Political Wire

SubscribeSign in
  • Front Page
  • Trending
  • Polling
  • Trial Balloon
  • Books
  • Membership
    • Subscribe
    • Sign In
  • Sign In
  • Contact Us
Theme
Text size

Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 191

Blue Wave Update

A new episode of Trial Balloon just dropped for Political Wire members. Log in or become a member

Trial Balloon · Ep. 191: Blue Wave Update

Big Tech’s AI Borrowing Binge Is Driving Up Bond Yields

August 21, 2026 · 5:53 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Economists have been repeatedly dumbfounded by the resilience of the economy in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic, wars, tariffs, inflation and sharply higher interest rates. A simple answer has provided a catchall explanation: the growth of artificial intelligence,” the New York Times reports.

“But the growth of A.I. also poses a risk, reflected in the nearly two-decade highs that yields on U.S. government bonds hit this week, prompting the Treasury Department to try to put a lid on borrowing costs.”

“That risk stems from a borrowing binge by some of the biggest technology companies in the world.”

Economy, Financial Markets, Technology

The Fed and Treasury Appear at Odds

August 20, 2026 · 1:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Kevin Warsh is trying to unwind years of explicit Federal Reserve guidance. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent may have just complicated that experiment,” Axios reports.

“Why it matters: While the Federal Reserve chairman wants to give markets more room to respond to the economy, Treasury’s intervention signals that there are limits to how much market-driven movement Washington is willing to tolerate.”

“The result is a contradictory policy mix: The Fed is trying to do less to guide financial markets, just as Treasury is showing a greater willingness to intervene when market moves become uncomfortable.”

CNBC: Bessent moves to curb Treasury yields, putting new pressure on Warsh’s Fed.

Financial Markets, White House

Bessent Leans Into His Role as Bond Trader in Chief

August 20, 2026 · 5:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has shown he’ll do unconventional things to get markets moving his way. His latest maneuver is his most radical yet,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Facing an uncomfortable rise in longer-term interest rates, Bessent took action early Wednesday when the agency he leads announced that it would significantly step up purchases of government bonds as part of its existing buyback program. Markets quickly responded in a way they haven’t to Bessent’s previous moves, with stocks rising and Treasury yields falling sharply.”

Associated Press: An alarmed bond market gets the Trump administration to act again.

Financial Markets, White House

Fed Officials Warned Rate Hikes May Be Needed

August 19, 2026 · 5:26 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Many Federal Reserve officials believed that the central bank would have to raise interest rates if inflation did not ease, according to the minutes released on Wednesday from the Fed’s July 28-29 policy meeting,” Axios reports.

Bloomberg: Fed minutes show many officials said rate hikes may be needed.

Economy, Financial Markets

Bond Market Quake Is Bad News for Everyone

August 19, 2026 · 6:13 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The cost for the U.S. government to borrow money hit its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday, the latest in a worrisome series of developments that have rattled global markets and American consumers alike,” the Washington Post reports.

“The sell-off in U.S. Treasury securities — at $31 trillion the world’s largest financial market — comes amid surging public debt in the United States, Europe, Japan and Canada; renewed conflict in the Middle East; and uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s intentions.”

”The rise in long-term Treasury yields creates another headwind for the U.S. economy, one that will lift borrowing costs for businesses and consumers as well as official Washington.”

Bloomberg: Global bond slump raises Fed questions.

Economy, Financial Markets

Consumer Sentiment Dips, Especially Among Republicans

August 14, 2026 · 1:09 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Public opinion about the economy appears to be souring further this month, per the preliminary release of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index,” Axios reports.

“The steepest month-to-month drop in sentiment was among survey respondents who identify as Republicans, with their outlook now 19% below readings from just before the Iran war and at the lowest since the 2024 election.”

Economy, Financial Markets

Trump Drone Tariffs Send Stocks Soaring

August 14, 2026 · 11:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

“American drone companies got a sudden lift in the stock market Friday after President Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on imported drones,” Axios reports.

“Why it matters: National security experts have long bemoaned the American reliance on foreign sources for drone production, particularly China.”

And surprise: Unusual Machines, backed by Donald Trump Jr., was up 24% in late morning trading.
Taegan

Financial Markets, White House

How Kevin Warsh Is Rewiring the Fed

August 10, 2026 · 8:56 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh is attempting a high-wire act: He’s trying to fundamentally rethink the central bank’s approach to guiding the economy, while also using its standard policy toolkit to bring down stubbornly persistent inflation,” Axios reports.

“A market blowup late last month showed the perils of trying both at the same time.”

Economy, Financial Markets

Markets Soar Again as Trump Promises Iran Deal

August 7, 2026 · 12:53 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration this week sparked enthusiasm that the U.S. and Iran could soon strike a deal on the Strait of Hormuz, driving down oil prices and sending stocks soaring — only for no deal to emerge,” CNBC reports.

“If that sounds familiar, it may be because President Donald Trump has claimed dozens of times that the U.S. is close to an agreement that will end the war it began more than five months ago.”

“Investors have reacted to many of those claims with bursts of buying on hopes a breakthrough is near, even as the war instead appears to be widening and progress on Trump’s chief stated goal — containing Iran’s nuclear ambitions — is at a standstill.”

Financial Markets, Foreign Affairs, White House

Wall Street Finds New Edge Behind Trump’s Paywall

August 4, 2026 · 6:09 am ET · Leave a Comment

Axios: “Trump has transformed his second term into the most lucrative venture of his entire career, raking in more than $2.2 billion in 2025 from his family crypto empire, legal settlements and various licensing deals.”

”Truth API is the logical endpoint of that profiteering: the presidency’s unrivaled power to move markets, packaged and sold as a subscription.”

Corruption, Financial Markets, White House

The Worries That Drove Uncle Sam to Buy Yen

August 3, 2026 · 5:05 am ET · Leave a Comment

“In carrying out their first joint effort in a generation to boost the yen, the U.S. and Japan are seeking to contain tremors that could be triggered by a cratering Japanese currency,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The yen’s slide to a 40-year low indirectly threatened to bump up U.S. interest rates and risked throwing a wrench in plans to pull billions of dollars of Japanese investment into the U.S. “

“By propping up first Argentina’s currency and now the yen, President Trump is showing that he’s prepared to help allies who are battling financial markets, a contrast to the hands-off approach long favored by U.S. policymakers except in moments of exceptional peril.”

Financial Markets, Foreign Affairs, White House

Bond Sell-Off Sent Warning On Fed’s Credibility

July 31, 2026 · 8:21 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A top Federal Reserve official has warned this week’s sell-off in U.S. Treasuries is a signal that the central bank must earn its ‘credibility’ on fighting inflation by backing up its rhetoric with interest rate rises,” the Financial Times reports.

Said St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem: “Mr Market spoke this week, and I took a signal from it. The signal emphasized to me that we need to continue to earn our credibility every day with both effective communications and actions as needed.”

Economy, Financial Markets

Warsh Considers Reducing Frequency of Fed Meetings

July 31, 2026 · 5:13 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of regularly scheduled meetings at which the Federal Reserve sets interest rates, a potentially seismic move that would mark the most significant change in how the central bank operates in years,” the New York Times reports.

“The Federal Reserve’s 12-person policy committee meets eight times a year and votes on whether to lift, lower or hold borrowing costs. Mr. Warsh raised the idea of changing the frequency of those meetings at the Fed’s gathering this week.”

Bloomberg: Warsh’s Fed is “upending markets.”

Economy, Financial Markets

Long-Term Treasury Yields at 19-Year High

July 30, 2026 · 8:33 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Treasury yields are hovering at multiyear highs, reflecting worries about rising inflation and the Fed’s willingness to combat it after officials held interest rates unchanged for a seventh month,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Trump can demand lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve. But he cannot bully the bond market.
Taegan

Financial Markets

Fed Holds Rates Steady but Three Voted for Increase

July 29, 2026 · 2:04 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Federal Reserve officials held interest rates steady Wednesday over the objections of three bank presidents who wanted an increase, underscoring how pressure is building inside the central bank to act on inflation that has run above its target for five years,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

CNBC: Warsh’s plan for a more opaque Fed will get put to the test by markets on edge.

Economy, Financial Markets

The New Fed Chair Won’t Tell You What He Thinks

July 26, 2026 · 7:08 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Ask Kevin Warsh how the Federal Reserve should think about inflation, talk to markets or weigh the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy, and the new chair has a stock answer: There’s a task force for that,” the Washington Post reports.

“Five new task forces, in fact. Roughly two months into his tenure, Warsh has handed panels of outside experts core questions about Fed policy and said little about where he thinks any of it should land.”

Said Warsh: “If we get policy right — and we will, the inflation surge of the last five years will be a thing of the past.”

Economy, Financial Markets

Key Interest Rate Jumps to Highest Level of Trump’s Term

July 24, 2026 · 6:42 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump returned to office promising lower costs across the economy, but an important interest rate that his administration cites as a barometer of its success recently hit its highest level of Mr. Trump’s second term,” the New York Times reports.

“The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond, considered one of the most important interest rates in the world, jumped this week to 4.7 percent, up from less than 4 percent before the start of the war in Iran in late February. It was 4.6 percent on the day Mr. Trump returned to the White House in January 2025.”

“The yield underpins borrowing costs across debt markets, from corporate bonds to mortgage loans, and its rise complicates Mr. Trump’s plans to keep costs affordable for companies and households across the United States.”

Economy, Financial Markets, White House

Higher Treasury Yields Signal New Era for Interest Rates

July 23, 2026 · 6:35 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The relentless run-up in Treasury yields reflects the globe’s new economic reality: It takes a much richer reward to persuade investors to lend their money, especially for the longer run,” Axios reports.

“Unlike previous bond sell-offs driven by inflation fears, this one reflects a world in which governments and companies are scrambling for enormous amounts of capital to finance wide fiscal deficits, the AI infrastructure buildout and more.”

”The competition is forcing borrowers to pay more.”

Economy, Financial Markets

  • « Previous Page
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • …
  • 69
  • Next Page »
Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

Your Account

Members

For the full experience, sign in.

Become a Member

  • Join Political Wire
  • Gift a Membership

Members Only

  • Weekly News Quiz
  • 2026 Election Overview
  • Republicans Aren’t Buying Their Own Spin
  • Jon Ossoff Makes a Promise Clinton and Obama Also Made
  • The GOP’s Closing Argument Is About Democrats

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was →
  • Yea or Nay? →
  • Split Decision →
  • Pollster →
  • Daily Trivia →

Copyright © 2026 · Goddard Media LLC

Political Wire® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC

Also from Goddard Media: Political Dictionary · Political Job Hunt · Electoral Vote Map

Privacy PolicyCorrections PolicyContact