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Bessent Warns Tariffs Will Snap Back

May 18, 2025 at 11:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday warned that the reciprocal tariffs on trading partners could go back to the rate slapped on them on “Liberation Day” last month if they don’t engage in good faith negotiations, The Hill reports.

Filed Under: Economy

Trump Calls on Walmart to ‘Eat the Tariffs’

May 17, 2025 at 11:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump said that Walmart should stop blaming tariffs for rising prices while calling on the retail giant to “eat the tariffs.”

He added: “I’ll be watching and so will your customers!”

Filed Under: Economy

Consumer Sentiment Sinks to Near Record Low

May 16, 2025 at 4:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“U.S. consumers are becoming increasingly worried that tariffs will lead to higher inflation, according to a University of Michigan survey released Friday,” CNBC reports.

“The index of consumer sentiment dropped to 50.8, down from 52.2 in April, in the preliminary reading for May. That is the second-lowest reading on record, behind June 2022.”

Filed Under: Economy


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Walmart to Pass Through Tariff Price Increases

May 15, 2025 at 1:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Retail goliath Walmart on Thursday said it plans to raise prices this month and early this summer, when tariff-affected merchandise hits its store shelves. Some prices already have increased.”

Said CFO John David Rainey: “The magnitude and speed at which these prices are coming to us is somewhat unprecedented in history.”

Filed Under: Economy

The World’s Largest Market Is Becoming Two

May 14, 2025 at 1:13 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “According to our analysis, America is splitting into two different economies and markets: one conservative, the other liberal. People on each side think about the economy differently, they buy different things and work in increasingly different industries.”

“Not only that: the MAGA economy is doing surprisingly well.”

Filed Under: Economy

JPMorgan Drops Recession Forecast

May 13, 2025 at 8:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted its forecast for U.S. economic growth after a temporary trade deal between the U.S. and China, dropping its earlier call that the world’s largest economy would sink into a recession in 2025,” Bloomberg reports.

Filed Under: Economy

Inflation Was Less Than Expected Last Month

May 13, 2025 at 8:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Inflation was slightly lower than expected in April as President Donald Trump’s tariffs just began hitting the slowing U.S. economy,” CNBC reports.

“The consumer price index, which measures the costs for a broad range of goods and services, rose 0.2% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.3%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. The monthly reading was in line with the Dow Jones consensus estimate and a bit below the annual forecast for 2.4%.”

Filed Under: Economy

Signs of a DOGE Recession

May 13, 2025 at 6:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Signs of a DOGE recession are flashing in D.C. — rising unemployment, less credit card spending and jitters about more federal cuts,” Axios reports.

“A local ‘mild recession’ is expected as the Trump administration downsizes the capital city’s big factory — the federal government, employer to 17% of the region’s workforce.”

“Even before most of the federal job cuts, the number of unemployed residents in D.C. increased 12.2% in February over last year, city stats show.”

Filed Under: Economy

Beef Prices Soar

May 12, 2025 at 7:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

U.S. beef prices are soaring to record highs as the country’s cattle inventory reaches its lowest level in more than 70 years, putting further strains on Americans’ grocery bills, the Financial Times reports.

Filed Under: Economy

Traffic Slows at Los Angeles Port

May 11, 2025 at 5:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The number of shipping containers that arrived at the nation’s top container port last week was roughly one-third lower than during the same period last year — a sharper decline than during the depths of the Great Recession. More than one-fifth of the giant ships that were scheduled to call in Los Angeles this month have already canceled, and that number is expected to rise.”

Filed Under: Economy

Zero Ships from China Are Bound for California

May 10, 2025 at 10:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “On Friday morning, West Coast port officials told CNN about a startling sight: Not a single cargo vessel had left China with goods for the two major West Coast ports in the past 12 hours. That hasn’t happened since the pandemic.”

Filed Under: Economy

Tariffs Are Here to Stay

May 9, 2025 at 7:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “The first significant trade accord of this Trump term affirms that the president is in dealmaking mode and wants to steer around the kinds of economic risks generated by his original announcement of large-scale reciprocal tariffs.”

“But U.K. imports will continue to carry a 10% tariff, up from a pre-Trump average of 1.3%. The president referred to that as the ‘lowest end’ import tax.”

Filed Under: Economy, Foreign Affairs

Big Majority Say Trump’s Tariffs Will Increase Prices

May 8, 2025 at 12:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Economist/YouGov poll finds 75% of Americans think that President Trump’s tariffs will increase the prices they pay, and most who do expect they will increase prices a lot rather than a little.

Majorities of Democrats and Republicans think Trump’s tariffs will lead to price increases. Among Republicans, the share who think tariffs will raise prices “a lot” has increased 8 percentage points in the past two weeks, to 22% from 14%.

Filed Under: Economy

Exchange of the Day

May 8, 2025 at 12:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump took questions in the Oval Office:

REPORTER: The ports here in the U.S., the traffic has really slowed and now thousands of dock workers and truck drivers are worried about their jobs.

TRUMP: That means we lose less money… when you say it slowed down, that’s a good thing, not a bad thing.

Filed Under: Economy

How to Prepare for the Trumpcession

May 8, 2025 at 12:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Annie Lowrey: “A tariff-induced recession is here and not here, visible and invisible—about to happen or already happening. The economy is in a state of imminence. And we should be preparing, even if we are not sure what we are preparing for.”

Filed Under: Economy

Toyota Says Tariffs Will Erase Profits in Two Months

May 8, 2025 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “A year ago, the world’s biggest automaker was on a tear. American consumers were snapping up Toyota Motor’s hybrids, and a weak yen inflated the value of the company’s earnings. That May, Toyota reported the highest annual profit ever recorded by a Japanese firm.”

“On Thursday, Toyota presented a significantly more somber outlook, projecting that its operating profit would decline by about one-fifth for the fiscal year ending in March. It cited headwinds from a stronger yen and predicted a $1.3 billion hit from President Trump’s tariffs in April and May alone.”

Filed Under: Economy

Many Say They Won’t Be Able to Buy a Home

May 7, 2025 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup Poll finds only 30% of adults who don’t own a home believe they will purchase one in the next five years, while 23% say they will do so in the next 10 years and 45% don’t anticipate it happening in the foreseeable future.

Axios: Where starter homes cost at least $1 million.

Filed Under: Economy

Ford Hikes Prices on Mexico-Produced Cars

May 7, 2025 at 8:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Ford Motor is hiking prices on three of its Mexico-produced models effective May 2, becoming one of the first major automakers to adjust sticker prices following President Donald Trump’s tariffs,” Reuters reports.

Filed Under: Economy

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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