A new NBC News/Marist poll in Ohio finds John Kasich leading the GOP primary race with 39%, followed by Donald Trump at 33%, Ted Cruz at 19% and Marco Rubio at 6%.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 58% to 38%.
A new CBS News/YouGov poll shows Kasich and Trump tied at 33%, followed by Cruz at 27% and Rubio at 5%.
On the Democratic side, Clinton leads Sanders 52% to 43%.
For members: What If Trump Loses Ohio?
A new Fox News poll in Ohio finds Gov. John Kasich leads the GOP primary field with 34%, followed by Donald Trump at 29%, Ted Cruz at 19% and Marco Rubio at 7%.
A new CNN/ORC poll in Ohio finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 41%, followed by John Kasich at 35%, Ted Cruz at 15% and Marco Rubio at 7%.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 63% to 33%.
A new Quinnipiac poll finds Trump leading with 38%, followed by Kasich at 32%, Cruz at 16% and Rubio at 9%.
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First Read: “One of the big secrets to Trump’s and Sanders’ success last night was the ‘open’ nature of last night’s primaries in Mississippi and Michigan. In Michigan, 31% of the voters were independents, and Trump bested Kasich among them, 36%-27%. And on the Democratic side in Michigan, Clinton won Democrats by a 57%-41% margin, but Sanders won among indies (who made up 28% of the electorate), 71%-28%.”
“Looking ahead to next week’s contests, Florida is a closed primary, while Ohio isn’t as open as Michigan is. Per Ohio’s election law, you declare your political party affiliation by requesting the ballot of a political party in a partisan primary election. If you do not desire to affiliate with a political party in Ohio, you are considered to be an unaffiliated voter. An unaffiliated voter does not vote the ballot of a political party in a primary election. However, an unaffiliated voter may vote the Official Questions & Issues Ballot, if there is one for the voter’s precinct at the election.”
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Ohio finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 38%, followed by John Kasich at 35%, Ted Cruz at 15% and Marco Rubio at 5%.
“Facing pressure to leave the presidential race, Gov. John Kasich on Saturday singled out next month’s primary in his home state of Ohio as a make-or-break moment for his campaign,” the New York Times reports.
Said Kasich: “Some of the other candidates, if they can’t win their home state, they got to get out, O.K.? If I don’t win my home state, I’ll get out. But you know what? I’m going to win Ohio.”
A new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio finds Donald Trump leads the GOP primary race with 31%, followed by John Kasich at 26%, Ted Cruz at 21%, Marco Rubio at 13% and Ben Carson at 5%.
Said pollster Peter Brown: “A Kasich Ohio win is crucial to the Republicans trying to stop the New York businessman’s nomination. If Trump can defeat Kasich in his home state, that would be an impressive demonstration of his strength in a state that is just now getting attention.”
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 55% to 40%.
A new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio finds Gov. John Kasich (R) has surged to an all-time high job approval rating among voters, 62% to 29%.
Donald Trump promised that he “would return the name of North America’s largest mountain to Mount McKinley, undoing President Obama’s decision to call it Denali,” The Hill reports.
“Calling Obama’s act a ‘great insult to Ohio,’ Trump, who is running for president next year, tweeted late Monday that Obama reversed the name the peak had for more than 100 years, in honor of President William McKinley, an Ohio native.”
A new Quinnipiac poll finds that Sen. Marco Rubio runs best against Hillary Clinton in 2016 presidential matchups with eight top Republican contenders in three critical swing states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Key finding: Voters in each state say by margins of 8 to 14 percentage points that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy.
Kyle Kondik: “The Buckeye State, long recognized as perhaps the nation’s premier presidential swing state, deserves its status. In the 30 presidential elections since 1896, Ohio has correctly picked the winner 28 times.”
“Ohio has company at the top though — it beats out another top presidential swing state, New Mexico, by only a hair. Like Ohio, the Land of Enchantment has also only been incorrect twice, but because statehood arrived in 1912, its record is just 24-2, and thus it has a slightly lower batting average (92%) than Ohio (93%).”
“In a move that strengthens his looming presidential candidacy, Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) signed a GOP-crafted bill today moving back Ohio’s 2016 primary election to make it a winner-take-all contest,” the Columbus Dispatch reports.
“Moving the presidential primary from March 8 to March 15 next year shifts Ohio from awarding its presidential convention delegates proportionally to granting all the delegates to the statewide winner. The change could set the stage for Kasich to sweep of all of Ohio’s GOP delegates. The governor has fared well in home-state polls suggesting he is the leading GOP candidate.”
“Of 435 House races in November, only a few dozen were considered competitive — a result of decades of drawing district lines for partisan advantage, generally by state legislatures,” the New York Times reports.
“But in an era of hyperpartisan gerrymandering, which many blame for the polarization of state and national politics, Ohio took a step in the opposite direction last week. With the support of both parties, the Ohio House gave final approval Wednesday to a plan to draw voting districts for the General Assembly using a bipartisan process, intended to make elections more competitive.”
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.
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