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Islamic State Not Much of a State

December 26, 2014 at 7:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

“The Islamic State’s vaunted exercise in state-building appears to be crumbling as living conditions deteriorate across the territories under its control, exposing the shortcomings of a group that devotes most of its energies to fighting battles and enforcing strict rules,” the Washington Post reports.

“Services are collapsing, prices are soaring, and medicines are scarce in towns and cities across the “caliphate” proclaimed in Iraq and Syria by the Islamic State, residents say, belying the group’s boasts that it is delivering a model form of governance for Muslims.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: ISIS

Quote of the Day

December 24, 2014 at 2:21 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 68 Comments

“And I have been very surprised, to answer your question, to see the president of the United States, at every turn, cut the legs off of our ally, Israel, and in fact embrace and lift up the agenda of Islamic jihad.”

— Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN), quoted by BuzzFeed.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Michele Bachmann

Time to Topple North Korea?

December 24, 2014 at 10:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard 27 Comments

Richard Haass: “A debate is under way about how best to respond to North Korea’s cyberattack on Sony, an attack designed to punish the firm for making a movie that humiliated Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un. Ideas range from a cyberattack to weaken North Korean political and military assets to relisting the country as a state sponsor of terrorism, presumably accompanied by new sanctions.”

“These ideas are fine as far as they go, but they don’t go far enough. The serious threat posed by North Korea far transcends cyberspace. Only one approach is commensurate with the challenge: ending North Korea’s existence as an independent entity and reunifying the Korean Peninsula.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

U.S. Won’t Confirm Internet Attack in North Korea

December 23, 2014 at 12:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments

The U.S. State Department declined to “speculate” about a reported Internet outage in North Korea after the U.S. promised a “proportionate response” to a hack of Sony Pictures Entertainment linked to the isolated nation, NBC News reports.

Said spokeswoman Marie Harf: “I don’t have anything new to share with you today about North Korea. The president has spoken to what our potential responses – separate and apart from what we’ve seen over the past 24 hours – might be. And I’d leave it to North Korea to talk about if their internet was up or if it wasn’t, and why.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: North Korea

North Korea Internet Collapses in Apparent Attack

December 22, 2014 at 3:10 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 34 Comments

“North Korea’s already tenuous links to the Internet went completely dark on Monday after days of instability, in what Internet monitors described as one of the worst North Korean network failures in years,” the New York Times reports.

“The loss of service came just days after President Obama pledged that the United States would launch a ‘proportional response’ to the recent attacks on Sony Pictures, which government officials have linked to North Korea. While an attack on North Korea’s networks was suspected, there was no definitive evidence of it.”

“The loss of service is not likely to affect the vast majority of North Koreans, who have no access to the Internet. The biggest impact would be felt by the country’s elite, state-run media channels and its propagandists, as well as its cadre of cyberwarriors.”

The AP reports the White House declined to comment.

[speech_bubble type=”std” subtype=”a” icon=”pwdome.jpg” name=””]Of course, the most effective U.S. retaliation would be to open up the Internet to the North Korean people.  [/speech_bubble]

 

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: North Korea

Did North Korea Really Hack Into Sony Network?

December 22, 2014 at 12:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 17 Comments

Gawker: “Long before the FBI made it official, North Korean blame for the attack against Sony was taken as a given… But independent, skeptical security experts have been poking holes in this theory for days now. Evidence provided by the FBI last week in an official accusation against the North Korean government was really more of a reference to evidence—all we got were bullet points, most of them rehashing earlier clues. It still doesn’t seem like enough to definitively pin the attacks to North Korea.”

CNBC: North Korea suffering major internet outages

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Russia Headed Towards Economic Crisis

December 22, 2014 at 8:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

Former Russian finance minister Alexei Kudrin warned that Russia will face a “full-blown economic crisis” next year that will cause a series of defaults and the loss of its investment grade credit rating, the Financial Times reports.

Wonk Wire: Russian tax collectors seize cats

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Chinese Annoyance with North Korea Shows

December 21, 2014 at 7:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard 14 Comments

“When a retired Chinese general with impeccable Communist Party credentials recently wrote a scathing account of North Korea as a recalcitrant ally headed for collapse and unworthy of support, he exposed a roiling debate in China about how to deal with the country’s young leader, Kim Jong-un,” the New York Times reports.

“For decades China has stood by North Korea, and though at times the relationship has soured, it has rarely reached such a low point, Chinese analysts say.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

North Korea Warns U.S. Not to Retaliate

December 20, 2014 at 1:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

“Warning of ‘serious consequences’ if the United States retaliates against it over the damaging cyberattack on Sony Pictures, North Korea on Saturday insisted that it was not behind it, and it offered to prove its innocence by taking part in a joint investigation with Washington to identify the hackers,” the New York Times reports.

Said a North Korea spokesman: “We have a way to prove that we have nothing to do with the case without resorting to torture, as what the C.I.A. does.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: North Korea

Kenyan Lawmakers Brawl Over Terror Law

December 19, 2014 at 6:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Kenyan lawmakers on Thursday voted through a tough anti-terror bill amid chaotic scenes in parliament and a brawl between opposition and government MPs,” AFP reports.

“Divisions over the legislation triggered heated exchanges between lawmakers that culminated in a brawl, forcing the vote to be repeatedly delayed on Thursday. It was finally approved to loud boos from opposition MPs, who bombarded Speaker of Parliament Justin Muturi with books and documents.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Paul Backs Change in Cuba Policy

December 18, 2014 at 12:24 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 39 Comments

Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) said that starting to trade with Cuba “is probably a good idea” and that the lengthy economic embargo against the communist island “just hasn’t worked,” the AP reports.

He added: “If the goal is regime change, it sure doesn’t seem to be working and probably it punishes the people more than the regime because the regime can blame the embargo for hardship.”

“Paul became the first potential Republican presidential candidate to offer some support for President Barack Obama’s decision to try to normalize U.S. relations with Cuba. The president’s surprise announcement on Wednesday was slammed by several potential GOP candidates, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, who said it amounted to appeasing the Castro regime.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Cuba, Rand Paul

Putin Blames West for Economic Troubles

December 18, 2014 at 6:39 am EST By Taegan Goddard 17 Comments

Russian President Vladimir Putin said “the country’s economic troubles will pass in no more than two years, and accused the West of seeking to subdue and disarm Russia to gain control over its natural resources,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

North Korea is All That Remains of Cold War

December 18, 2014 at 6:37 am EST By Taegan Goddard 9 Comments

“The normalization of diplomatic relations with Cuba after more than a half-century of enmity would leave only North Korea on America’s Cold War blacklist, and only Iran, Sudan and Syria as countries that are regarded by the United States government as pariah states that sponsor terrorism,” the New York Times reports.

“Political historians said the steps announced Wednesday to restore relations with Cuba were akin to events in the administrations of Richard M. Nixon and Jimmy Carter that led to normalized ties with China in 1979 after three decades of hostility, and events in the administrations of Ronald Reagan, George Bush and Bill Clinton that led to the establishment of relations with Vietnam in 1995, 20 years after the war.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

How Republicans Could Stop Obama’s Cuba Move

December 18, 2014 at 6:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard 24 Comments

“Just hours after Obama announced that a prisoner swap with the Cuban government for two Americans was the start of a new relationship with the communist country, Republicans began informally kicking around ideas to stop any changes to the U.S.-Cuba relationship,” Politico reports.

“On the list: deny Obama funds to reopen an embassy in Havana, stall the nomination of a potential ambassador, vote down a bill to open up travel more widely and ignore requests from the White House to lift a decades-old embargo.”

Roll Call: Rubio threatens to block Cuba deal

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Marco Rubio

White House Won’t Rule Out Obama Cuba Visit

December 17, 2014 at 6:47 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 36 Comments

President Obama said that a high-level U.S. delegation will be heading to Cuba soon and his spokesman today said that a presidential visit to the island nation is a possibility in the future, Bloomberg reports.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Cuba

U.S. Links North Korea to Hacking

December 17, 2014 at 6:43 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 33 Comments

“American intelligence officials have concluded that the North Korean government was ‘centrally involved’ in the recent attacks on Sony Pictures’s computers, a determination reached just as Sony on Wednesday canceled its release of the comedy, which is based on a plot to assassinate Kim Jong-un, the North Korean leader,” the New York Times reports.

“Senior administration officials, who would not speak on the record about the intelligence findings, said the White House was still debating whether to publicly accuse North Korea of what amounts to a cyberterrorism campaign… Some within the Obama administration argue that the government of Mr. Kim must be directly confronted, but that raises the question of what consequences the administration would threaten — or how much of its evidence it could make public without revealing details of how the United States was able to penetrate North Korean computer networks to trace the source of the hacking.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Republicans Blast Obama Change in Cuba Policy

December 17, 2014 at 1:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 72 Comments

“Republicans reacted with outrage Wednesday over the Obama administration’s move to normalize relations with Cuba, with some lawmakers casting it as appeasement and the product of extortion by the communist Castro government,” Politico reports.

Said Sen. Marco Rubio: “It’s part of a long record of coddling dictators and tyrants that this administration has established.”

New York Times: “For more than a generation, Republicans have taken a hard line against the communist nation, endearing themselves to the politically potent bloc of Cuban-Americans who have been a crucial force in deciding elections in the state. But those animosities have given way to generational shift, and younger voters who have family ties to Cuba — but no direct memories of the island under Fidel Castro — have been willing to support Democrats.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Cuba

Obama Restores Full Diplomatic Relations with Cuba

December 17, 2014 at 12:56 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 71 Comments

President Obama said the United States “will restore full diplomatic relations with Cuba and open an embassy in Havana for the first time in more than a half-century,” the New York Times reports.

“In a deal negotiated during 18 months of secret talks hosted largely by Canada and encouraged by Pope Francis, who hosted a final meeting at the Vatican, Mr. Obama and President Raúl Castro of Cuba agreed in a telephone call to put aside decades of hostility to find a new relationship between the United States and the island nation just 90 miles off the American coast.”

Said Obama: “We will end an outdated approach that for decades has failed to advance our interests and instead we will begin to normalize relations between our two countries.” He added that the deal will “begin a new chapter among the nations of the Americas” and move beyond a “rigid policy that’s rooted in events that took place before most of us were born.”

Washington Post: “The Vatican hosted talks between the two nations that started last year with a meeting in Canada. The Vatican also sent representatives to the talks, a step the Canadians did not.”

Wonk Wire: So can you buy a Cuban cigar now?

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Cuba

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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