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An Epic Turnout Collapse for House Democrats

November 5, 2014 at 12:06 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 76 Comments

David Wasserman: “It’s hard to overstate House Democrats’ bad night. By all measures, Republicans enjoyed an historic night, exceeding pre-election expectations across the country. There are fewer than ten races where the outcome is in some doubt, but Republicans appear headed for a 250-seat majority, give or take three seats, for a gain of between 13 and 19. A net gain of 13 would give them their largest majority since Herbert Hoover won the presidency in 1928.”

“Plain and simple, the story in House races was an epic turnout collapse and motivational deficit. Democrats’ surprisingly large losses are attributable to ‘orphan states’ where there was little enthusiasm for top-of-the-ticket Democrats.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign Tagged With: election results, wave election

A Tornado Election

November 5, 2014 at 11:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard 30 Comments

David Firestone: “The clichéd term for what happened last night is ‘wave election,’ but if natural phenomena are going to be evoked, the more accurate expression is ‘tornado election:’ widespread destruction in weird, jagged patterns that are often difficult to explain when it’s over.”

“When a force that powerful is fueled by anger rather than careful analysis, it produces results that can seem irrational. More than a third of people voting for a Republican House candidate said they were unhappy or even angry at the Republican leaders in Congress, according to exit polls, but they did so anyway, producing a House that is even more right-wing than the current one.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign Tagged With: wave election

Far Worse Than Democrats Feared

November 5, 2014 at 6:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard 46 Comments

“Campaign 2014 surpassed its advance billing, as an electorate that was deeply unhappy with all its leaders handed the biggest rebuke to President Obama and the Democrats by giving Republicans control of the Senate. For Democrats, election night turned out far worse than any of them had feared,” Dan Balz writes.

“At every turn in almost every state, the Republicans proved superior. They won nearly every competitive contest in states held by Democrats and held on to the states that had looked like they might go to the Democrats. Instead of slipping into the majority, the GOP stormed to power in the Senate.”

“That wasn’t all. In a year when incumbent governors in both parties were endangered, the Republicans prevailed and the Democrats did not, including in some of the bluest states in the nation.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign Tagged With: wave election


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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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