida governor’s race in a post on Truth Social, endorsing loyalist Rep. Byron Donalds for the job,” Politico reports.

“The president’s backing of Donalds is likely to have a chilling effect on the race in Florida, a state Trump won by 13 points in November and that he has called home since 2019.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Casey DeSantis Mulls Bid for Florida Governor

February 6, 2025 · 11:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Republican donors at a gathering last week in Palm Beach County openly discussed the prospect of Casey DeSantis’ running for governor in 2026, and for the first time, Florida’s first lady is seriously considering the idea,” NBC News reports.

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

Matt Gaetz Eyes Run for Governor

January 8, 2025 · 7:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

Former Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) said he may not be done with politics despite resigning from Congress last month to be a cable news host, the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Said Gaetz: “I am starting to think about running for governor.”

2026 Campaign FL-Gov

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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